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@Mike Petriello Yasiel Puig needs his own reality show ASAP! I'd eagerly anticipate every episode!
Puig is just pure entertainment, on and off the field!
1 month, 1 week ago on The Right And Wrong Ways To Criticize The 2014 Dodgers
@RA_S Totally agree. Everyone is worrying about being 7.5 games behind SF, but if the playoffs started today, the Dodgers would be a wild card in the playoffs and a definite threat to go deep.
If the Dodgers get in the playoffs, they have as good a chance as any team to win it all. In a series, their Big 3 of Kershaw, Greinke and Ryu is as good as it gets.
@Chad Moriyama Not sure on who to replace him with, but not being stuck with a 6 year dear worth $23 mill/yr would be a better place to be in.
I like the idea of signing guys only up til their age 35 year. Even that is pushing it, but at least its not until a guy gets into his late 30's, when most likely they will be pretty well declined.
5 months, 1 week ago on The Time To Extend Hanley Ramirez Is Now
@Lobo @EEstaris @Chad Moriyama Agree. That's why I said I'd offer him the 5 years now.
@Chad Moriyama @EEstaris You're probably right, but I'd draw the line at 5 years. If he gets 6 or 7 years elsewhere, I'd let him walk. Too much, IMO.
@Chad Moriyama @EEstaris Oops. sorry Chad.
I'd offer Hanley the low end of Brim's range (5 yrs, $100 mill) and if he doesn't take it, wait it out.
It can't hurt to have a motivated Hanley for 2014.
If the Dodgers win the World Series and he plays a big role, then give him a 5 yr $120 mill deal to say thank you.
Its an over pay on AAV, but not horrible on years. I think he'd take that.
@DBrim @EEstaris Yeah, me too. Also, Maholm is only 31 (vs. 37 with Arroyo) and he actually pitched okay for the Cubs last year.
5 months, 2 weeks ago on Paul Maholm Is Apparently Going To Be A Dodger
A league average starter for your 5th spot is doing fine. Maholm wont be great, but he should be more than adequate at the back of the rotation.
I like the signing, if it happens, as long as its 1 yr.
It really depends on health of Crawford. Crawford was healthier last year and while he wasn't great, he played well early on and also in the playoffs.
I think if Crawford continues to get healthier and they manage his usage right, he can be more productive, overall, than Ethier because I still think Crawford can steal 30 bases, hit 10+ HRs. As long as his avg. is around .280 and his OBP. around .330, he's an asset, offensively.
7 months, 2 weeks ago on Hanley Ramirez Extension Could Happen Soon
Oh I agree, but its an angle the Red Sox could play up and use for PR.
I agree that Ned isn't factoring that in, just saying that its pretty well known that Ethier and Pedroia are buddies from their ASU days.
Agree, and I think they will. If the Dodgers make Ethier a $10 mill/yr player for them, then they could probably get Middlebrooks.
Ethier gets to reunite with his buddy, Pedroia, and would thrive in that park and in the AL East.
I like the idea of Ethier for Middlebrooks, with the Dodgers eating some money.
When the alternative is giving up a boatload of prospects AND shelling
out a big contract for David Price, I think the Dodgers will settle for
just shelling out the $20 mill and big bucks for a contract on Tanaka.
7 months, 2 weeks ago on Give Us All Of The Tanaka, Please
If the Dodgers needed pitching more maybe I would swap Fernandez for Puig, but with the Dodgers' current roster, now way would I do that.
Puig is more valuable to the Dodgers because he's an every day player and should bring a great combo of power, speed and very good defense in RF.
Dodgers already have Kershaw, Greinke and Ryu so they have a decent foundation of starting pitching. Puig brings the Dodgers a lot they need.
8 months, 2 weeks ago on Yasiel Puig Isn’t Going To Win Rookie of the Year, And That’s Okay
@Mike Petriello @jml2279 IMO, that's when you will even get anything close to legitimate rumors. And even the info floated around by some of these media guys will be exaggerated or flat out wrong.
8 months, 2 weeks ago on The Dodgers Will Trade An Outfielder, Unless They Don’t
@capnsparrow @EEstaris Yeah, signings are what matter and most of those likely ain't happening until December.
Rumors in November are pointless. Once GMs meet next week, they will get a real feel for how viable trades are.
Then, things will really pick up at the Winter Meetings in December.
I don't put much import into anything being said right now.
@PagansOedipalComplex @EEstaris Its an over pay, but for 1 season? A team with the money like the Dodgers can certainly afford it.
I mean they need to maintain the bullpen and its not like there are tons of options out there.
For most teams, yes, it makes no sense. For the Dodgers? I could see it.
8 months, 3 weeks ago on The Dodgers and the Qualifying Offer
For a big money team like the Dodgers, giving a qualifying offer to Wilson. Has merit. While a large dollar amount, its only for 1 season.
And it pretty much guarantees you get Wilson for another year, which is what you ideally want. I'd do it.
I would sign Eric Chavez to platoon with Uribe (re-sign him, of course) at 3B. I like Mike's idea for Van Slyke as the 1B/OF/RH power bat. I'd have Brendan Ryan for the defensive SS. Last, I would re-sign Punto as a utility player who can cover 2B/SS/3B.
E.Chavez, Van Slyke, B.Ryan, Punto and FedEx.
8 months, 4 weeks ago on Improving the 2014 Dodgers: The Bench
@EephusBlue @EEstaris @Batted Bob @Dang88 @Mike Petriello Yeah, that's interesting. Certainly gives advantages to big market teams. Pretty sure Tanaka would want to negotiate with the Dodgers over a smaller market team since the Dodgers are flush with cash. If that's the case, then I like the Dodgers' chances to get Tanaka.
9 months ago on Let’s Get To Know Masahiro Tanaka
@Batted Bob @EEstaris @Dang88 @Mike Petriello I see. I didn't know that. So I'm confused. Isn't the whole point of posting a player for teams to bid against each other to win the right to negotiate with the posted player? How can 3 teams win that right?
@Dang88 @EEstaris @Mike Petriello No, I believe the team who wins the posting bid has exclusive contract negotiation rights with Tanaka.
The posting fee does not go against the salary cap so the Yanks can bid as high as they want with that and then whatever the AAV is for the contract goes against the salary cap.
@Mike Petriello I think its either the Yankees or Dodgers. I think a smart way for them to stay under that $189 million threshold is to win the bid on Tanaka and then try and play a little hard ball to keep the AAV on his salary too big. I see the Yanks offering up a huge posting fee (ie. $60 mill) and then maybe only offering around $10 to $12 mill a year on the contract. Tanaka will take it because the Yanks have exclusive rights of negotiation.
If the Dodgers win tonight, then the Cards are looking at a scenario where the Dodgers have to win 3 games and two of those will be started by Kershaw and another one by Greinke.
One other thing to consider is that the Cards' starters are all RHPs and if Ethier is healthy enough to play in CF for this series, then a LOT of the Dodgers' quality hitters (Crawford, AGon, Ethier) will be batting from their better side.
Everything seems to lineup that the Dodgers should win this series in 6 games. We'll see what happens.
9 months, 2 weeks ago on Game 1 — And the NLCS? — Hinges On Joe Kelly
I do like Wilson's resurgence, but I still think Donnie will rely heavily on Beli and Paco in the playoffs, as he should, IMO.
Their issues of late, IMO, reek of over usage. I really hope Donnie uses both of them sparingly the last few games. I honestly feel like if he does that, then Beli and Paco will be better for the playoffs.
With the off days that playoff baseball brings, Beli and Paco should get enough rest to be fresh enough for the post season, as long as they are used sparingly to end the season.
But now with Wilson and Withrow pitching so well, the Dodgers bullpen looks very formidable:
Withrow, Howell, Wilson, Paco, Beli and Jansen
Those 6, when going well, are about as good a bullpen as you will find in baseball.
10 months ago on So Brian Wilson Is the Setup Man Now, Isn’t He
Good article, Mike.
For me, I would go with Marmol for the 11th pitcher and Dee Gordon for the 14th position player. Gordon can be a late weapon as a pinch runner (like we've seen with Billy Hamilton). I like Van Slyke, but 5 OFs is enough. Hairston Jr. is the likely pick, but he should not be on the postseason roster based on how ineffective he's been this year.
10 months ago on Okay, Now We Can Talk About the Dodger Playoff Roster
@Mike Petriello @EEstaris Yeah, the media is really going to beat the drum about the Dodgers trading one of their star outfielders.
Frankly, I just don't know if the Dodgers can afford to. Kemp, Ethier and Crawford have all shown their penchant for getting injured and any of them could easily sustain injuries that take up most of the season (as Kemp & Crawford have both shown in their careers).
Puig plays so hard that he's an injury waiting to happen.
I mean, yes, the OF would be very expensive, but we are also talking about a Dodger team that is going to average around $300 mill a year in TV rights revenue from Time Warner starting in 2014, up from around $40 mill that Fox gave the Dodgers for this year (2013). So now the Dodgers will get an increase of over $250 mill a year. The salary for the 4 OFs will probably be around $65-$70 million dollars. Expensive, but affordable for this team.
I think unless the Dodgers get full value for one of them (ie. a quality SP, 2B or 3B player/prospect while the Dodgers eat some (not the majority) of the money), they will stand pat for 2014.
10 months, 1 week ago on The Return of Matt Kemp?
I have a feeling Kemp is going to help give this team another boost, similar to Puig. You know he's chomping at the bit to play again and he is needed with all the recent injuries to the whole OF.
Also, while people love to talk about trading an OF in the offseason, it looks apparent to me that they need 4 quality OFs when you factor their injury histories.
Unless they get fair value for one of them, I think all 4 come back to start next season.
Like Mike said, tough to worry right now. Reds fighting for playoffs and Dodgers are cruising. Teams with 2 different intensity levels right now.
10 months, 2 weeks ago on Reds 4, Dodgers 3: It Helps To Use Fast Guys to Run
Agree with Mike. The overall biggest priority going into the playoffs is that everyone is healthy and rested. If Mattingly can do that and get his playoff rotation lined up correctly, then that's the best you can hope for.
After that it's just about continuing to do what they've done so far this season to hopefully win a World Series.
10 months, 3 weeks ago on Does the Best Record In the League Matter?
@PagansOedipalComplex @EEstaris @Purple Drank Yesterday was his shortest start in like a decade.
10 months, 4 weeks ago on Dodgers 4, Cubs 0: Ricky Nolasco, Trade of the Year
@PagansOedipalComplex @EEstaris Well, I wouldn't go Ethier or Manny just yet. For one thing, who knows if the Dodgers re-sign Nolasco. Secondly, let's see if he can keep it up. Seems like he can, but he is pitching at a really, really high level right now so its not a guarantee.
@Purple Drank @EEstaris No, that's Kershaw. Kershaw's the horse. Greinke is a stallion.
Totally agree, Mike, the trade for Nolasco goes down as the best trade made so far this year. The Yankees' trade for Soriano is close, but the Nolasco trade wins in my book because Nolasco has helped the Dodgers longer.
Without him, the rotation would not be as stable as it is now, with 4 very good starters.
@TellMyWifeISaidHello @DBrim @Lobo Also consider all the horrible LFs the Dodgers had since Manny left. Crawford is a good LF.
I think he can be a good LF for a few more years IF they have good reserve OFs to give him days off.
11 months ago on The Nick Punto Trade With Boston, One Year Later
@Oppressed Purple Drank @EEstaris Agree. I think Valentine's personality played a partial role in the Red Sox clubhouse melting down last year. The guy was a horrible hire for that type of team.
The trade helped both teams. In Boston they just needed to clean house, although one aspect not really mentioned is that Bobby Valentine probably did not help the situation as manager, either.
For the Dodgers, they filled two of the biggest holes they had: first base and left field and I think filled them nicely for at least the next few years.
Getting AGon, at the price they got him, 6 yrs and $127 mill (also with $12 mill coming back from BOS) was much more of a bargain than the 9 yr/ $214 mill that Fielder got or the 10yrs/ $240 mill Pujols got.
AGon for a net avg. of $19.17 mill/yr looks great, especially when you also consider the Dodgers don't really have a 1B in the minors who is even remotely close to the majors yet.
Trading De La Rosa and Webster may seem steep, but the Dodgers signed Greinke and Ryu and those guys have obviously helped make the Dodgers one of the top rotations in MLB.
Obviously, if the Dodgers win the World Series this year, the Boston trade and the Marlins trade to get Hanley will go down as big reasons why it was possible to do it in such a short period of time since the new owners took over.
The scary thing to consider is Ramirez and Kemp should both be very fresh come late September because those guys have not played a lot of games this year.
You also figure Puig will be fresh because, well, he's 22. So a lot of the core offensive guys could be fresh and rolling come October.
The current hot streak is nice, but I look forward to seeing what this team is capable of in the playoffs and it looks like, potentially, this team could be really tough to beat with Kershaw and Greinke at the top of a playoff rotation, an offense with a very deep lineup and a very good bullpen.
It could be a very fun October for us Dodgers fans!
11 months, 2 weeks ago on On the Road to 100 Dodger Wins
@JoeyE @EEstaris Believe me, Lilly or League can be hurt in a hurry. Either for real or make believe.
12 months ago on Dodgers @ Blue Jays July 24, 2013: Leave Ted Lilly in Canada
My HOPE is Lilly was activated as insurance for tonight (since Marmol, League and Jansen are likely unavailable tonight) and that once the Dodgers come back home they will activate Van Slyke since they will likely need him for NL games.
Of course, I am probably totally wrong.
@Mike Petriello Very good deal for the Red Sox. Hopefully they front load the deal so they have flexibility with him in the later years but the Avg. Annual Value looks reasonable.
1 year ago on Report: Dodgers Sign Cuban Shortstop Alexander Guerrero to 7/$32m Deal
@Capnsparrow What, you don't yearn for the days of Loney, M.Ellis, Gordon ant Uribe?!
@ALVX @EEstaris Agree. That sucked!
@Dave (Trade Puig while he's hot) @EEstaris @PagansOedipalComplex Yeah you are right. My bad. So I guess it would make even more sense to re-sign Uribe next season, seeing they will literally have NO 3B signed for next year.
Uribe is actually a decent defensive 3B. Lacks range but is reliable on any ball he can get to.
I figure Seager needs another year, at least, to be ready for 3B (or SS). Uribe can fill that 1 year void.
@Mike Petriello My guess is the Dodgers have scouted him extensively enough to know he could likely help soon, especially if they start him in AA or AAA. I trust the scouting department. They nailed it with Puig and Ryu.
@PagansOedipalComplex @EEstaris Well, Uribe is not signed for '14 so I doubt he's coming back, unless he would want to do a 1 yr deal.
Absent any other options, signing Uribe to a 1 yr deal may not be a bad idea, but the Dodgers could move Hanley to 3B, Guerrero to SS and then sign a free agent 2B instead.
I guess we have to see what happens in the Winter.
What Kasten and the Guggies have done in just over a year to overhaul the roster is nothing short of impressive.
Consider what next year's Opening Day lineup could look like versus what it looked like in 2012:
LF Crawford vs. Juan Rivera
RF Puig vs. Ethier
1B AGon vs. Loney
SS HanRam vs. Gordon
CF Kemp vs. Kemp
C A.Ellis vs.A. Ellis
2B Guerrero vs. M.Ellis
3B Punto (although assume FA signing or HanRam to 3B with a SS signing) vs. Uribe
That's a significant upgrade in talent in the lineup for the Dodgers. Then you also factor Grienke and Ryu in the rotation and its just a much better 25 man roster.
@WBBsAs (Larry Bowa Anger Management Training) @EEstaris @TellMyWifeISaidHello I dunno, I wouldn't go that far. Look at his stats this year. He has been very effective.
1 year ago on Trading Season Looms in Los Angeles
@TellMyWifeISaidHello @EEstaris According to MLB.com's Jesse Sanchez, he has said some scouts told him he would not need much time to be ready for the majors. Obviously we won't know for sure unless he signs and has a few starts under his belt in the minors.
As far as K-Rod goes, I doubt the Brewers are going to get much for K-Rod. The team getting him would owe the prorated portion of his $8 million. Should still be a sizeable chunk of change for a mid-reliever and with no more draft pick compensation, that should ward off a lot of teams from giving much for him.
I'd like to see the Dodgers sign Miguel Gonzalez and then trade for K-Rod near or at the deadline.
I figure if Gonzalez signs next week, he could be up in the majors by late August, either as a starter or reliever. His arm could be an immediate impact, especially since hitters haven't faced him yet.
K-Rod is obviously not the guy he used to be with the Angels and Mets, but he can augment the bullpen and give Mattingly more options for the 7th and 8th innings. A bullpen of Howell, Dominguez, Paco, Belisario, K-Rod and Jansen does not look bad.
@SummerSaint @Lobo @Dang88(Never Stopped Loving Matt Kemp) Agree, that those 3 teams could claim Lee, but I think the real threats would be the Angels and Giants to do it.
The Giants make perfect sense because they block the Dodgers and if Philly dumped Lee on there lap, they would have Zito and Lincecum's contracts coming off the books and they probably wouldn't mind having a Top 3 of Lee, Bumgarner and Cain in their rotation going forward.
For the Angels, Moreno could trump the Dodgers and Lord knows they need the starting pitching.
My gut feeling is if the Dodgers are right in the hunt (or leading) of the NL West by the time Lee is put on waivers, then he will be claimed by one of those 2 teams.
@Mike Petriello @DodgersGuru Jesse Sanchez of MLB.com thinks Miguel Gonzalez will likely be signed by next week. He could still help a rotation or bullpen down the stretch, IMO. He's 26 and does not lack international experience.
My guess is the Dodgers get him, put him in the minors for a month or so and then bring him back up to either start or relieve, depending on the need.
I say no to Garza. Giving up Pederson or Lee for a rental makes no sense, at this point.
1 year ago on Cautiously Keeping An Eye on Matt Garza Trade Rumors
@Lobo @EEstaris Agree, but the Dodgers are about to get boatloads of money from their new deal with TWC and I am sure they are going to find ways to spend it to gain a more competitive edge.
Would not be surprised to see the Dodgers build up their international academies in the near future to help strengthen themselves internationally.
Also, the Dodgers now have financial leverage to basically take on big contracts or eat portions of contracts of players they deal. That will help them going forward in the trade market.
Despite what Kasten says, I think we will be seeing Dodger payroll stay close to $200 million going forward, just based on the rising costs of star players.
I see the Dodgers building up their farm system not only to support the Dodgers, but also to use as trade chips to collect stars off of other teams. Those stars will likely have big contracts.
1 year ago on So Everyone Hates Yasiel Puig Now
The Dodgers have really become the Yankees West. The Big Bad Evil Empire. The scary thing for MLB is that, IMO, the Dodgers have just begun. They are going to have boat loads of money to spend going forward and have owners who seem very eager to spend it in any way they can to improve the team.
Its kind of bad timing that MLB's new CBA instituted the new draft pools because I think under the old system the Dodgers would have probably spent like drunken sailors in the last 2 drafts.
I could definitely see the Phils make the Dodgers eat the rest of Michael Young's contract to get Utley.
I could see a deal like Dee Gordon, Garrett Gould and Skip Schumaker for Utley and Michael Young.
Phillies shed a bunch of money and Dodgers get Utley. Dodgers would probably ship out Van Slyke since Hairston can play LF.
Not a bad gamble by the Dodgers (I still think Utley is a big injury risk). New lineup would be pretty sick:
The only real issue I see is, of course, health and Kemp needs to get back to play CF to take pressure off of Ethier.
That lineup one through six is a nightmare for opposing pitchers, though. And A.J. Ellis will give you a strong AB and, like Mike said, Uribe has actually not been bad this year.
Now if the Dodgers were REALLY bold, they would try and add Cliff Lee to the package...
1 year ago on Trying Not to Sound Greedy While Suggesting the Dodgers Need Chase Utley
Good article, Mike. Agree. I just don't see why the Dodgers couldn't hold on to all 4 of their highly paid OFs through this season. Like Mike says, it strengthens the bench and, frankly, it guards against injury.
I like the idea of having a bench that includes one of the 4 OFs and maybe a Scott Van Slyke. It upgrades the power of potential pinch hitters and, frankly, it keeps guys like Schumaker and Hairston in more of utility roles that they should be. Guys like Schumaker, Punto and Hairston should NOT be playing regularly. They are all older and are more effective when they are relatively well rested.
Heck, I would even argue that if the Dodgers don't get value for Ethier in the offseason, then they should keep him. Reality is the Dodgers' new TV deal next year will net them around $6.5 billion over 25 years (per L.A. Times). That averages out to $260 MILLION and year, just for their own TV rights! That includes no money from stadium/attendance related revenue or the money received for the national TV deals MLB has or the online revenue that MLB makes.
Bottom line is the Dodgers are loaded and so keeping 4 OFs, even with their enormous salaries, is not a big financial burden for the Guggies.
1 year ago on Unpopular Opinion: The Dodgers Shouldn’t Trade Andre Ethier
I think the reality is that Uribe is so bad offensively that Mattingly feels like the defensive upgrade he gets with Sellers/Cruz on the left side of the infield is worth more than the output of a Cruz/Uribe left side.
I can't really fault that logic. I mean Uribe has been terrible his whole Dodger career with the bat. On top of that, he's shown himself not to be super durable, either. Heck, he was a late scratch from a game a few games ago with a tight hammy. I think Uribe's only, limited, value is as a utility player who maybe comes in as a late defensive replacement at 3B.
1 year, 3 months ago on Justin Sellers, Really?
While Dee is not a perfect solution, he has obviously the highest upside. He actually has shown a much better approach at the plate this Spring. I would go with Dee at SS and Cruz at 3B, with Punto, Hairston and Uribe filling in.
Its not pretty, but its what they got. Or maybe the Dodgers take another run at Rolen?
1 year, 4 months ago on Hanley Ramirez Needs Surgery, And We Ponder A Reality In Which The Choice Is Between Dee Gordon & Juan Uribe
@Mike Petriello @Dave Pomerantz LOL, trading Puig for anyone at this point would be GM suicide for Colleti. How in the world do you get commensurate value for a 22-year old, 5-tool player who's getting comped as a bigger Bo Jackson? Answer: you don't unless a dumb team ridiculously overpays for him.
HanRam absolutely DEMOLISHED that ball! Incredible bat speed and extension! Really impressive.
1 year, 4 months ago on Hanley Ramirez Just Destroyed a Baseball, And He’s Well Aware of It
@VND Well, I for one will wait to see how he pitches during the season to make my opinion on Ryu. Dodger coaches are pleased so that's encouraging to me, but how he does in season obviously matters most.
1 year, 4 months ago on Hyun-Jin Ryu And Scouting the Spring Stat Line
@Mike Petriello Well, in fairness to Ryu, he's never done it before and was extremely successful in Korea not doing it so I can see why he doesn't want to deviate from the routine that made him successful. We'll see if that has an adverse affect on him or not.
@Mike Petriello Likely that Ryu is still working into regular season shape. I remember Ryu saying that in Korea, teams have longer to get ready for the season. He may be just easing into form and not really letting loose right now.
I think we need to see him pitch as it gets closer to the start of the season to really evaluate him. I mean Kershaw has been knocked around this Spring and no one is worried. Its because pitchers usually are using the early part of Spring to work on stuff and build arm strength.
Keith Law and I just had a bit of a snarky exchange.
The thing about Ryu that seems to be his strength is fastball command and location. If he can locate his fastball well and can back it up with a good change up, then he can be a very good #3 SP just off of that.
I mean Ramon Martinez was dominant with a very good fastball and very good change up. Ryu can be good with a good fastball and very good change up. And if he can throw a decent slider over time, then he can be even better.
I am not expecting Ryu to dominate, just be a good #3 SP behind Kershaw and Greinke. I think he can be that.
@Tycho Blue Maybe so, but the Reds have said that they have moved on from Rolen and Rolen has said he might still play this year.
Maybe the Dodgers should send Magic to Rolen's house to sell him on being the primary 3B of a Championship contender. :)
1 year, 5 months ago on Report: Dodgers Offered Contract to Alex Gonzalez
I am wondering if the Dodgers won't try and convince Rolen to come out West and play 3B later on in the Spring if Luis Cruz has an struggles early in Spring Training.
I know Rolen isn't great anymore, but if used properly, I think he could be a serviceable at 3B for maybe 400 ABs or so.
@Disgruntled Goat You are right. Sorry. Was thinking Boras because he was Drew's agent when he did it to us.
1 year, 7 months ago on Zack Greinke Can Opt Out, and That’s a Good Thing
Good analysis, Mike. Totally agree.
Actually, if the Dodgers continue to strengthen the farm system, then there is a chance the Dodgers can promote a promising arm to replace Greinke after 3 years if he does opt out.
Reality is that all of these big dollar contracts were made necessary because the Dodgers' farm system was so poor. I think in 3 or 4 years, the Dodgers could be looking at dealing off some of these players (and likely eating some salary) and replacing them with cheaper, cost-controlled prospects.
In the case of Greinke, he gave the Dodgers a possible out in 3 years if he pitches well. Heck, my guess is that even if he pitches just decently, he will opt out, knowing Boras.
The opt out is a win for the Dodgers.
I am thinking with all the talk about the Dodgers and Greinke, negotiations between both sides should intensify at the Winter Meetings next week.
I think Greinke gets signed next week and the Dodgers also sign Ryu shortly before the Dec. 10 deadline.
After that, all that will be left is dealing Harang and/or Capuano once all of the big name free agent SPs get signed.
1 year, 7 months ago on The Dodgers Can Afford Zack Greinke, and They’ll Get Him
I have read Greinke wants 6 yrs and $150 mill, but I don't see his market going there.
No way do the Angels or Rangers get to that level.
IMO, Greinke will end up with 5 yrs and $120 mill with a vesting option for a 6th yr.
Dodgers just have to wait out the best offer put out by the Angels and match it. I think the Angels could go 5 years, but I doubt they would go $120 mill and I doubt they would include an option.
Reality is that the Dodgers need Greinke as the No.2 if they want to really contend for a World Series title.
@Dang88 Agree. How much can 7 million affect a likely $240 million payroll?
Answer: not a whole heck of a lot.
@Dang88 @HarryDoyle @efb Well, that's why you sign Ryu and keep Lilly around.
Lilly and Ryu can battle for the 5th starting spot and the loser of that battle goes into the pen to be the 6th starter.
Or I suppose you can also hold on to either Capuano or Harang, but I think that's too many SPs to keep on the 25 man roster. I think both of them are dealt because I don't think Lilly is tradeable coming off of an injury and making $13 mill next season.
Billz' injury status is why the Dodgers need to sign Greinke AND Ryu.
@efb If Billz is healthy, then that rotation is for sure Top 10, maybe Top 5.
Off the top of my head better rotations would be: Nats, Rays, Phillies, Giants.
Probably can slot Dodgers in Top 5. If they can get 30 starts out of a good Billz and Ryu is good, then upside of the rotation is pretty high, IMO.
Good post, Mike.
Mike brings up such an important aspect to the big trades at the end of the year and the importance of signing Greinke: the upcoming free agent market the next few years.
We are already seeing a trend of good young players getting locked up before free agency and I think that trend is only going to continue. Teams see the Dodgers and other big market teams and know that the price of free agents is only going to rise as years go by. So small and mid-market teams are reacting by looking up their good young talent so they don't have to pay that price.
Getting guys like AGon, HamRam, and Crawford were significant because, frankly, you likely won't see a lot of talents like those on the open market for the next few years and all of them play positions the Dodgers sorely needed to upgrade in.
Greinke is no different. A solid #2 starter (for the Dodgers) to slot in behind Kershaw is HUGE and he's only 29, is extremely durable and is a Cy Young caliber pitcher. The rotation looks much better with guys like Billz and Beckett sliding down the rotation. Plus, it gives the Dodgers a playoff rotation that is actually formidable.
@Mike Petriello LOL, yeah, what GM is unaware that Greinke doesn't cost draft pick compensation? Wow, Olney's such a liar.
1 year, 8 months ago on Report: New Dodger Television Deal to Triple Sale Price?
@Mike Petriello The Guggies can partner with a carrier like Time Warner, who already has the carriage to put a Dodgers network on. The costs can go towards Time Warner's stake in the network.
Believe me, the Dodgers will get on to cable companies. Look at the Lakers channel. It took time, but it was on major providers pretty much to start the season. Cable providers will need the Dodgers for local programming.
@Mike Petriello I think the Dodgers are going to start their own regional sports network. More upside to that. Revenues projected to go as high as $400 mill/yr.
At the least, they will let Time Warner get into the fray to bid the fees above the $280 mill/yr offered by Fox. Gotta think Time Warner is desperate to add sports programming to their Lakers programming.
I don't see the Guggies caving to Fox on a supposed "ultimatum" when they haven't had a real chance to shop their TV rights or explore a regional sports network.
This woman is both biased and wrong, IMO.
I think the Dodgers are likely going the regional sports network route. While $280 mill is obviously huge, it also locks their revenues in for 25 years. The rewards of a network have been projected to possibly go over $300 mill to maybe $400 mill per year.
I think Fox is playing hard ball and I think the Dodgers have other suitors they can shop their rights to in order to probably get more money. Sports programming is extremely hot right now.
I personally don't see the Dodgers signing a deal right away. They will wait until they get more bids when they are past the exclusive bidding period with Fox.
Reed Johnson is a guy who could be a good 4th OF for the Dodgers. He can play some CF and he hits lefties very well (.311 avg/.354 obp/.444 slg last year).
Not a sexy sign, but could be a good platoon partner for Ethier.
1 year, 8 months ago on 2012 Dodgers in Review #24: RF Andre Ethier
@ThtsaPaddlin @Dirtbag_Blues Yeah, Gordon would probably fit in well with Maddon's style of aggressive baseball and "small ball".
Honestly, I think an offer of Reed, Gordon, Federowicz and, say, Van Slyke, would not be a terrible package for the Rays to consider.
1 year, 8 months ago on Pitchers Break, But You Still Need Them: James Shields
@Dirtbag_Blues I'd trade Reed, Gordon and Federowicz for Shields. I just don't want to include Lee because I think he is the Dodgers' best SP right now and Dodgers are short on that right now, having dealt Webster, De La Rosa and Eovaldi last year.
NO WAY should the Dodgers trade Zach Lee in a package to get Shields. Personally, I don't think the Rays will ask for him and I think Lee should be a non-starter for negotiations if they do.
I like Shields, but would rather just pay money for an upgrade like Greinke as opposed to giving up the top arm in the system.