Livefyre Profile

Activity Stream

This is a travesty. Baycityball.com is literally the best baseball blog I've ever come across. Sad times.Good luck with the child, and thanks for everything, Chris. I will keep a glimmer of hope that somehow, some way, you'll be back.

1 year, 4 months ago on All good things…

Reply

Perhaps an analysis of the homers Cain has given up is in order, a la your "Vogeldongs" article. Caintaters, or something.

1 year, 5 months ago on Pondering Cain’s release point

Reply

Pretty sure I will soon have a nightmare loosely based on the word "Vogeldong." Thanks, Chris.

1 year, 5 months ago on Vogeldongs: A look at recent pitchers with spikes in HR-rate

Reply

Your previous post was literally the first thing I thought of as soon as I saw the hit. My second thought- somebody told Zito about said post, and he's been desperately trying to pull a pitch ever since. This made me smile uncontrollably.

1 year, 5 months ago on An important day in Barry Zito history

Reply

This is how all baseball players from Georgia dress.

1 year, 6 months ago on Very important news item

Reply

I've always heard Lincecum's changeup described as being so impossible to hit because, in addition to its deceptiveness, it has the tendency to "drop off", "disappear", or otherwise totally ninja-vanish at the plate. In 2012, though, hitters were clearly squaring it up more.

 Interestingly, Pitch/FX (via Fangraphs) shows these values for average Z-movement of Timmy's changeup from 2008-2012:  3.3, 4.0, 3.7, 2.9, 1.3.

To me, the questions are this- did Lincecum simply "lose" his changeup last year? Was the lack of movement somehow related to his diminishing velocity? And.. can he get it back?

1 year, 6 months ago on Important things to look for from Tim Linecum tonight

Reply

Your article got me digging deep into Lincy's Fangraphs page. It does seem obvious that hitters were making better contact last year- his LD% went up to 23.8%, an all time high.


One thing that screamed at me, though, was that his HR/FB was 14.6%, (9th worst in all of baseball) nearly twice as high as his career avg prior to that. The league average was just over 11% last year. In other words, when facing Lincecum, the average hitter suddenly had the power of Andre Ethier whereas before they were more like James Loney.

Considering that he pitches half his games in one of the least homer-friendly parks in MLB, that seems like it has bad luck written all over it.

1 year, 7 months ago on Briefly on Tim Lincecum’s fastball

Reply