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For teams ranked between 50-59, the odds would be 11 out of 30 or about 35%. Not great but not nearly as low as the 10% you suggested.
1 week, 1 day ago on The SEC Might Land 3 In The NCAA Tourney, But Only 2 Deserve To Go
I don't disagree with overall point that SEC basketball is bad nor that only 2 teams clearly deserve to make the NCAA tournament. I'm not sure about the line that 'at best' two teams deserve to make it. That implies the league would be lucky to get 2 and in fact, 2 teams would make a 32 team field let alone a 68 team field. So that sentence was awkward and misleading.
I also think the math about 10% of teams with RPI ratings between 40-49 make the NCAA field is flawed. There are only ten teams each year ranked in those spots (by definition) so only 30 teams could potentially make the field. So really it is 15 out of 30 teams (or 50%) that make the field. The odds are probably better than that because some of the teams ranked between 40-49 would have received an automatic bid and thus not been eligible for an at-large spot.
So your conclusions are accurate but the math you used to get there is WAY off.
The big question is what will next year's format look like? Double byes? Everyone but the top 2 seeds get bye's? Tourney starts on Wednesday? The last seems a given but the format still seems up in the air. Very curious to see what they come up with.
2 years ago on If The SEC Tourney Started Today, Here's How The Bracket Would Look
As a Missouri fan, I have been wondering when talk would turn to the future basketball layout. I have some strong opinions on it, I think the league should go to 18 games and should not go back to east-west divisions. I think each school should play everybody once and then have 5 return games. Each school should have a couple or three rivalry games and then the other 2-3 would alternate year to year. Missouri should be playing Arkansas home and home every year in basketball. Somehow we are not playing them in football at all, it would be beyond silly if this wasn't corrected for basketball.
Another question, what format will the future SEC basketball tournament take? Will all 14 teams go to the tournament? If so, will another day be added? I'm really curious what they come up with because 14 is an awkward number for a basketball tournament but I doubt they will want to not have everyone participate.
2 years, 2 months ago on Calipari Not A Fan Of An 18-Game League Schedule