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@Carl LaFong @monkeywithahalo no, Carl, WAR is apples and apples. The WHOLE point of WAR is to be able to compare value across position and era.
1 week, 1 day ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/should-the-angels-try-to-trade-erick-aybar.html
@Carl LaFong three of the last four years, Howie has had a higher WAR than Aybar. He's more valuable. That isn't to denegrate Aybar, he's very good and right now there is a scarcity at shortstop, which is why I believe his value is inflated and worth exploring on the trade market. But as you said and as I said in the article, Aybar would be much harder to replace due to the lack of organizational depth.
Also, Dipoto never said he wouldn't trade Kendrick. He recently said he's inclined to hold onto him, which is what GMs say when they are trying to drive the price up on a player they are shopping.
1 week, 2 days ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/should-the-angels-try-to-trade-erick-aybar.html
@imindless why would the Padres want Howie? They are rebuilding. One year of Howie doesn't help them, plus they already have Taylor Lindsey. If they trade Cashner, it is going to be for a load of young talent.
@Carl LaFong Does it make anymore sense to trade Kendrick who was categorically better than Aybar? As I said in the article, I ultimately agree that it is too risky to trade Aybar, but if there is a chance to trade an asset at a time where you can charge a premium, it needs to be considered. I considered it with Aybar, it doesn't quite work.
1 week, 3 days ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/should-the-angels-try-to-trade-erick-aybar.html
@ltbu Bedrock will get a chance at some point, Dipoto likes having lots of options. But as of right now, the Opening day bullpen looks like Street-Smith-Jepsen-Morin-Salas-Ramos-Pestano. Rasmus (if he doesn't become a starter), Bedrosian, Diaz and McBryde will all get looks at some point though.
1 week, 5 days ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/nobody-really-knows-what-the-angels-will-and-wont-do-this-offseason.html
@Rick K. Yeah, that part was a little off. Catcher is probably the thinnest position in the entire Angels organization. I like Jett Bandy a lot, but even I'm not sure he can be a replacement level back-up in the bigs. It only gets worse from there.
2 weeks, 3 days ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/la-angels-trout-wins-silver-slugger-blue-jays-howie-kendrick-trade-rumor.html
@sportsguy13 I'm just going to go ahead and leave this right here: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1534&position=OF#fieldingadvanced
2 weeks, 6 days ago on Conversation @ http://bloguin.com/theoutsidecorner/2014-articles/michael-cuddyer-rockies-qualifying-offer.html
@Rick K. D'oh! Can't believe it took this long for someone to notify me. Left the in the wrong status. They are up now, though extremely late. Apologies.
2 months, 4 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/series-preview-angels-vs-athletics-vs-round-2.html
@Rick K. Uh, yeah. Fixed now. Tweet embedding apparently does some very weird things to the formatting.
3 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/garrett-richards-suffers-devastating-knee-injury.html
@Rick K. You mean to tell me that you aren't excited about facing King Felix in a one-game playoff? Can't imagine why.
3 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/series-preview-angels-vs-rangers-vs-the-heat.html
@ltbu Sure, they could, but it would come at the expense of Stamets' development. He'd seldom ever get to bat, so his offense would be stunted. Plus, he doesn't have experience at 3B right now. Besides, the real reason that Johnny Mac is on the team is his leadership, not his ability to be a defensive upgrade over Freese for a few innings four or five games per week.
3 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/whats-wrong-with-the-angels-lineup-everything.html
@laa1055 because of the money involved, if you claim a big money player, you risk just getting stuck with the whole contract, so only serious teams put in claims. Also gives the other team only one chance to unload the contract or get stuck with it the rest of the year.
3 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/angels-trade-deadline-day-live-tracker.html
@Toby Ziegler Toby, relax and please don't attack anyone here with profanity (I deleted your other comment). The point of this article is to give an assessment of the prospects. Just because you don't like the assessment doesn't mean that someone is out to drag someone down. The hype around Borenstein, for better or worse, is part of his profile as a prospect. There is nothing wrong with pointing out that he isn't living up to the hype.
5 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/uncategorized/prospect-stock-prospects-19-11.html
@bblaseck the way to turn up the heat is to actually just rebuild the bullpen and give him so much talent that he can't screw it up
5 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/boxscore-breakdown-71-indians-5-angels-3.html
@A83sanchez83 That's a great idea except for the part where A.J. Burnett has a no-trade clause and blocked a deal to the Angels a few years ago. And the part where the Angels already have Kendrick at second and don't need Utley. And the part where Utley also has a no-trade clause. And the part where taking on all this salary would send the Angels flying into the luxury tax.
Other than that, great idea.
5 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/do-the-angels-actually-have-any-trade-assets.html
It isn't too late to convert him to pitcher!
5 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/la-angels-news-trout-has-clean-mri-on-his-back-reviewing-mock-drafts.html
@hossmandu not saying ONLY the main team can celebrate. I'm just saying that a lot of the celebration, IMO, comes from watching the guy do it for so long. Angels fans don't have that connection.
I think a good analogy would be Chone Figgins getting a World Series ring in 2012. How excited could he really be for that? He was only on the regular season roster for a cup of coffee and only helped in the post-season as a pinch-runner. Everyone else did the work and he was just around to witness the crowning moment.
7 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/500-homers-a-culmination-for-pujols-but-not-the-angels.html
@Rick K. Yeah, I forgot about Sutton. They acquired him when I think he was already over 290 wins. Clearly it made a big impact on my memory.
@hvnsangel67 I'm glad you liked it! But now I am going to be obsessed about figuring out which of the posts you hate and why :(
7 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/david-freese-has-anaheimnesia.html
Victor Rojas is a very good play-by-play guy. He can be a bit bombastic, but picks his moments well. He's also pretty in tune with sabermetrics and the internet culture around baseball.
Mark Gubicza is about as vanilla as they come. The best thing about him is that outside of the occasional corny joke or pitching mechanics observation, is that you barely notice him.
I also have to nitpick a bit here that Jose Mota is not included on the list. He still does some pre-game and post-game reports, which is terrific because he is the world's greatest natural resource for unintentional comedy.
I'll also add, as a Seattle resident, that Dave Sims is a fun announcer but a HORRIFIC homer. Probably fun if you are an M's fan. If you aren't, then... guh.
7 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://awfulannouncing.com/2014/rate-the-local-mlb-announcers-al-west.html
@sinatrasratpack The second the Angels released him, they were on the hook for his full salary, even if he never threw another pitch. If he retired while still on the roster, he would've lost the money. Oh well.
7 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/la-angels-news-joe-blanton-retires-sean-burnett-to-resume-throwing.html
@Rick K. I figured it was in poor taste to kick Blanton even more as he headed out the door. What's done is done.
@sinatrasratpack Right DDLR was the go-to guy there, but he is out. Still, Salas is the WORST possible choice there because he is an extreme flyball guy with an average K-rate. Kohn is the same guy with a better K-rate. Not a great choice, but better.
As for the 90% of managers thing, yes that is true, but that doesn't mean it is right. Conventional wisdom doesn't mean it isn't stupid.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/second-guessing-scioscia-week-1.html
@ElChippy Yeah, it is a lose-lose situation. Smoak has been legitimately bad as a righty and Cano handles lefties just fine. What bothers me is the inconsistency in allowing Santiago to pitch to Cano the very next night in a very similar situation.
@Rick K. /searches for retort, fails to find one
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/what-an-0-3-start-means-for-the-angels.html
@thierrion Nope, the 1998 Yankees did lose their first three games, but they were on the road. Ironically two were in Anaheim. I was only looking at teams who lost their first three games of the season and were at home for all three losses.
@Rick K. man, banging on my poor sentence structure and spoiling The Blacklist for me, Rick? Party foul!
8 months ago on Conversation @ http://monkeywithahalo.com/2014-articles/la-angels-news-blanton-released-burnett-and-moran-progressing.html
Just find it interesting that Dipoto, a noted stat guy, is actively investing in team chemistry, a very "old school" concept that the sabermetric community generally dismisses.
9 months, 3 weeks ago on Forget pitching, the Angels are targeting leadership
9 months, 4 weeks ago on LA Angels offseason rumor tracker
@ShuebBaafe$300 million on 8 years would be an average of $37.5 million. That's an absurd number for him to get when he has very little leverage and even more absurd when you consider the fact that he'd be getting well below that during the three arbitration years covered by the deal. $40 million per year is only being floated by anonymous agents and MLB executives that have no tie to Trout or the Angels and really only being mentioned because it makes for a good headline. That was the whole point I was making in the article. Anonymous sources like to throw out big numbers, like they did with Kershaw supposedly getting $300 million, but the reality always comes up well short.
You can say it is possible, but I am telling you that it is not happening.
10 months, 1 week ago on Mike Trout, Clayton Kershaw and the pursuit of the $300 million contract extension
@Joemromerobecause they were an 84-win team before that trade ;)
10 months, 2 weeks ago on Halo Headlines: Angels poised for positive regression, J.T. Snow got Hall of Fame votes
@GeorgeKaplan8I agree, the $300 million figure seems like a stretch, but I used that figure as a sort of pie-in-the-sky number just to put in perspective how things might be if he really does get a crazy extension. I really can't envision the extension being much bigger than that. I think the rhetoric about how great Trout is and how much he should be paid has inflated the numbers to unrealistic levels.
10 months, 3 weeks ago on Signing Tanaka, extending Trout and mutual exclusivity
@angels1961Yes, they will need to be replaced, but they have plenty of time to figure that out and hopefully Tanaka would be able to join Trout as a franchise cornerstone to build around.
@ChaseKimuraA good point, one I touched on in a previous article, so I didn't want to dwell on it here. I strongly believe they should just pay the tax this year. They should have a relatively easy time getting back under the tax line next season, so they won't get hammered with the increased tax rate.
@Rick K.Not saying that at all, just saying that I can foresee a scenario in which Dipoto sacrifices Kendrick's productivity in order to clear his salary and get back under the luxury tax line.
10 months, 3 weeks ago on Halo Headlines: Angels sign Mark Mulder, Braves not pursuing Howie Kendrick
11 months, 1 week ago on Finding a platoon partner for Raul Ibanez
@ShuebBaafeha, yeah, that was a pretty glaring typo. I guess I just have Trout on the brain. Although, now it makes me ponder what Trout actually would fetch in a posting scenario for Trout.
11 months, 1 week ago on Halo Headlines: proposing a $400 million extension for Mike Trout, Tanaka close to being posted
@Joemromero Miami does not seem inclined to trade Stanton, at least not this winter. Even if they did, the Angels have nothing close to the kind of package that it will take to get him.
11 months, 1 week ago on LA Angels offseason rumor tracker
@Under_Dog_Leftyfirst off, Robbie Ray is a starting pitcher and was the centerpiece of that deal. Second, the story came out later that the Angels offered Kendrick for Fister and got shot down. There were also several GMs that later came out and said they had no idea Detroit was shopping Fister. Yes, Detroit got a poor return that maybe the Angels could've matched, but it was the fault of Detroit's GM for not actually surveying the market.
11 months, 2 weeks ago on LA Angels offseason rumor tracker
@SoImTheBadGuy Ha, funny. That would never happen though. I'm sure I'be fine. Hey, what this red laser dot that suddenly appeared in the middle of my che-
11 months, 2 weeks ago on The Sean Burnett conspiracy theory
@bginsc We can debate about how much Trumbo was worth offensively, but consider this. Were the Angels going to win if Pujols and Hamilton tanked again even with Trumbo? They had Trumbo last year and it didn't help. As for the team speed, did you forget about Kendrick and Aybar? I mean, the Halos are no longer speed-based, but they definitely still have some speed. So maybe just relax a little bit.
11 months, 2 weeks ago on TRADE ALERT: Trumbo dealt for Santiago and Skaggs in three-way deal
@RyanAguirre That's a really tough question to answer because we obviously don't have the medical reports on either player. I'd venture that Halladay would get more than Santana, but both should at least get $5 million guaranteed, maybe as much as $10 million. That is purely a guess though.
11 months, 3 weeks ago on Alternative routes for the Angels to acquire pitching
@Under_Dog_Lefty Settle down, the Angels weren't a match here. Detroit traded Fister for salary relief and prospects. Kendrick is neither of those things. Boshers is barely a prospect and Carson most certainly is not. The Nationals hardly gave Detroit a prized package of prospects, but it is still better than anything the Angels could realistically offer.
11 months, 3 weeks ago on LA Angels offseason rumor tracker
@rjb1101 I think that might have accelerated the deal, but their interest in Freese was legit even before the Fielder-Kinsler swap.
1 year ago on Fallout from the Freese-Bourjos trade
I will say that I am pleasantly surprised. I would love for the Angels to have Price but my goal here was to provide analysis of how realistic that scenario really is. I'm sorry that my conclusion isn't one that coincides with your wishes for the team but it is a lot less "useless" than your wish casting.
1 year ago on Can the Angels really make a run at David Price?
How dare you, Joe! You listed so few teams as suitors! I mean, I only see 20 teams that you mentioned at least 3 times. What is up with that? I don't care about accurate analysis, I want you to suggest that the Rockies and Astros are going to pursue all the top shelf free agents! It doesn't matter if a team doesn't have money to spend or a need to fill!! Frankly, I think you should list even MORE teams. Where are the Yakult Swallows? The El Paso Chihuahuas? The St. Paul Saints? The Chico's Bail Bonds Bears? THIS IS A TRAVESHAMOCKERY!!!!
1 year ago on 2013 Offseason Primer: Top 30 Free Agents
@Under_Dog_Lefty You basically provided all your own answers there. The reason I doubt Trumbo can fetch a top prospect in return is because of the holes in his swing, but also because he doesn't get on base. You compared Trumbo to Thome. Thome whiffed a lot but he had a career OBP of .402. Trumbo is at a .299 for his career and playing in an era much more cognizant of the importance of OBP than Thome did when he broke into the league. .299 OBP is really bad and his power potential only offsets that deficiency so much. As I said about Trumbo in one of the earlier pieces in this series, there is always a chance that some non-stat savvy team falls in love with his power and overpays, but I doubt it.
But what you also said was that the team might regret trading him if they don't get top-shelf pitching in return. I think that is 100% true! I think that is exactly what Moreno will worry about, so they will only trade Trumbo for top-shelf pitching, therefore he won't be traded.
1 year ago on Angels Free Agency Primer: Starting Pitcher
@Rick K. I have no doubt that they will get better offers on Trumbo, but my guess is that those offers won't be good enough so they will take a lesser offer for Bourjos. Maybe I am weighing it to heavily, but I think the Halos are going to have a tough time talking Moreno into approving the trade of a fan favorite like Trumbo so they are only going to deal him if they get blown away with an offer (which i don't think will happen).
1 year ago on Angels Free Agency Primer: Outfield
@Rick K. No, I don't view Salmon as an option, but many fans have suggested it. Apparently there is a large segment of Angel fans who believe the coaching staff should be entirely composed of players on the 2002 World Series team. Erstad as bench coach, Salmon as hitting coach, Percival as pitching coach, GA as yawning coach, Eckstein as mascot, etc.
1 year, 1 month ago on Halo Headlines: speculation on Angel coaching staff vacancies, five minor league coaches fired
@Rick K. I completely agree. Even with the missteps that Dipoto has made, two years just isn't enough time to really evaluate him. My rule has always been that even the most incompetent GM needs three years if only because nobody is perfect (or even very good) at that job right away. Just the mere act of overhauling the front office twice in such a short period of time seems like a devastating decision to the future and progress of the franchise.
1 year, 1 month ago on BREAKING: Angels to keep Scioscia and Dipoto but fire two coaches, questions still remain