bzzt
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@El Prez Yeah, +/- on a single game, single player level is ridiculously noisy. Over many games or used for units (3-5 players) is where it ends up being really meaningful.
@novelisticbee0 He made 4 of his 8 FT's (4 possessions) during that stint. On the night the Lakers only scored 105 points on 103 possessions. Leaving Dwight in there wasn't why they lost.
@OBoy Jones III @Perk90X @MisterJohnsonOKC @justin_mia He only had 4 all year during the regular season. And 3 in the playoffs...all against the heat :/.
@FF_pickups I don't know, Hollinger's pre-season projection (for Harden with the thunder) was a PER of 20.81, and his current is 20.42. That's pretty accurate under any circumstances but particularly considering a change in teams (which is often accompanied by a difficult to project shift in not only frequency of usage but also method).
His TS% is down quite a bit from last year, but I bet 9/10 analytics guys would've nailed that prediction. It's tough to replicate a historically great anything every year (and his .660 last year was historically great for his usage%).
A lot of comparisons of players at the max are errant. Because it's a max, there's a lot of players that are WAY below what they are worth (KD and the upper echelon of stars). Harden is really fairly compensated at $16m/yr. in terms of his production and probably will offer a bit of value above that with a bump in minutes, touches, and experience. Comparing two players at the max and concluding that one is "overpaid" is errant because most players that are making the max are underpaid (some of them wildly so).
@Crow Normally I think playoff jitters are a much smaller factor than they get credit for, but in the Clippers case it was the exact opposite for DeAndre Jordan. It was like someone had kidnapped him and replaced him with a frightened child. And it really just seemed to get worse as the playoffs went on (Del Negro yanked him early in a few when he started timid and he looked completely terrified from there on out).
Toss in Paul & Blake's injuries as the playoffs went on and you end up with their starting lineup completely abandoning them.
Subjectively I feel like they'll be a lot better the next go-round since it won't be DJ's first dance (provided health for Blake and Paul). Well that and they can't hardly be worse.
We were 33-10 with an avg MOV of 6.9 when Westbrook had as many or more FGA than Durant (RS & PO's 2011-12)
We were 27-16 with an avg MOV of 4.3 when Durant had more FGA than Westbrook.
I've been meaning to look at strength of schedule for those 2 groups, haven't gotten around to it though.
@ElMexiThunder @BRY BRY Its a longshot, but I'm wondering if Cuban's temperance (or failures, depending on how you want to look at it) this summer is going to work out pretty well for him next summer when it sinks in with everyone else that they *really* don't want to be perpetual tax payers.
@K-Dagger Daniel Plainview He declined I believe
@ou_sas @justin_mia @diddoff @gnaygg Yup, don't forget Serge!
@justin_mia @El Prez @Daniel OBoymuzik @K-Dagger Daniel Plainview That too. Seems like for them to make that move they'd have to be getting a pretty clear upgrade, and if Taj wasn't involved in the trade he and Serge are fairly redundant.
@El Prez Once we get up to ~$12m that we'd be paying noah, I get more optimistic about our odds of resigning ibaka (and all else equal I think we'd probably be better off with Serge).
Serge for Noah does sound as good or better than anything else if Serge is definitely looking for the max though.
@Crow Admittedly its rough, but I've been messing around with the few days pegging production/value levels for contracts. Initial results (and there's still some things I'd want to tweak) had Perk listed as the 34th worst value in the league (out of 352 with qualifying minutes).
Other interesting one was Deron Williams new contract down around the 75th worst.
@neo12 Gordon I think has already set Harden's market at 14.5.
So its pretty much however much of a discount Harden's willing to give at this point (12-13m is about what I'm hoping for).
@MisterJohnsonOKC That was funny, but now I just feel bad for Perk Sr.
@gnaygg Honestly, I'd have to consider Maynor just for CP3's kid (which says way more about his kid than Maynor)
@Daniel Hawaii Someone mentioned it, but they can't possibly shoot better from 3 than they did in the Finals. (They'll approach it more consistantly probably, but exceed it...nah).
@Daniel OBoymuzik Not 100% but I think Lowry was wanting to leave (miffed with McHale over losing his starting job when he went out for a bit).
@MisterJohnsonOKC They haven't resigned him yet, but I'd be a bit surprised if they didn't (he actually fit in coming off the bench pretty well).
@MisterJohnsonOKC @Daniel Hawaii @shiki @Daniel OBoymuzik Rubio's just an ACL. It takes awhile to get back from, and a bit longer to trust it again, but that's not uncommon or persistant once it's healed up (usually).
Roy is missing the cartilage in his knee (really seems like some smart guy would figure out an artificial substitute, but evidently its harder than all that).