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I'm glad I didn't see this one. Why torture yourself? F**k.
4 months ago on Game Review: Game #73, Devils 3 vs. Leafs 2
5 million dollar punch.
4 months ago on Shark Club Game Day: Game #71, Lightning at Maple Leafs
Gunnarsson on the attack!
4 months, 1 week ago on Shark Club Game Day: Game #67, Maple Leafs at Sharks
Get it deep JVR!
Nice review Alec. Especially the comment on Carlyle not "sticking with what works."
4 months, 2 weeks ago on Game Review: Game #63, Blue Jackets 2 vs. Leafs 1
Even great players will look bad if playing a system that doesn't work. Just saying.
4 months, 2 weeks ago on Shark Club Game Day: Game #63, Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
Tons of empty seats in the lower bowl at the ACC...
@Leafs2 Isles1 @TheCanucksnaphook Thanks for the article. You make some good points.
Regardless, my point is that it doesn't really matter what the reason for the recent sea level drop is, or whether we understand it, because three years is too short of a period to infer anything about the long-term evolution of the climate system.
Consider this hockey analogy: If Paul Tim Gleason would score a hat trick in his next game would anybody believe that he will continue to do so for every remaining game of the season? No. Because we have certain verifiable data and measurements of Gleason's past permanence and skills, and they indicate that the hat trick would have most likely been an anomaly. Would anybody be able to explain why Gleason scored the hat trick? Maybe, maybe not. Does it matter if we would be able to explain it, and more importantly would not being able to explain why Gleason is all of a sudden playing like a reborn Drew Doughty, mean that our prior knowledge about Gleason as a rough and tough stay-at-home defence man have to be entirely thrown out the door? No, I don't think so.
Odd things happen sometimes, Climate is no different. One anomaly does not make a trend. Three years may seem like a long time, but it really isn't in terms of climate.
5 months ago on The Leafs & Top 3 Centers Per Team by Cap Hit
@TheCanucksnaphook @TheCanucksnaphook Disclosure: I used to work as a climate scientist.
Three years is nothing in a climatological time perspective.
Consider this. If, hypothetically, it was ten degrees colder today than yesterday in Toronto, does that mean that Toronto is experiencing a long-term robust cooling trend, and that tomorrow will be ten degrees colder even, and next week it will be minus 70 degrees Celcius outside? No, of course not, we all know that weather fluctuates naturally, from day to day, week to week, season to season. (These short-term fluctuations has noting to do with long-term trends.) Put in another way. Do we fear that summer will not come this year because one day is colder than the previous? No, most reasonable people don't.
People don't generally know that weather can fluctuate also over longer time scales too, even years. So the drop in ocean levels you mention may be just a blip in the long-term evolution of the earth system, might be a simple fluctuation, and at this point indicates absolutely nothing about what climate will be like in ten or a hundred years.
Sometimes the science cannot explain short term-fluctuations, as you mentioned. However, this does not disprove the robust conclusion that the earth system is slowly warming on average due to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases. Just like one rainy day after a sunny one, does not indicate that winter wont eventually become summer.
@TheCanucksnaphook @MaxwellHowe Global warming will lead to droughts, famine, floods, even countries disappearing under water. Not a laughing matter. When glacier fed rivers dry up, scarcity of water resources in the dryer parts of the world is likely to lead to armed conflict over access to water, including for example nuclear warhead armed countries such as India and Pakistan. It simply naive to think that northern countries, such as Canada, will be able to thrive in a much destabilized global world just because we have a colder climate. Get wiser people.
@peterbleafs @leafsjon Not much precedent for such a strong mental ability on this team, but I hope you are right!
6 months, 1 week ago on Game Day Notes: Game #49, Sabres @ Leafs
The Leafs seem to thrive as underdogs, but persistently fail to beat poorer teams. It should come as no surprise if after beating the Bruins they put up a real stinker against the Sabres tonight.
@JeffNB @leafsjon Agreed. Bozak has been great lately. I didn't mean to bash on him. My comment was more of a general reflection on stats, considering Michael's post stating that this "was Bozak’s 7th career 2-goal game… which is actually kind of an impressive stat".
The number of goals you manage to score in a single game is a fun stat, but not a particularly useful one IMHO to determine a player's value for a team. The total number of goals per season is what matters.
6 months, 1 week ago on Game Recap: Game #48, Leafs 4 at Bruins 3
Good for Bozak. Two-goal games, however, and hat tricks for that matter, are useless stats. What matters are how many goal you score a season, not how they clump up randomly in certain games.
@Uncle Otis @leafsjon @wendelsfist To be fair to Mr. Cox, I think he has been clear that he is against fighting, but not all type of physical contact as you claim. Besides that your accusations of him being a douche bag, condescending and arrogant, are largely unsubstantiated. I can't really take your word for it. Not sure about him not being a hockey fan, but certainly he is quite neutral to the Leafs, which I find quite refreshing in this market, where most hockey journalists are quite biased towards the Leafs in their reporting.
I can't help wondering if it's the fact that he is not visibly cheering for the Leafs that makes him unpopular.
6 months, 1 week ago on Game Recap: Game 46, Capitals 3 vs. Leafs 2
@rockydundas @leafsjon @MaxwellHowe Agreed.
@rockydundas @leafsjon @MaxwellHowe Good point, but at the same time I think it is dangerous to judge players for their performance on a struggling team. There is a long list former Leafs players who have succeeded when let go to other teams. Moreover Kulie is not deployed in scoring situations on the Leafs anymore.
@MaxwellHowe I don't like trading Kulie, he's one of the few players working hard consistently, a rare commodity on the team currently.
@wendelsfist @leafsjon I have noticed that. So, he's a contrarian, goes against the fan base. Probably not a great way to become popular. Hardly makes him a douche bag though, just uninteresting.
6 months, 1 week ago on A formless rant on Carlyle’s Maple Leafs
Why does so many Leafs fans seem to resent Damien Cox at the Toronto Star? I haven't followed him for a while, but in the past I thought he was one of the few writers that made sense. Just curious to what people don't like.
I don't know anything about this blog, but they do a nice summary of everything Carlyle is doing wrong, given the current rooster. It's from early December, but nothing has changed.
6 months, 1 week ago on Game Recap: Game #45, Canes – Many vs. Leafs – Very Few
@Hammertownleaffan @Shift_Disturber1 Maybe Phaneuf is an extreme example (and actually I don't think it would be a good idea). But a guy like JVR could definitely sit. He talented sure, but I see him dragging his feet on the back check and avoiding physical contact. The idea would be to send the message that nobody is safe.
@Hammertownleaffan @Shift_Disturber1 @leafsjon Sure, but how about sitting some of the more established players to send a signal about leadership? I guess it would be suicide for Carlyle to sit Phaneuf, and in a way Phaneuf doesn't deserve it, he's one of our best players, but some extreme measures are needed to break this funk.
@darthNihilus Actually, how are the interviewees selected?
Assuming there are no trades or a coach replacement in the next little while, at least shake this team up a little bit. Sit some random veteran guys and throw in some hungry youngsters. Franson is on obvious one to sit a game, but why not sit Kessel a game? That would send the right signal. Everybody on this team is accountable!
Kessel is earning top dollar, and is supposed to lead when the team is struggling. He is obviously not getting it done. Besides, I could imagine him responding well to sitting in the press box. Just think he can add a nasty edge and some kampf to his game if he is pissed.
Who else should sit?
@Snuffysaurus @DeclanK The fact they don't feel accountable, take responsible, suggests they don't blame themselves, but the couch.
Franson's skating looks sooo lazy. Has he always been such a poor skater, or is he playing hurt? Worn out? Poor conditioning? Surely it can't be because he's tuned out the couch? I don't remember him falling behind so often on the back check last year. What's going on with him?
@deedrag I can't really judge on the GM part, but we are at least lacking on the second two points. Carlyle's Achilles heel is his inflexibility.
@Jay31 Actually that might be preferable. Think picks.
@djamon @loomx Liles is very good player if allowed to play his game. Obviously he would never succeed under Carlyle, just as Gardiner never will. Unfortunately.
@newkb @DJBrianBurke @wendelsfist He signed Bozak, didn't he? That was all chemistry based.
6 months, 1 week ago on GDT: Maple Leafs at Hurricanes (7 p.m., Sportsnet)
Reimer has finally lost that awesome confidence he's always had. I don't blame him the way he's been treated. Distrust from the GM and not given fair shot at playing games. Bernier has obviously been preferred by management. It's a shame. Sad to see management break a young player with such great personality. I wouldn't be surprised if he's the next player to be shipped off to another team, only to to have success elsewhere.
@felixjvd I hear ya, I've decided try and waste a little less time following this sinking ship. Life's too short.
Liles, McArthur, Grabovski all doing great on other teams. Sigh.
Fraser gave it away.
Is this what hockey coaching is about? Screaming louder and getting more abusive with the players the deeper the team gets into a slump? Is that really the most effective way to nurture top performance? I've never been in a pro sports locker room, but I must say I am surprised.
I question that the team's recent poor performance is really due to lack of effort. Seems to me it is rather due to lack of confidence, which is a completely different bag. How do you nurture confidence? By screaming at the players? I think not. Have you ever seen parenting like that work? In individual sports (athletics, cycling, cross country skiing) sport psychology and mental training is playing bigger role than ever before. Apparently not in hockey.
7 months ago on HBO 24/7: Leafs / Red Wings Episode #2 (Open Thread)
@dlb eh Why break up JVR/Kessel? Raymond is one of our top scorers, why put him on 4th line? Clarkson is a bust, give him 3rd or 4th line minute until he gets his shit together.
7 months ago on Wednesday Mashup: Ghosts of the Southeast Division
@sniperstar @leafsjon Agreed (on defence). How come we are worse of defensively this year then? Frazer has regressed, Gunnarsson perhaps a little too, Phaneuf overworked (but wasn't he always?). Perhaps it is just the fact that opponents have started to figure out how to play at the Leafs' weaknesses.
7 months ago on On center depth, Dave Nonis’ offseason, and the current struggles
Carlyle was looking surprisingly calm in the post-game interview after the loss to the Panthers. None of that gazing with glassy eyes toward the ceiling. I wonder if Nonis has perhaps let Carlyle know that he has his full support.
Let me ask you this. Looking back on the times when the team had success under Carlyle. Be honest. Was it 1) because they played a truculent, gritty, defensive and cycling kind of game, a Carlyle type of game? Or was it 2) because they played a fast-paced, skating, high-scoring game that outscored their opponents despite being "weak" on defence?
I've mostly seen 2. Am I wrong?
The relevant question is: how much of the team's recent success can be credited to Carlyle and how much is due to player development and/or change in player personnel?
@darthNihilus Lol. I wept when they let him go, but I think you are right. Why dwell on the past? Let's work with what we have.
@The_Polish_Cannon @leafsjon Interesting. Didn't know that.
@Xxxxxnew Point well taken. However, I think not many coaches would say no to a job in Toronto if given the opportunity.
@The_Polish_Cannon @leafsjon Yes. Agreed. Apparently more player replacements are needed cause I don't see grittiness and tough players (Orr and McClaren aren't players).
@Shift_Disturber1 @leafsjon Lol
If anything, I guess you can fault Nonis for not providing Carlyle with the type of players he needs to play a Carlyle kind of game.
@Xxxxxnew Haha, funny. Good point.
Since Nonis likes the game Carlyle is coaching I doubt he'll fire Carlyle for the sake of replacing him with a better fit, i.e. a coach who can better utilize the player's natural talents, to play a fast-paced, skilled, less defensive minded, north-south kind of game.
@Bring the Cup Home Re breaking out. Except for the obvious lack of skill among certain D-men, I get the impression the offence is not helping out, not giving the D any easy outs.
@Bon Scott was a Leaf fan @leafsjon Fair assessment.
@Bring the Cup Home Yeah, what happened to Franson? It's a mystery. I was so happy when we finally got him signed.
Nonis' fault is not the trades he did or did not do. It his stubborn support for Carlyle.
The team has good players, albeit a little weak in some areas. I should be obvious, however, that Carlyle is starting to fail in trying to force this team into the gritty defensive-minded team that they are not.
1. Yes, but the time that he has the puck completely outweighs any negatives when he doesn't have it
3. They can, if Carlyle would consistently play the D that have the skills (Rielly, Gardiner, Liles)
4. True, they are lost at the moment, but that is not a personnel problem, it's a coaching problem
@Alec Brownscombe @Zep2 Not with Carlyle as coach. I just don't see him ever playing Gardiner, Rielly and Liles on a regular basis.
@Cloud09 @leafsjon Dear gawd, are you talking tanking already, Isn't that a bit premature?
But, was there a number one or two center available on the market this past summer?
And was there a top four defenceman available? At the right price? I don't know.
I'l give give Nonis credit for his strategy to only make a deal if it is a deal the makes sense, as opposed to making poor deals to address urgent concerns. Yes, we needed a top line center and better reinforcement on defence, but at what price would you like to see those needs addressed? Long-term I think Nonis' strategy is the right one.
Changed my username to be consistent with my Twitter handle.
Gotta take off. This was fun. I'll be back.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Maple Leaf Hangout Episode #20
@Bon Scott was a Leaf fan I hope so. One of the players that rarely disappoints. Thing is, we know he can put up points if being put in a scoring position, and other teams know this as well, but we are only wanting to give him money for a defensive 3rd line role. So I can see him leaving for another team.
OMG, how am I supposed to be able to keep up with multiple threads at the same time!? This is stressful!
@Bon Scott was a Leaf fan @Samling To be honest I have no clue. I was a soccer player back in Sweden, did't pick up hockey until I came over here.
@MaxwellHowe @Samling @mcloki Ha, better let that rest for now. It will be interesting to see how people look on Mats' career further ahead though, with some more distance to it.
@Alec Brownscombe @Samling Yeah, RC is an old dog, doubt he's gonna change (or any other coach for that matter). Don't want to give up on him quite yet though. I like his style (personality), and I think he has changed for the better since he came here. Handles the market, and pressure, well.
@lukethenuke Don't think we need him. We've got a razor sharp offence, if only we could get out of our own zone... Any trade should target a D man first, see Anthony's notebook.
@Alec Brownscombe @Samling Thanks! I'm in the hangout thread now...
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Leafs Notebook – December 2
There is a lot of talk about individual players not performing. I don't think that's the problem. It's a system problem. Players look lost and insecure, not comfortable in their roles. Ultimately coaching is responsible.
I like Carlyle, but he is trying to make a group of mostly fast and skilled players play a defensive hard-nosed game. I'm not sure it's going to work. Got to let players use their natural talents to some extent, people can only change so much. Somethings got to give. Either trade for the type of players Carlyle needs, or find a coach that is a better match. Too drastic?
Anthony says it nicely in his notebook: "At this point it’s safe to say the Leafs identity is speed and skill. That’s just the reality of the situation, no matter what Leafs management suggests."
@mcloki Oh, thanks for the heads up. Already pouring in...
@mcloki I'm Swedish so I just had to go with a Swede! None better than Börje.
@Burtonboy @Samling Thanks. Getting used to this Livefyre thing...
I just posted in the other thread, but realized the action is over here. I'm new here although I've been following the site for a couple of years. The best there is no doubt. Just wanted to say hi!
My first post! Been following the site for a couple of years. The best there is no doubt. Great notebook, as always Anthony. Just wanted to say hi!