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For the first time all season, I'm sensing a little optimism from Nate - and that scares me! Hinting at a possible playoff run? Wow. That probably means their is a freight train around the corner. :}
8 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Chiefs
@Nate Dunlevy @MxPx @bjg Its funny, even though I am not fully bought into DVOA, I still read FO religiously. They seem to have the best thing going when it comes to advanced metrics, so I find the pursuit to come up with a better formula fascinating to watch.
Back to the Colts, while the present is certainly entertaining to watch, I fear a day of reckoning a few years from now. Like the housing market, when you mortgage the future for the present, things have a tendency collapse. It will be interesting to see if this holds true for the Colts. On the bright side, we still have Luck to mask a lot of problems.
9 months ago on The Good, The Bad and The Ugly of Ryan Grigson
@Nate Dunlevy @MxPx @bjg I'm in the camp that gives only moderate value to any of the advanced statistics for football. They seem to be much more valuable in baseball, which is primarily a game of individual battles. Football is the ultimate team game, with 22 guys actively involved on every play. Plus, injuries play such big part of the success or failure in football. While the football metrics are interesting, their ultimate accuracy is far more limited than baseball.
Regarding the Davis trade, I see your point on the years of service. However, somehow the fact the Colts get value from the 2nd round pick one year earlier than the pick needs to be factored into the equation. Grigson is clearly in "win now" mode. Which could add value in the short term, but spell doom a few years from now.
Regarding my snarkiness - whatever dude. :) But seriously, I don't need a lecture.
@Nate Dunlevy @bjg
So the moral to this story is: Profootball Reference AV's = gospel. While PFF's ratings = junk. Hmm.....
@Nate Dunlevy @Roofio Colts 2nd round picks:
Fleener, Ben Ijalana, Pat Angerer, Fili Moala, Mike Pollak, Tony Ugoh, Tim Jennings, Kelvin Hayden, Bob Sanders, Mike Doss, Larry Triplett, Idress Bashir.
Based on this history, I'd say a 2nd round pick for Vonte Davis is more than fair.