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This garbage (ESPN's not Kyle's) is hardly worth commenting on, but here's where a huge fault lies. #32 in "draft" must be based entirely on 2014. Yet they are ranking for the next three years, so I guess the stellar A+ 2012 draft and mediocre 2013 draft never happened? (And those players were all abducted by aliens and won't contribute in the next three years.) And they apparently assume future drafts will all involve trading away a first rounder for a dubious starter? That's idiotic. Do they really believe the team is 12 slots worse in 2014 than 2013?
I am a financial analyst and one of the very first things an old boss told me when valuing an asset was NEVER tell a client "well, that's what the numbers say." These guys are inputting semi-valid opinions of independent variables and without assessing the logic of the whole, it's spitting out garbage.
1 week, 5 days ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/2014-articles/colts-ranked-21st-in-espns-futures-power-rankings.html
"Nevertheless, he tested positive for a PED, and the league may not ...." Technically, he tested positive for a masking agent. Big difference that a lot of media yahoos may ignore. I suspect he has a mountain of evidence to support his case, were this an actual courtroom event. But the NFL is not.
Just a huge, stupid mistake by him. Jeez, these guys know they cannot ingest anything out of the ordinary without checking--with the proper authorities-first. (I once had an MD prescribe what he said were antibiotics for an ear infection. Thy did not work. Some time later, my bro-in-law, also an MD, said, "No, that is a decongestant.") Robert, Robert Robert, I hate that this will be lumped in with the Whizzinator and Richard Sherman's Adderal use (h got off on a technicality, not on proven innocence)
On the flip side, congrats on the rowing family. Catch up on your sleep now, my friend.
2 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/2014-articles/robert-mathis-faces-4-game-p-e-d-suspension-possibly-over-fertility-treatments.html
Wow, the top clip shows his QB short-arming like 80% of the throws. Not bad, but most are back-hip throws for a guy who is running, not pivoting (i.e. leading him might have given him some YAC). One thing I did NOT like, but that is correctable, is he looks for the ball WAY too early. 87 will fix that. All in all, pretty good looking.
2 months, 2 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/uncategorized/colts-snag-wr-donte-moncrief-with-the-90th-overall-pick.html
This looks like a fine pic. I viewed WR as a bit of a luxury or second-tier need. Yes we'll need one next year, but there are guys we need more this year. Unless Delano Howell has recently stated breaking granite slabs with the power of his mind and shooting pigeons out of the sky with his laser vision. Then I guess we're cool at safety. And if an "X-Men: Indianapolis" movie is in the works, we're pretty much set there as well.
Aaaaaand... the head-scratching commences. Probably not a bad pick (damned by faint praise) but not at all hat anybody was thinking. The only thing stranger would have been QB. Hey, if a QB was BPA would they have taken him?
2 months, 2 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/uncategorized/14126.html
@ECB I'm not sure Brown's production from his first four seasons was the reason he was not resigned. Last year's production and his refusal to give up when things looked grim more than merited signing, him; problem was, he was one of he top FA RBs and got a market deal at $3.0-$3.5M per year. Our entire current backfield (Ballard, Bradshaw, TRich) costs a hair more than that, and if healthy, the team feels they can all produce a well as Brown for less. His nagging injury history prior to 2013 may have factored in.
If there were 5 clearly superior RB FAs on the market and Brown looked like a $2.0M player given that market, I think they might have resigned him.
3 months ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/uncategorized/colts-go-back-to-work-four-things-to-keep-an-eye-on-in-2014.html
Wasn't it Josh Gordy who officially put the KC playoff game away by batting away Smith's final pass (or maybe it was just body positioning to force the WR out of bounds). Regardless, it was a good defensive play (on a marginal pass) when we needed it. I'd hate for Sergio Brown to leave special teams (small of me, I know).
3 months ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
If you judge by 2013 records (not always the smartest idea) it' an EZ sate-AFCS was bad, as was NFCE, and ACN was so-so. The other div champs will be tough, of course... and all those weak 2013 teams could be improved. Except the Jags, of course.
3 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@thellamajockey @DougEngland Wow, that is a very interesting idea about PUP for Reggie and maybe trading one of the promising ids to a team whose WR goes down early.... I am sure RW would HATE it--a guy who drives a dump truck to training camp with a hard hat on--he wants to work and get a job done and not be put on a shelf, but it could be the smart move. May depend on schedule, too.
3 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
Totally off-topic, but I just saw a great Grigson quote about Donald Thomas: "He’s stronger than 9 acres of garlic up top." This totally makes me wary, of course, because their other flamboyant phrases ("rolling ball of butcher knives"--Pagano on Richardson and "800-lb safe in the middle"--Pagano on Chapman) have hardly been the stuff of NFL legend. We do have a front office with a gift for phrasing things, however. If they start tossing around "caveman neckbeard" we can anticipate a down season for Luck.
4 months ago on Colts 2014 Draft Order Finalized
I'll join the hit parade of happy fans. This I darn good news.
4 months, 2 weeks ago on Colts Sign WR Hakeem Nicks to a 1-Year Deal
Yeesh... Glad he's aboard, but the money scares me. If Mathis has another great year and Werner matures and Jones brings QB pressure from the DE slot while he and Jackson limit the run, Vontae should have a fine year that justifies the price. But if we generate no QB pressure, nobody can cover a good WR for 6-7 seconds, it'll look like wasted money on Davis. I'll remain optimistic, but cautious.
4 months, 2 weeks ago on Colts Re-Sign Vontae Davis
@MarcusDugan Marcus, an upgrade you say? I say that you, bound head-to-toe in duct tape, with your feet in cement and a jester hat on your head (not entirely sure why) would be an upgrade. A scarecrow with halitosis would be an upgrade. Hyperbole? Perhaps. I'll draw the line at a 56 year-old Ray Donaldson.. No... no, I won't. Ray, the door's open. Bring your cane.
4 months, 3 weeks ago on Goodbye, Samson Satele
@Lou Pin @Stuebers_Inn I'm stunned! Did not recall that.
6 months ago on Good News Tuesday: The Last Edition
@Lou Pin Nice work, Lou, you sunny optimist, you. I love it that your Colts glass is always half full (or more!). My only "complaint" (much too strong a word) would be to ask that you somehow eliminate the Satele images. Or superimpose Alex Mack's or Evan Dietrich-Smith's face....?
@ikcl You are WRONG!, he explained. (there, that wind you up enough?) Wouldn't want you to get bored in the off-season.... It's almost funny that the two areas where they said "This is most important" their efforts came to naught, and the reasons for our success were the other stuff. It's like if I said to my wife and publicly declared, having a beautiful lawn is the most important thing. I'll spend a ton on supplies, equipment, seed, fertilizer, irrigation and in the end, it sucks. She decides I am incompetent and hires a gardener. Our front office is not incompetent and will not be replaced, but they fell far short of their stated goals... what will thy do next year? More of the same? Clone Erik Walden, RJF, and Trent Richardson? Yikes! will that make us any better? No. Let's hope they learn and are adaptable or they will waste Luck's prime.
6 months ago on Franchise Building: It's All About Efficiency
@NelsOlson That is true to some extent--a healthy receiving corps + Luck should be very good. I cannot wait to see Allen and Reggie back, and a refined seasoned, and mature Rogers as well. But the things the "run philosophy" can do to LIMIT the passing game includes things like the Richardson trade which reduces our draft picks in 2014, reducing our ability to get bargain-priced top talent. That hurts the whole team. (If they valued running less, they could have signed any available back for $1M, gotten similar production, and kept the draft choice. Their RUN ideology drove that deal, not merely the injuries.) They can focus on signing OL who are better run blockers than pass blockers, again diminishing the pass game and maybe Luck's health. They can sign run-stoppers at the expense of signing pass rushers and cover CB and Safeties. That ignores league-wide trends and reduces any competitive advantage Luck and the receiving corps give us, if your D cannot compete in the league in 2014 because it is built to play football circa 1975.
@chip_bennett Yep. I thought Blount was pretty pedestrian, until he kneed us all in the privates (thanks to a fine defensive effort). 1 score game, on the road in the playoffs, with Luck, in the 4th quarter? Can't ask much more than that. Those damn turnovers and field position.
@zgs1288 And it paid off with the NFCCG win.
6 months, 1 week ago on Vernon Davis, free agent watch
Lou, you mean Vernon's brother, Vontae. My first thought was "another TE? We have two good ones!" Then I realized the mistake.
@MarcusDugan @Brent_Dragoo Ricky Williams has/had a somewhat debilitating social disorder and after a few disappointing seasons (and a lot of medicinal drugs) managed an 1,800 yard season. What concerned me is the suggestion that he's having problems at practice, where you are in a safe, controlled environment. Jeez, if he can't even hit a hole hard in practice...? Don't want to think about it.
6 months, 1 week ago on Colts Notebook: Ryan Grigson Discusses the Offseason Ahead
@MarcusDugan @AJ_ Ouch, ouch, ouch. I really shouldn't be laughing at this stuff. But I am. Maybe they're using the carts so they don't injure themselves. Their jobs probably require it. Just like football players can't ski or sky-dive, these BMI-enhanced folks have stringent limitations on what they are allowed to do lest they pull a hammy, pile-drive their shin-bones into the ground, or unbalance the earth in its orbit.
Someone needs to teach Grigs the definitions of "fact" and "opinion." THAT, my friends, is a fact.
Thinking back to the skeptical articles written when these guys were signed, I have to say #1 , hey, you guys are pretty sharp. Toler's injury history was not a mirage (as predicted). TRich is... TRich (as predicted). Walden, glad to say, was not as bad as feared. Not special, just not horrid (which was speculated). RJF's biggest asset, when signed, was supposed to be versatility on the DL in a 3-4 (any position if needed). Not sure we've reaped the rewards of that, but we may need that some day. Werner might make a leap in year 2 (or at least be healthy), which could plaster over a lot of cracks in the D. More pressure on QBs makes it easier for DBs to cover receivers. Grigson, please keep that in mind if that does happen next year, the DBs didn't suddenly get good (i.e. let's not extend them!). It was hard for him to go wrong with Luck as the first pick. Grigs also did a fine job with other draft picks, Fleener, Allen, TY, etc. But this surely will be the year when a GM earns his salary--no first rounder, a lot of needs, and a bit of cap room, but not too much, with that looming Luck extension a few years distant.
6 months, 1 week ago on 2014 Salary Cap Impact for Cutting Notable Colts
@Colts365 @ColtsAuth_Kyle @Coltsfanwilson Can't Luck just snap it to himself? We used to do that all the time playing in the street.... and he's WAY better than my brother.
@smonroe @MarcusDugan All it takes is one fool with a checkbook. I'd like 41 back, but not as a full time starter, an not for a lot of money. $1.5M per year for two years? I think the pass-rushers saw how the market treats 30 year old guys at a highly valued spot--Abraham, Freeney, and Co were surprised, to say the least, at how little they could command. But if somebody's starting S blows out a knee in June and there's no clear replacement, AND they think they're one or two players away, 41 might get his money.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on Colts Notebook: "Like Last Day of School"
IIRC Rogers was targeted 4-5 times and had at least 3 drops. Maybe they were contested but we've seen him mike those catches before. A bit disappointing. The D had a nice run in the 2nd/3rd quarters I believe, holding the Pats to 4 3-and-outs in five possessions. That's when the O has to capitalize on it and build momentum and go for the jugular. Didn't quite wok, and after holding the Pats barely in check for that time, the am burst in the 4th Q. Ah, well, it just wasn't there. I still wonder why some of those other teams didn't run on us more, regardless of score. Good move, BB. I'm pretty hopeful for next year. On top of it all, Dierdorf was not horrible. Sure they missed Mathis's strip sack with the "Dan's Retiring" tear-jerker-attempt, but for the first 55 minutes of gametime he was at least average and his most annoying problem was harping over and over on the Pats run count. Dude, we heard it the first time, find something else to provide "insight" about.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on DIVISIONAL ROUND REPORT CARD: COLTS AT PATRIOTS
@MarcusDugan Barnwell's preview on Grantland ended with basically, eh, it's a tossup. A lot of people will se one narrative or another (emotional momentum, or emotional exhaustion) but for me, I'll go with turnovers. He was right. It was a close, one-score game but for the picks on our side and recovered fumbles for the Pats. Mathis finally got his strip sack (better late than never) but nobody had a clue where the ball went until #70 fell on it. That stung. Literally every bounce of the ball went the Pats' way, from the missed tackles, ref no-calls, good coaching decisions, Havili's bobbled INT, the Punt that could have been a TD then ended up being just a safety (net 5 pt loss). And Rogers dropping every one of his targets. Dayum. Seriously, if three unusual plays went the other way its a tie game--not one that we should have won, but a much closer contest: Havili hanging on to the ball, The safety being a TD, and somebody tripping Blount on the 73 yarder. Their run game was steady and not bad, but until that point, they averaged under 4.0 YPC and gained maybe 120 yards total--good but not blowout good. As I told my sons, we didn't play well enough to win, but the final score was galling. Pats are 3-1 over Colts in playoffs, with the home team winning each time. Let's see how the 4-4 road team does in Denver next week.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on AFC Divisional Round Recap: Patriots 43, Colts 22
@MarcusDugan @matt_has @hankster Message, schmessage. It's surely a wasted opportunity. Always hated that from the Manning Colts, especially when our opponents, in that situation, would take advantage of D weakness and succeed with 30 seconds left about 1/4 of the time. But when you kneel on the ball, you succeed 0% of the time.
@mdunn919 @NateDunlevy Rogers and a double move might = DPI or D holding. I think his first target was a long DPI this year. A defender has to be concerned bout this big fast guy blasting by him, or juking him regardless of his rout refinement. Safer to grab than to risk him catching a timing pass. Now... will it be called? Odds are against it. Good article on DPI playoff penalties, and the Seahawks today in the Wall Street Journal.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Patriots
@Nate Dunlevy @hankster 30's? Eh maybe, but it came out my sr year of college, when I had lots of time to watch god movies. And I hit 50 next year. It's timeless and ageless. And the book is even better, but not much.
Nice work, Nate. I couldn't agree more... except for the score. I think you are about 10 pts light on each side. Let's just put down our weapons and and kill each other like civilized men.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on Hitchhiker's Guide to Colts at Patriots, AFC Divisional Round
Greg, this was beautiful, but too big to comment on in one post. Part The First: Regarding "taking way Hilton and going to Fleener" keep in mind that the Pats IRed their best ILB run defender, but still have decent ILB pass defenders. The underneath pas game is still a challenge, unless we flood the crossing routes, short outs, etc and scatter those guys, or hit Brown a LOT out of the backfield. Or just run if they have 6 in the box. Brown has 5.3 YPC and their run D is awful. Even better, it keeps the ball out of Tommy's hands. I could see a run-heavy battle for 2-3 quarters. (Pep an Pagano finally vindicated!) If Hilton and Rogers both go deep on opposite sides of the field (A) Luck s choices, (B) one should not be doubled, (C) if both get safety help, the underneath lanes should be open for passes AND runs. BB is way smarter than I am, but I think they are vulnerable. Last game we had 29% of our hole season turnovers in ONE game; roughly 5 games worth. Yeowch! Not likely to happen again. Last year, Pats had two pick-sixes and a PR TD, plus two TDs to Gronk--not likely to repeat those 35 pts. Plus 24 of Brady's 35 attempts went to guys who are not on the field Saturday night.
I knew Belichick was impressive, but if he already trademarked The Maiming Plan, then he's really outdone himself.
Watch that GIFF above-Mathis could have had the sack earlier, but he ran alongside Smith's left side 3-4 strides so he could get closer and attack the arm on the right side. Any fast defender could have gotten that sack once he was past the second blocker, but Mathis knew what was needed--not just a sack, but a FF. THAT's veteran savvy and adding value. Nice piece, Kyle. I agree that Watt (like Manning) could win it (MVP) every year, but when he has a down statistical year and someone else has a big one, the other guy gets the hardware, In this case, Mathis.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on Why I Voted Robert Mathis for DPOY
@Lou Pin I think Luck referred to it as his patented strip or something like that, yeah. It must have been agony to watch for KC fans because I was pretty clear what was going to happen for a couple seconds. I was yelling in my house "he's gonna get a strip, watch this..." and sure enough. I don't have the free time to dig into all of Brady's 40 sacks (who were his opponents, who were his receivers, early/late season, win/loss) but I suspect 98 and co will have their chances and if they succeed, good things will happen. Plus we'll get to see Brady sitting on the frozen turf screaming at the refs like a kid who just lost his lunch money and wants to kick somebody. That's always good theater.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Good News Tuesday Infographic: Colts Stun Chiefs with Historic Comeback
@Bobman1 Oh, and great stats on TY! I had no idea. Sure, the NFL has changed in the last 15 years or so, thanks in part to Manning (pre-Manning,.no QB had more than 3 consecutive 4,000 yard seasons--Manning has like a dozen, or something like that. Brees has hit 5,000 4 out of the last 6 years! Matt Stafford, of all guys.... oh, never mind), but those other guys (except Wayne) were generally the go-to guy with not much help. TY has done all this with Wayne producing well for 1.5 of those first two years. Much higher production than I realized. And hewasn't even the true 2 for most of that time (Avery, DHB)
A fun read, Lou, but you left out Mathis's strip sack? That was huge Man, I hope you don't run into him in a dark alley some day, while you're carrying a football, and wearing another team's jersey, and by dark alley I mean football field... oh never mind.
@MarcusDugan Shouldn't they have added DB help instead? Now with 6 WRs on the squad, where the hell will we fit all the FBs Pep wants to run his offense? Hmmm, maybe they've seen the light. Let's see... Pats IR Spikes, Colts IR two defenders and add two WRs... does that nudge the "over" line any higher? To, like, 100? Have the Pats contacted Marvin Harrison or Craphonso Thorpe? Oh wait, they already have Collie, whether he knows it or not.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Indianapolis Shuffles the Roster, Signs WR Deion Branch
Wait, did Nate just call TY a womprat? They're two meters long, right,,, just a bit more than TY. How funny would it be to get a #13 jersey with Womprat on the back. Well, funnier if I lived in Indy instead of Seattle.... A really wonderful piece, Nate.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Growing Up Before My Eyes
Nice piece, Nate. Silly boy, if the Colts lost the blame would have been on Manning... somehow. Like he left a choke-virus in the locker room or something scientific an analytical like that. Professional jackoff Simmons would blame it on Manning face. There was some serious screaming here in Seattle. Loved the play calling. Haven't we been calling for that all season? Okay, I had been holding out hope, but I am finally with you 99%after the unforced fumble--TRich was a colossal mistake.
@MarcusDugan Voting is over, but Mathis just tacked on a nice reminder on today's game--strip sack fumble turned the game around. Remember, you cannot spell ROBERT MATHIS without the word BEAST (literally--I checked this out--it's true. Otherwise you'd be a'', "Yo, Ror Mhi, nice game!" and he'd be all "You just come from the dentist, man?" and the you have to explain "No, I tried to spell your name without B-E-A-S-T" and he'd be all, "Dude, you need a head doctor and fast. And some breath mints.")
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Robert Mathis Named AFC Defensive Player of the Month, Deserves DPoY Consideration
@Shake1n1bake Still never lost one, I guess.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Colts/Chiefs Post game show, Live at 8pm
@BDiddy I think Bethea's gone after this season--there were a few plays where he was out of position and it hurt. Maybe ore than that.
@GregC That Luck rushing TD was one of the most exciting plays ever. Insane,.Happy dancing here I Seattle. And some rousing cheers, too. Josh Gordy FTW!
@smonroe Four more this year, that is. Right?
6 months, 3 weeks ago on CA Charting Project: Offensive Line Charting, Week 17
@GeoffreyHarmon I second this. This is a hell of a lot of work and thought and it's fantastic stuff. Thanks so much, Ben!
@MarcusDugan Come on, Marcus, a little more homerism here, please. What the hell am I paying you for, to be fair and unbiased? Mathis has a very strong case and part of that is the fact that he has not had much help in the pass rush dept--it's all him. Nobody absorbing double teams, nobody chasing the QBs to him from the opposite side, etc. Kuechly had a fine season on a monster D, but if not for that one 24-tackle game, I am not sure he's in the convo. And the Hawks could put a few guys on the list, all back-7 guys, which tells me that it's a team effort--Defensive Team of the Year, yes. But individual DPsOY? Not sure. Same for Quinn in STL. It's Mathis all the way.
@NateDunlevy Good pun.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on What to Expect 2013 Draft Revisited