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Oakland should win more games this year.
I don’t see Flynn as much of a step down from Palmer. Both
QBs are probably going to get you 4000 yards and 20 TDs, at about a 85-90
I think the offensive line has more talent. And running back,
and receiver should also be stronger.
Large improvements at both cornerback and linebacker. We don’t
have pro bowl talent at either position, but both are now solid, full of proven
I see us winning 6-8 games. I don’t think we’ll be picking
top 10 next year, basically
1 year, 5 months ago on Oakland Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys: the good, the bad, and the ugly
@DanHartman I think we have much more talent on D this year.
We had nothing at cornerback or linebacker in 2012. Both units are much improved
I see us winning 6-8
I don't agree about Pryor.
The buzz I'm hearing, on training camp, he has a legit shot at winning the starting job.
1 year, 6 months ago on Sifting through day 3 of Raiders training camp
What I'm saying is, critics tend to look for something to blame failure on.
They never put success down to small hands. Colin Kapaernick as an example. Or Kurt Warner. They both have similar hand size to Wilson.
Or they never blame "large hands" for the huge number of busts who have had large hands.
1 year, 6 months ago on Tale of the Tape: film breakdown of Raiders rookie QB Tyler Wilson
Hand size is an odd one.
Statistically, it's correct. All of the best QBs have big hands. Even Drew Brees has 10.5 inch hands!
However, it's crazy to suggest it will stop you being a top QB.
I think it's much more likely that small handed QBs fail, because they're also just bad at a lot of stuff - decision making, footwork, etc etc
When I watch Matt Flynn, I just think he's a winner. And that can take you heck of a long way in the NFL.
I actually watched all his NFL throws yesterday (must have been bored!)
His short/medium range throws are very accurate, with pace and zipClutch thrower on 3rd down/red zone
Good pocket presence and movement
My only criticism, is the obvious one, the arm strength. I swear, he has possibly only completed one pass of over 25 yards in his entire career. 99% of his career completions are under 15 yards. Vast majority under 10 yards.
And most of his big plays, and touchdowns, came from receivers making big plays after the catch.
I actually think he will do well. As he won't turn it over. And he's good in the pocket. And he's accurate. He's not going to be a disaster - I think he could easily end up with 4000 yards+, 65% accuracy, and a 90+passer rating.
Where he will fail, is the offense will have no explosion. And he won't make the big plays. His TD total will probably be pretty low.
1 year, 6 months ago on Oakland Raiders' camp battle winners predictions
Where he will fail, is the offense will have no explosion. And he won't make the big plays. His TD total will probably be pretty low.
1 year, 6 months ago on NFL Films' Greg Cosell speaks highly of Raiders' 2013 draft class
You know, McKenzie thought DJ Hayden was top 3 talent, and would have taken him at 2. Even with his medical history.
Either McKenzie knows absolutely nothing about evaluating talent, or this kid is pretty special.
I fully expect him to be at least as good as Joe Haden. His ceiling is much higher, as he's a lot faster. This guy has elite CB speed.
I loved the class
Hayden, Moore, Watson are all potentially legit pro bowl talent.
Can't do much more
The prototypical size for a cover cb is whatever Darrelle Revis is................Hayden is the exact same size. But faster
1 year, 6 months ago on Tale of the Tape: film review of Raiders' rookie CB DJ Hayden
I don't agree Moore lacks speed. He runs a 4.65 to Von Miller's 4.55. It's a difference, but only really the difference between a Hall of Fame linebacker and a Pro Bowl linebacker!
Moore has the same speed as guys like Sean Wetherspoon, Wesley Woodyard, Lance Briggs. You know, more than enough to be an elite NFL outside linebacker
In my opinion, at that position, you only really need to worry about speed if you're running 4.8 in the forty.
1 year, 6 months ago on Thoughts from the Dark Side
I suspect Watson will probably win the starting job after pre-season. Partly because the competition isn't too hot.
I liked the pic. He has first round talent. Just very inexperienced. But he could be pro bowl calibre in 2-3 seasons of playing, potentially.
Being a Brit, what I will say, is he'll probably have great footwork. Most kids in the UK have great balance, footwork, and very light feet. From being coached in soccer from about the age of 4 to 16.
He's also from a very rough area of Manchester (a very rough city), so he's probably going to be tough.
And remember, he's a Brit basketball player, whose managed to get highly drafted in the NFL within a few years - you know, so his work ethic, professionalism, character intangibles will be off the chart
1 year, 6 months ago on Tale of the Tape: film review of Raiders' rookie OT Menelik Watson
I don't buy into this "size" thing that pundits are obsessed with.
Look at Revis and Joe Haden - probably the two top CBs taken in the last 5-6 years. DJ Hayden is a mirror image of those two, size wise. And he's faster than both!
Patrick Peterson/Cromartie etc etc may be physically gifted against the big receivers, but they both have issues with man coverage.
Truth is, to be a top CB you need to be fast, have great coverage skills, and to make plays.
All things Hayden has.
And I fully expect him to mirror Joe Haden in regards to productivity. As in, be a pro bowl level CB within his first few years
Yeah, Oakland need to take Geno Smith.
It's this simple - if you don't have a franchise QB, you need to draft a QB. I don't care how good you think your talent is there. Still draft one.
Draft Geno Smith. Give starting job to Terrelle Pryor. Two scenarios 1: Pryor is very good. Develop and trade Geno Smith for a 1st rounder
2: Pryor is average/stinks. Bring in Geno Smith.
You know, it's an immediate upgrade to your QB position. No matter how you look at it. You have to take Smith, if he's there.
If he’s not there, take Bjeorn Werner or Dion Jordan – they’re the two standout players in this draft. The two best pass rushers.
Oakland fans should be happy. This is a very strong draft on Defense and pass rushers, and you also have a shot at the best QB. Your two biggest positions of need.
But I’d take Smith. Seriously. Always take the QB unless you have a proven, very very good one.
I’m discounting Palmer, as he’ll probably be a cap casualty
1 year, 11 months ago on For Raiders, Combine brings some Answers and more Questions
I think we need to draft a QB in round 1 - it's worth the risk.
You can't go into an NFL season with Carson Palmer as your only hope...........You may as well just give up.
If you don't have a Franchise QB, draft a quarterback. It's that simple
2 years ago on 2013 NFL Draft: Ranking the QBs
I doubt DHB will lose his starting job.
No other receiver has stepped up. Moore hasn't been that great himself.
2 years ago on 2013 Raiders Predictions: Offense
The defense was very very good.
Keeping a pro bowl calibre QB under 300 yards in the NFL, in 2012, is a win. Phil Rivers is always going to have a couple of big plays against anyone. The only TD he threw, was very close to being a sack.
Seriously, this D will be top 10 in my opinion.
300-ish total yards, against one of the league's top offences is very very good
2 years, 4 months ago on Week 1, Raiders fall to Chargers 22-14 | September
If they did trade a player to move up, it would maybe be Richard Seymour, or Tommy Kelly I suspect.
2 years, 9 months ago on Don't expect Raiders to trade up into 2nd round | April
They wouldn't trade McFadden for a late first round pick. He's top 5 talent, at his peak.
True, he's had injury problems, but you've got to take the risk on him. He's Adrian Peterson when he's healthy. Probably even more talented
You know, trading up in the draft will just come down to value.
If a top player the Raiders love slips into late in the 1st, or early 2nd - they will definitely trade up to get him.
They will only trade up if someone slips down. As in if a top 15 pick is still there at 30. Or a top 32 pick is still there at say 50.......
Oakland have an injury problem in general. Half the team regularly misses games, every season.
McFaddens problems could well be down to what goes on in the off season, and in between games. As in bad prep, or training sessions being too tough
2 years, 12 months ago on Greg Knapp gets another crack at running Raiders offense | January
Good players, with good fundamentals, can play in any system
If DMAC can't perform, because of a change of scheme, then they should just cut him anyway.
However, I think he will handle the change easily. He's a different player now than back then
We've had a great offense for 2 years now, and it hasn't got us very far
Good offenses are winning offenses. If Oakland win 10 games next year, Knapp will be proclaimed a genius, no matter how many yards he actually gets ;)
By the way, I agree with the comment below.
McFadden was just sucking in general back then. Not a scheme thing. Combination of injury, immaturity, and just being a young player
I don't think Palmer is going to issues with any system.
I'd say his biggest strengths are completing passes/accuracy, and throwing the long ball.
You know, it's not going to make huge differences to your game (systems) if you're fundamentals are good
Oakland maybe have 2 players on the defensive roster who play consistently well.
You know, let's start with Rich Seymour, if you're looking to get rid of guys who go 3-4 games without performing.
2 years, 12 months ago on Raiders HC Allen sends Rolando McClain a message | January
I don't buy the McClain argument. The whole Raiders defense sucked last season.
Rich Seymour had more bad games than Rolando.
I have to admit, he's an impressive guy
2 years, 12 months ago on Dennis Allen preaches "new day" in Oakland | January
2010 offseason I said McFadden should be given more time.
2011 offseason, I said Heyward Bey should be given more time.
2012 I'm going with Rolando.
Truth is, he's 255 pounds, runs a 4.6 forty, has a nasty streak, and in college was rated one of the smartest players in the entire college system.
His problems aint his ability. His problems are the fact that he's been playing in a hopeless D, under hopeless defensive staff. Most of which have already been fired, as they were so bad.
The guy is responsible for his own play, but let's remember, they aren't his schemes.
Truth is, the guy's a playmaker. Recorded 5 sacks (almost leading all MLB) in a bad season. He can rush the passer. He was a beast against the run in college.
Dennis Allen is an aggresive coach. He lets his playmakers make plays. McClain will be a beast in 2012.
You know, Richard Seymour had as many bad games as McClain last year. Maybe we should trade him as well
3 years ago on Rolando McClain facing rough road ahead | January
90% of the Raiders D have been average for the last 2 years. Probably below average. You're not continually one of the worst Ds in the league, if guys are playing well.
No way they trade McClain. He will improve as the D improves.
I don't agree on the speed claim. He did a 4.68 forty in the combine. That would make him the 3rd fastest linebacker in the 2011 draft. Von Miller ran a 4.53 as an example, and McClain is 20 pounds heavier.
He's an incredible athlete for his size. He's probably one of the faster middle linebackers in the entire league.
Instincts - you may be closer to the mark there. I suspect his lack of speed is more mental, than physical. However, he was also known as a very smart, intelligent player in college.
I'd say 90% of his problems are the Raiders defensive coaching staff and coordination. Which have been basically the worst in the league his first 2 years.
Seriously, put him with a top coordinator, and he'll be a beast in 2012.
From the (limited) amount I know about the US legal system, I'm assuming he won't do any prison time.
You know, millionaire's don't get locked up, unless they do something pretty serious in the states, right?
Problem with Saunders is he never called a play. It was all Hue Jackson.
Which bits were Hue and which bits were Al!?
3 years ago on Raiders McKenzie gets "his guy": Dennis Allen | January
This is the thing I struggle to understand, as a Brit, following the sport. In Europe, EVERY coach, in every sport, is an ex player. In fact, you really have to play at the highest level to have any chance of coaching. The theory basically is that, unless you were a decent player yourself, you struggle to command the players respect.
In the USA, it seems coaching and playing are separate professions. In fact, having a great NFL career as a player seems to be a distinct disadvantage in becoming a top coach.
I'm not saying the USA way is wrong. In fact I prefer it. I'm just saying, as a Brit, I find it odd that guys are, in effect, choosing to end their playing careers early (as in not chasing playing time at lower levels - say Europe) to become coaches.
In Soccer, generally, players, from the very best to the very worst, play for as long as their legs are working. As in, they'll move from the very top leagues, to the very bottom ones, searching for games. Taking up coaching, at say 32 isn't an option. They'd prefer to play pick up games, in parks............!
I think it's a respect thing. As in, being a coach in the USA is an honorable thing. They command immediate respect. It's not the same in the UK. Being a coach here, you're generally abused, mocked, from day 1, no matter how well you do. In the media, in the newspapers, by your own players!
I think Dennis Allen would be a good hire. He's a classic "bend but don't break" defensive minded guy. As in, going for turnovers, and big plays on defense. Not neccesarily caring how many yards he gives up
3 years ago on Raider head coach candidate roundup reveals new frontrunner | January
Stats are useful, but I work in this sort of field (I'm a stat analyst) and I can tell you that "Occam's Razor" is the most useful tool for this sort of thing.
"Occam's Razor" is a mathematical/statistical principle:
The Principle = the theory (on a subject) that makes the least new assumptions, is statistically more likely to be correct.
Basically, the more you think about things, the more likely, statistically, you are to be wrong about them.
Essentially, people's assumptions on why things happen, are statistically the most likely to be correct. And the more new factors, and theories you add to the pot, the more likely you are to make the wrong call.
As in, statistically, the girl I like at work, probably doesn't like me, as I'm not as attractive as her. Not my own theory, that it's something to do with my clothes, car, job, earning potential.
Most people's assumption on why Green Bay have been better than Oakland over the last 10 years is the fact that they have had 2 consecutive (likely) Hall of Fame QBs. And Oakland haven't had a single HOF calibre QB in the history of the franchise.
Occam's Razor deems that this is, mathematically, the most likely answer. And I agree.
3 years ago on McKenzie's track record with Packers foretells Raiders future | January
I like Dennis Allen (unproven, but has done well everywhere he has gone)
I'm not keen on Todd Bowles - only 4 years in the NFL basically.
Mike McCoy - I'm not convinced. You know, he was Jake Delhomme's passing guru..........great job there Mike! Sure, he is a great rushing coach, but I'm not sure that's enough in modern NFL, when you've just invested 2 picks in a big armed passer. Not a great fit.
Pete Carmichael, Jr - probably one of my top picks. He's been a winner everywhere he's gone. Not a proven failure at HC (like some candidates). Everywhere the guy goes, he's working on the league's top offense.
Winston Moss - I'm open on this guy. Doesn't have a great deal on his resume. Career assistant thus far. But you know, sometimes you have to get these guys early, before they become a star coordinator, and half the league wants them.
Dom Capers - I'm actually open to this guy. I think he'd be a good fit. You know, his HC record is terrible, but remember, both times he was coaching teams brand new to the league. These teams have no chance of winning for years...........He did a great DC job at Pittsburgh and Green Bay. I'd personally be excited to see a real 3-4 defensive guru taking over the team. It's exactly what we need. Plus, he's experienced, and would demand immediate respect in the locker room.
3 years ago on As the Raiders coaching candidate carousel turns | January
I'd prefer a defensive head coach.
You're right - SF had a super talented defense even under Samurai Mike. They have been a top 10 D for 3-4 years.
Harbaugh works sort of like Gruden worked in Tampa - bringing in an offensive guru to make something out of average offensive talent (to complement the killer D)
Oakland need the opposite. The offense has put up big yards, and points for the last 2 years. It's performing well.
Next season, I'd predict we will be one of the most talented rushing teams in the league, and Carson Palmer will also pass for 4'000 yards +
If you're still losing with those numbers, it aint the offense that is the problem. It's the D.
Seriously, Oakland are an exact replica of the Texans last year. Talented offense, clueless D.
If they can bring in a Wade Phillips type guru, they could easily win 10-11+ games next year
I agree - the media love knocking guys down. When I watched Palmer this season, I saw a guy who can make ALL the throws. He was a bit rusty, but he was making throws only the best arms can make.
He's an absolute cert for 4'000+ yards 25+ touchdowns next season if he plays most of it.
Making Oakland have their best QB position in a decade. You know, is it worth 2 picks? debatable. But the truth is, teams spend so much time overthinking this stuff, that they don't end up with anyone.
Look at Chicago with Cutler. Do his numbers represent value for what they paid? probably not. But they sure as hell have a much better offense than they've had for 25 years because of the move.
Truth is, if Palmer passes for 4'000+ yards, and loses 9, he'll be deemed a dud
If he passes for 3'000 yards and they win 10, he'll be deemed a franchise QB (see Alex Smith)It's all about winning at the end of the day.
Capers is a great coordinator, but lousy head coach. Sort of like Cam Cameron, Gregg Williams or Dick Lebeau.
To be a top HC, you need to be a leader, motivator, and have a cool head under pressure. That's what seperates guys like Mike Tomlin from Dick Lebeau.
You know, in theory Lebeau would be head coach and Tomlin DC in Pittsburgh. But that's not how it works
3 years ago on Three new Raiders head coach candidates emerge | January
Todd Bowles = Rooney Rule, I suspect. You know, more about giving a young coach interviewing experience, rather than anything else.
I see Bowles getting a coordinator position somewhere. He doesn't (yet) have the experience to compete with guys like Carmichael Junior. He's only been coaching in the league for 4 years, and hasn't even had a coordinator position yet.
By the way, I don't see Oakland switching until they can get a pro bowl level nose tackle from somewhere. An every down guy.
Most 3-4 defenses are terrible, unless they have a quality guy at nose.
3 years ago on Signs point to Raiders switching to 3-4 defense | January
I agree. If I was running the show, I'd have McClain and Curry as my inside LB in that formation.
Curry has weaknesses, but is great at stuffing the run. If all you asked him to do was attack the running back, he'd get 100+ tackles a year
In the modern NFL, being a 3-4 team just means that you play maybe 65% of your downs in that formation. Green Bay still run a lot of 4-3 plays.
As for McClain, you're being way too critical. He had a similar season to Rich Seymour. A mix of big plays, and just not showing up.
No offence, but I've used these sites long enough to know that fans rarely know as much as NFL exceutives!
You know, Carson came at a heavy price, but you know, it's damn hard to get pro bowl level QBs
In this years draft, and free agency, you'll probably have 8-9 teams trying to get the same 3 players - Luck, Flynn and III
Truth is, Palmer would have probably passed for 4'000 yards this season, if he played every game.
When's the last time Oakland had a guy who could rack up yards like that?
3 years ago on Hue Jackson had to go | January
I love the move by Mark Davis.
We all loved Al, and saw that he was doing a good job in bringing Oakland back to elite/play off level. He was nearly there. If he was still here, I'm certain we'd have made the playoffs this year, and would probably be a 10-11 win team in 2011.
But you know, doing it "Al's way" relies on Al being there to make the decisions. You can't work his way, following his model, without his mind making the decisions.
Now Al is gone (RIP), the smart decision is to essentially just "gut" the backroom. Start from scratch. We need to start doing it "Reggie's way". Not have Reggie trying to be Al Davis.
You know, I'd like to see a new head coach, offensive, defensive, GM - and that's where we are going. In fact, the only coaches I would give another chance are Defensive Line, Offensive line, and Rod Woodson.
D line and O line coaches have performed consistently this season. And Rod's a young coach - 1 year isn't enough to dump a guy
3 years ago on Davis reached out to "extended family" Raider Legends for GM hire | January
Remember though that we basically have no draft this year. We'd be in trouble if we had to add 5-6 rookies to the roster in 2012, and maybe 2-3 free agents (like most teams).
That's not the case though. Oakland will maybe have 2 rookies on the payroll next year.
Oakland will be in a position to pick up marquee players in free agency.
I have no problem with the Raiders moving back to LA. A lot of our history is there (particularly in regards to Superbowls).
I'd have trouble if it was outside of California though, for example
3 years ago on Mark Davis emphasizes Raiders could move to LA | January
Oakland could well do what the Texans have done, if they make the correct Defensive appointment.
Houston went from endless 8 win, medicore seasons, to the playoffs, with a top defensive coordinator
3 years ago on Raiders' new GM McKenzie not just another legend hire | January
Great, great move for the organization. After Al's passing, the team needs a strong, experienced, executive in charge of personnel. And McKenzie is about as good as it could have been. I'm surprised he took the role.
Now, GM McKenzie, and the executive staff need to hire a strong, grade A defensive coordinator - if they can do that, Oakland could win 10+ games next year