20+ yr Infantry Officer.
Visit me at GRUNTSandCo.com. You'll find my commentary on SOFREP, foreignpolicy, DoDBuzz, Defensetech, KitUp, Military.com. Smallwarsjournal
@11BRecon THANKS!!! I got a request to write a piece. I love to write stuff for SOFREP. Great people, great crowd!
I talk to myself on my blog, throw huge pipe wrenches into the machinery over at FP.com and have a recliner in the SOFREP chat room.
20 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
"The men who stormed his base told them to lockup all weapons (Ukrainian
weapons) and they (men who stormed base) would protect them."
You know these one liners sound so deja vu...
25 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@Fred82I think these "tourists" are more likely FSB (current version of the KGB), interior security personnel and those looking for a job in the internal state security organs.
It would be a waste to use highly trained commandos as political prevaricators not to say that a small handful might be present if an "incident" needs to be manufactured but even then the FSB has people to do that.
Spetsnaz was probably the guys on the ground at the airport before the 45th Guards Separate Reconnaissance Regiment of the VDV (Russian Airborne is its own branch) air assaulted into the airport. (Trying to put a graphic piece together on how the Russians invaded Crimea. Very complicated and hard work to reference with open source. BIG JOB) They were also likely the guys shutting down the independent TV station and sealing up gov't buildings until regulars could get there and keep the Ukrainian gov't from working. They were also likely targeting Ukrainian air defense to clear the way for the airplanes carrying Russian paratroopers.
31 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@Jaycel Adkins @SEAL76@LawyerHandle
"A Ukraine in league with the West is more likely to lead to World War
III than a Ukraine that is either split or in the orbit of Russia."
Call me old fashioned but I think the Ukranians should decide what they want to do. There's a couple of fundamental documents out there both in the international and our national history that enshrine that right. E.G. Declaration of Independence, UN charter has blurb about "self determination", the Budapest Agreement where Russia agreed to respect Ukraine's borders etc.
It's dangerous when others decide what's good for the world order. Seems the annexation of Austria and the Sudetenland were thought to be good ideas to avoid a war.
The Maginot Line and "strategic depth" are diametrically different ideas and approaches to defense. Confusing the two is retarded.
45 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
"Obama's biggest problem, IMO, is his inability to influence, persuade
& motivate people who aren't captivated by his initial charm."
I think that's his second weakness. His first is he is overconfident in his ability "to influence, persuade
& motivate people." E.G. If he explains Obamacare enough America will like it.
57 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
1 hour, 2 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@Jaycel Adkins @LawyerHandleJay reference STRATFOR. Love their site and perspective but it is TOTALLY geopolitics which is a strength AND a HUGE weakness.
One cannot ignore Putin. We aren't talking about a one term President here. Putin is a fundamental force in the New Russia and bears close watching and analysis.
1 hour, 3 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@LawyerHandle Good point about NATO. It did not cause the uprising in Kiev or the invasion of Crimea but serves as a useful foil for those that want to blame the West for Russia's behavior (not sure if Jay has earned that label but he hasn't distinguished himself from it either).
1 hour, 6 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@Jaycel AdkinsAs I said in my essay geopolitics is a very useful theory but fails to address a lot. Relying only on geopolitics alone for your foreign policy is like playing baseball just using statistics. Personalities of countries AND their leaders DO count.
Off the top of my head the Russians have also taken back Chechnya, S. Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Non-military coalition efforts take time (and leadership). Where is the call for a security council meeting? That can happen overnight. What about the strong official response to the Russian invasion. Instead of "standing with the world" the strongest language of diplomacy would have stated "we stand with the Ukranians". Then there's the nonexistent list of unilateral actions that could have been announced immediately vs. the piecemeal US response. This sort of stop, stumble, go, dither doesn't build confidence or exude leadership.
The Bear is dead? What's gnawing on the Ukraine's leg, a taco bell chihuahua?
There is little that justifies a sit on one's hands and wait approach, plenty of history shows where that leads...
1 hour, 11 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
@Txazz cool stuff. Had similar experience with my Russian instructor at the Academy. Dr. Soto!
1 hour, 24 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
"I don't believe that Putin will take the risk of moving into places that have a majority of anti-Russian sentiment."
Heard of Chechnya?
Check out the second invasion. Russia installed a pro-russian gov't and then settled down to grind the separatists into the dirt and reassert Russian control of the former independent republic. Chechnya is "back in the fold".
1 hour, 26 minutes ago on Ukraine: What Next?
Funny! I wonder if they were included in Feinstein's "Assault Weapons" ban
3 hours, 29 minutes ago on Playing Through: President Obama Outsourcing US Foreign Policy To Vladimir Putin
Good stuff Jack.
Interesting video put out by the IDF providing some details and graphics.
22 hours, 3 minutes ago on Israeli S13 Maritime Commandos Capture Ship Carrying Iranian Missiles
I think the cleats on Obama's golf shoes are way too unrealistically sharp. Makes him look much more dangerous than he is. Those cleats might actually scratch the paint on that tank.
22 hours, 50 minutes ago on Playing Through: President Obama Outsourcing US Foreign Policy To Vladimir Putin
Good stuff Blake
2 days ago on An American Special Ops Veteran On The Ground In Ukraine Speaks Out
@ArcticWarrior @majrod@LadyHWLink? I'd like to see the context of that comment...
2 days, 18 hours ago on Soviet REUnion: the Power Play Behind Putin’s Invasion of Crimea
Here's a link to Epoch times that gives further information. http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/540790-la-gang-members-in-syria-nerses-kilajyan-or-wino-and-sur-13-member-creeper-apparently-fighting-for-assad/
Nerses Kilajyan facebook page https://www.facebook.com/nerses.kilajyan
The video posted by MEMRI featuring Nerses Kilajyan and his homeboy "Creeper" http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/4170.htm
Westside Armenian Power gang according to policemag.com http://www.policemag.com/blog/gangs/story/2011/03/armenian-power.aspx Easy to understand how they would have issues with anyone supported by Turkey along with links to the Russian mob. No solid link to the fight in Syria but the common cause and associates is there.
Sur-13 according to insideprison.com. http://www.insideprison.com/prison_gang_profile_SUR_13.asp
3 days, 14 hours ago on LA gangbangers fighting in Syria
@JeremyScottLivingston Least I could do bro. My prayers for you and yours.
3 days, 18 hours ago on Vet needs help…
@LadyHW @Jaycel Adkins
It's three dimensional chess
3 days, 19 hours ago on Soviet REUnion: the Power Play Behind Putin’s Invasion of Crimea
@Jaycel Adkins @ArcticWarrior NATO may cause Russian headaches but American weakness cannot be discounted from the Ukraine equation.