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One wrinkle in all this is that predicting voter behavior isn't like predicting a coin toss. The activity of the pundits, and now even the behavior of Silver, possibly alters the outcome in some unmeasurable way. Joe Scarborough is on the air for hours each day and could conceivably have a real impact. Add up all the hours voters are exposed to all pundits and conceivably their (pundits') saying something like Romney momentum is true can make it so. So this all may be a moot discussion. The pundits aren't here to predict or propose odds of a result; they're here to cause a result. They have a completely different job than Silver and unfortunately will never go away.

2 years, 1 month ago on Foxy Nate Silver and why old-media hedgehogs could soon be old news

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