Fullbacks Win Championships
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So Irsay takes a dump on the previous decades success because he prefers the "Dolphins" model. Hard to disagree with that logic. I wish someone would explain to Irsay that repeatedly smashing your RB out of power formations doesn't only limit the opportunities of the opposing teams QB.
The new philosophy continues to confuse. If the Colts were truly ballanced, wouldn't they attack the other teams weakness rather than being so stubborn in their own approach? SD's pass D is terrible. Colts run it. That isn't balance.
I won't ramble about it. Just to read "watch for 09 Dolphins" and it not be a joke is kinda sad. To think that the "brass" of this teams thinks that running against stacked boxes with a FB helps Luck, the run game, or the teams chances of winning is not only sad, it's stupid.
Good read. I expect a similar result.
4 months, 3 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Broncos
Adam Gase deserves alot of credit. He and Peyton seem to work very well together and they've definetly added some new wrinkles.
4 months, 3 weeks ago on Breaking down the Colts-Broncos, Barnum and Bailey Circus Week With Derek Schultz, live tonight at 8pm
What's up Doug. I can see you're still schooling folks. I add my 2 cents. Doug drops dimes. Lol. Nice to see you man.
5 months, 2 weeks ago on What if...the Colts had traded the #1 pick?
Couldn't agree with everything you said more Greg.
How the hell ya doing PZ? It's been awhile. It's nice to "see" ya around still.
I personally always thought Irsay should have dealt that washed up scrub, so I've never even considered what they could have got in return for the #1 pick. And we all know Polian would have wasted the extra picks and Manning would have choked in the playoffs. Am I right? (Head Explodes)
In all seriousness, the Skins gave up more to get RG3. We're talking the next couple years of first rounders as well. There is no doubt about it that the Colts could have stacked the roster with those picks, but it is what it is.I've probably spent as much time as anyone wondering "what if". I'm going to go do something less painfull, like claw the eyeballs out of my skull.
Thank you Nate. Reading your analysis over the years has certainly helped shape my perception and made me a smarter fan. Some of my "golden nuggets" of wisdom are a tribute to the work you've done over the years.
5 months, 3 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: 49ers
I accidentally posted that. Damn tablet. I could really go on and on about the trade. Obviously I hope TR is a beast, but I'm scared if he is it might hurt the Colts long term. Might sound crazy, but that's how I see it.
The Colts over achieved last year. I kinda expected the Colts to come back down to earth a bit. Which in reality isn't the worst thing in the world. If TR tears it up, I think he still makes the Colts a middle of the pack team. If he sucks, then they just wasted a pick with a year worth of evidence suggesting TR isn't that good. Great teams are rarely assembled through free agency and if you start pissing away draft picks you will have no other choice. Mistakes in free agency are expensive and Grigson doesn't have the greatest track record in FA yet.
Every team has to find a balance of win now and build for the future. The Browns for instance are building for the future. The Broncos are in win now mode but balance building for the future very well. Even with Manning on his last run they are still building the team the right way, through the draft. The Colts are acting like it's Superbowl or bust. With so many holes all over the team this mentality could really hurt the Colts in the future. And won't even get in to what this trade suggests as far as the way they think a championship team is built.
If the Colts wanted a power back that could help win now the should have signed the same guy the Browns did. I'll take McGahee and that 1st rounder over TR all day. I can't believe I'm about to say this, but I think the Browns front office just out smarted the Colts.
The Colts are in such a great spot. They have 4 years of Luck on the cheap, and then thing are going to get much tougher. It just seems as they may be squandering a great chance to really be great for a long time because they don't seem to accurately see their team for what it is.
Thanks Goeland. It's nice to see the "familiars" still around. I've missed the Colts talk with all you. Yea, I frequent IAOFM. Great site. I don't often find myself in disagreement with those dudes.The Richardson trade was enough for me to finally speak up I guess. I'll eat crow if I'm wrong, but man, I just don't see it working out. Even if he is great, I don't think he gets the Colts over the "hump". Then you have to sign your QB and RB to huge contract in the same off season. Even if TR is AP I don't think it's a great move because of the money that it cost to have a top RB like AP. It just seems like a lose lose with the roster the way it is.
Lol. I don't know if it has anything to do with Peyton or not, but like I said above, everything seems rushed. Like Richardson was the final piece to the championship puzzle. They are so far away from what they want to be, yet they act as if they're are on the cusp of greatness. They aren't. I am not a fan of how "involved" Irsay seems to be. I don't know if I'm just a bitter fan or what, but it seems like a slap in the face for the franchise to seem to want to be sooooo opposite of the previous decades team. As if it was a complete failure.
Week in week out Manning's skill and preparation gave the Colts a ticket to the playoffs. The playoff failures, in my mind, were mostly due to the Colts facing better teams, and some bad luck. I'll never understand how people could even entertain the idea that QB's like Big Ben or Eli are in the same class as Peyton because of their supposed better post season play. I think that those of us that followed 18 closely understand that he was so good so quick that building a great team around him was extremely difficult. A year or two of stinking would have helped the team find more talent in the draft, something Polian struggled to do in his latter years with the Colts. But that's how good Peyton was. Regardless of what was going on around him, Peyton always got a ticket to the show. Something he will never get enough credit for. I think that Peyton spent so much time on the highlight reels that the average person figures he must suck in the post season, otherwise he'd be running out of fingers to wear all his rings.
Well hello all you fine folks here at Colts Authority. It's been a long time. I had to step away for a while to lick my wounds and learn to walk without my tail tucked between my legs. It took some time, but I got my strut back.
I have to admit, some may consider me a traitor. My stable now holds two horses. One Colt, and one old Bronco. It is what it is. Blame Irsay, or Canada, just don't blame me. I feel like a spectator more than I used too. Obviously, I was always just a spectator, but my heart isn't with this team the way it once was. I want Peyton Manning to go down as the GOAT and he needs more Superbowls. Not in my mind, but I don't even want it to be debatable. I'm sorry, but Peyton MF Manning, well, (q Terrell Owens) He's my quarterback.
With that being said, what in Hell's bathroom are Irsay and Grigson doing? Everything seems so rushed. I understand what they are building, but I can't wrap my head around how they are going about it. I also can't help but think that Irsay has his hand way too far in the cookie jar. Im my own fantasy world I was hoping P-Money would win a couple Lombardi's, and Grigson would assemble the "Monster" assuring a decade of dominance. Wiping away any doubt that the release of PM was best for both sides.......I'm really starting to have my doubts.
I understand the model of what they want to build, but see the FO is going about it bass ackwards. All those teams where built without a franchise QB. The Colts have a luxury most teams don't. They Lucked out with the first pick in the draft. Those other teams had no choice in what type of team to build. They didn't have a franchise QB. Power running and defense where their only hope. The Colts have Andrew Luck! Will some one please tell them. I'm not sure they've noticed yet. He's pretty good. They are building a team to chew up clock and win close games, but again, they have Andrew Luck.
Why are they playing it so safe with him? He doesn't need his college coach to be successful. This isn't Tim Tebow we are talking about. The Colts haven't only invested a 1st round pick on a RB who looked like AP a year ago, but is starting to look more and more like every other Alabama player, they just doubled down on Pep and his system. All the "we need to run the ball to win" talk is no longer rhetoric, it's reality.
People can't dismiss the draft pick because it will be a middle to late rounder, and where T Rich was drafted a year ago doesn't matter. Listening to Grigson equate where he was drafted to why he will be good was mind numbing. If the Browns could go back in time do you think they would give away picks to get Richardson, or just draft Doug Martin at 22? Hmmm. The Browns can't go back in time, but Grigson has hindsight available. He just isn't using it. He still is using his pre draft evaluation! The Browns are basically saying, "we can get a better player anywhere in the first round" and they are right. Hell I bet the Saints would have traded Mark Ingram. I for one would be pretty pissed to hear Grigson didn't at least make a phone call. (sarcasm) The priorities of the new regime confuses the hell out of me. Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison where drafted mid to late 1st round. Not only have they failed to find replacements for Wayne, Freeney, or Mathis, I'm not sure they are looking. Who needs pass rushers and #1 WR's when you can ground and pound? This team can be exciting to watch, but it's been frustrating to watch it be built.
I appreciate people trying to be optimistic, but this series hasn't been very realistic. It would defy all logic and odds if the Colts have even moderate success next year. Look at the situation they are in.
They have 57 million invested in Freeney and a group of players no longer on the roster. This alone is too much to overcome. Other than the first couple years I've never looked at the Colts roster in the Manning era and thought that it didn't have the talent to make the playoffs. Well, even Peyton in his prime probably couldn't drag this sorry group to a wildcard. The Colts will be set up very nicely to be active in free agency in 2013. In 2012 they just don't have the money to compete.
The defense is going through a massive transition. The Colts roster very well might have been further away from a big physical attacking 3-4 than any other team in the league. This will be a complete overhaul on defense. Very few players from this current group will be on the Colts within three years. The Colts need talent at multiple positions, at every level. They need starters and backups. Expecting the defense to be any better than average is just a dream. If coaches can make it work with anybody, why the hell have we signed three Baltimore Ravens? The coaches need "their" players and it is going to take alot more than this years draft to get them what they need to truly make this defense a "monster."
Andrew Luck is still a rookie. I hope he shows promise and progresses throughout the year, but rookie QB's are as good as the players around him. The players around Luck aren't that good. Manning had Faulk. Luck has Brown. Manning had a young Marvin Harrison. Luck has an aging Reggie Wayne. Pre draft I can't think of one player who I think is the answer at their position long term outside of a few bright spots on the OL. They need a true #1 WR. They have a slowed down Reggie Wayne and a couple guys who can play the slot. They need a couple TEs. After Avery gets hurt in training camp, who is going to stretch the field for the Colts? The Colts need some speed.....Bad. They do not have the personnel to pound the rock 25+ times a game against 8 man fronts. They do not have the personnel to stretch the defense, which means they will see 8 man fronts. This is not a recipe for success. Same situation on offense as defense. In three years, very few players will be familliar.
Now everything I've said is based on the current roster and the presumption the Colts will draft Luck. That leaves 9 remaining draft picks. There are way too many holes on both sides of the ball to simply focus on either one. The Colts need to draft BPA. Only teams that are incredibly deep, or incredibly shallow can truly do this. Most teams have to account for team needs. The Colts happen to need players at every position so they should take the highest ranking player regardless of position. Now a few of the gaping holes on the team may elevate certain players on their board, but they can't fixate too much on any one position. They need good football players. Period. With that being said if the Colts don't come out of this draft with at least two weapons for Luck it would be a mistake. The lack of seperation the current group of recievers get will hurt Luck's progress. The lack of a deep threat will hurt the running game as well as Luck.
The 2012 Colts will more than likely be pretty awful. The struggles of a rookie QB. Missed assignments on defense because of the system change. We should just hope for progress. Progress from Luck. Progress from the defense. Nothing more. In 2013 the Colts will have a ton of moeny to play with. They will have a defense coming into it's second year in the same system. Hopefully they will have a QB coming into his own. And they will have another set of high draft picks. I'm exited to watch Luck and this team grow, but the Colts are going to lose alot of games in the mean time. Hopefully 2013 is a different story.
1 year, 11 months ago on Don't Be Suprised Part II - What the 2012 Indianapolis Colts Gained on Offense | April
@Payton It's not just about size with Conner and Angerer. It's about fit, and as you said yourself, their lack of coverage ability. With blitzing OLBs your ILBs better be able to cover. Ours can't. If you help cover the inside with safety help, the DBs are all alone. I like Powers but he is always hurt, and is more of a #2. Our secondary is not very good at all. And Frathis is not a lock to do great. Not by a long shot. They've been coached a certain way for a long time. Awfully expensive gamble to take, expecially with Freeney. You can't tell me either guy looks like they could cover anyone, or that learning a new system won't slow them down a step. Freeney and Mathis have covered holes in the secondary for years. That's only because the Colts only had to bring 4 to get to the QB. Standing them up and moving them around isn't going to confuse anyone but Frathis. The OL will still know who's coming. How many times in the last ten years do you think either guy has practiced standing up and rushing of dropping back in coverage? Nevis wasn't drafted until the 3rd round for a reason, and it wasn't because he lacked talent. Certain teams don't draft guys like Nevis. Those teams all run a 3-4. He's too small to anchor inside, and not long enough to play outside. Might he play a small role. Sure, but the coaches aren't going to bend what they do long term to accommodate players who don't fit their scheme.
1 year, 11 months ago on Don't Be Surprised Part II - What the 2012 Indianapolis Colts Gained on Defense | April
I won't be suprised if the Colts D is good next year. I'll be shocked. I just don't see it. I really don't think I'm being negative either. I'd call it realistic. Don't get me wrong, I like the coaching staff and I think they've done a good job bringing in who they can so far. Let's be honest. We have Redding and a couple backups from Baltimore. If Redding can play like Redding for at least 3 years that would really help the transition. He's a bright spot. McKinney is a decent pickup because of team need, but is only a stopgap. He's been a backup for 7 years in the league for a reason. The Colts still need a true NT. Nevis has a ton of talent, but is a terrible fit it in a 3-4. He will be reduced to a rotational 4-3 guy with the new Colts. I wouldn't run out and buy a Nevis jersey. The two best players over the last several years are switching positions. Frathis is not a lock to succeed at OLB in a 3-4. And we expect them to play OLB then stay on the field to play end in the 4-3? I hate to underestimate Frathis, but they very likely could struggle. Almost everyone thinks Freeney is gone after this year, but at the same time acts like Mathis is a lock to be great in a 3-4. Angerer and Conner are not ILB for a 3-4. These guys do not look like any 3-4 ILB in the league. Look at Ryans in Houston. Great player, didn't fit. Take a serious look at that 3-4 lineup. That group would be horrific against the pass. What's better? Sending Frathis and leaving Conner and Angerer to defend the middle, with Powers and Thomas on islands on the outside? Or drop on or both in coverage and ask them to cover TEs and RBs? What do you do when Frathis is asked to drop back? Send Conner or Angerer? Oooowwww! That's an OLs nightmare there. That group would get torched. Most of the guys on the team were hand picked for a small speedy 4-3. Even if the D has limited success running a hybrid, that is not the end goal. The end goal is a 3-4, and you can expect a high turnover next offseason as well. The coaches will do the best with what they have. Any strides the unit makes this year will be almost irrelevent by the next offseason, because in year two the coaches will be looking to make the full switch to the 3-4. So even if they are average this year, I would expect them to be average in 2013, because they will ditch the hybrid and switch to a 3-4 with alot of new players. Coach Pagano didn't make the Ravens D great. Ray Lewis, Suggs, Ngata, Reed, and others make them great. It's going to take some time to find a few guys like that.
@naptown_ninja I'm sure Pagano will adjust what he wants to do on defense until he has the personel he wants, but look at the defenses of the Ravens, Steelers, and Chargers. That is what this team will end up looking like. I'm not saying that is a bad thing, but the Colts current roster is a far cry from being close to having the right players to run that type of defense. Jerry Hughes is the one young player I think really has a chance to suprise some people. The defense is going to take some time to come around. A couple things worry me about the offense. No matter how much hype comes with Luck he is still a rookie, and has never taken a snap in the NFL. I have high hopes for Luck, but until I watch him play a few times I'm going to be nervous. The Colts receiving core including TE is as shallow a pool as can be found pre draft. Some of those holes on defense are going to have to wait if Luck is going to get some weopons to play with. The Oline has promise, but isn't exactly built to be a great pass blocking unit. I'm scared for Luck if they are building an Oline like the Steelers. Luck will not take the abuse that Big Ben does, and Big Ben is always banged up. If the Colts go 8-8 next year with 38 mil in dead cap, 19mil in Freeney, and a rookie QB, I'd be shocked. With two years to draft and a ton of money to spend, if they go 8-8 this year I would expect them to win the next several Superbowls from 2013 and beyond, because 8-8 with the challenges this team faces it would be one of the greatest achievements in modern NFL history.
1 year, 11 months ago on Don't Be Surprised Part I - What the 2012 Indianapolis Colts Lost | April
I don't agree that it's plausible the Colts have alot of pieces in place. The best players on the team have 4 years left at best. Wayne, Mathis, Redding, and even Bethea, though his window may be slightly longer. I would expect all those players skills to diminish every year. It would shock me if Freeney was around after this year. Young hopefull players might not even fit this scheme. Nevis, Angerer, and Powers to name a few. The only young guys I think could shine in a 3-4 are Hughes and maybe Moala at DE or Angerer. Wheeler might have been one. I doubt all the players on defense don't fit, but I fully expect some of them not to. So basically by the time they find talent where they need it currently, they will need talent where they have it currently. I think the defense will be middle of the pack at best for a few years. The problem is by the time the D is getting good, Mathis and Redding will be ending their careers, Bethea will be old, and Freeney will be gone. As mentioned above there will be others that need to be replaced because of fit. The offense is a hot mess. Wayne is not what he once was, and will only get worse with time. Collie is decent, but his health will always be a ? and he hasn't proven he can play outside. I wouldn't count on Avery doing much. The TE position is as bare as one could imagine. Rather than asking how hard is replacing Tamme, ask how hard is it to replace a guy that had 60 some receptions over 8 games when given a chance to start? Not so easy. The Colts likely can't afford to pick a RB early, but Brown, Carter, and Evans, isn't going to scare anyone. I expect the Colts to spend a high draft pick on RB within a few years. The OL is actually the one unit I have some hope for. I believe Castonzo will be a fine LT. I like the pickup at center. Ijalana has promise, but is still an unknown. A couple strategic draft picks to mix in with the current group, and I think they could be a pretty strong group. Overall the team has a decent amount of talent, but with a new QB and different schemes on both sides of the ball, I dont expect this rebuild to be quick or smooth. I'm fully expecting a rough few years. I guess we will wait and see. I hope they prove me wrong.
1 year, 11 months ago on Check it to Pancakes Podcast Open Thread - 4/4/2012 | April
See you guys. Your welcome for extending the show with my call.
@SpencerFGray Yea, sometimes when i get really bored and just want something to read I'll check it out, but I seriously can't stand that site.