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I don't even think you have to be that bearish on Lawrie's overall stats to be inclined to stay away.  If you're drafting him in the 3rd round, you can only profit from the move if he finishes as a top 20-30 player.  Think of all the guys he has to be better than for that to happen, and it's clear that you're much better off with a proven commodity.  This is the most obscene pre-season hype I've ever seen around a young player, and can end basically three ways: profit (i.e.  he's one of the best hitters in baseball), no profit or loss (he's still one of the best hitters in baseball), or loss (allllllll the other possible outcomes). 

3 years, 1 month ago on Brett Lawrie, I'm Sorry | Baseball