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@KD4theWin @Pillendreher This
1 week, 6 days ago on Thunder pummel the Mavs on trade day, 104-89
@Julius Wrek [AR21 FACTION] @DSMok1 @CROklahoma @d21 (That's wassup) I like it. Not like we're giving up much. All the pieces seem useful.
Fit (and team psyche) matters... BPM is just a rough estimate.
2 weeks ago on Thunder deal Jackson and Perkins, land Kanter, Singler, Augustin and Novak
@CROklahoma @d21 (That's wassup) Hey now
2 weeks ago on 3-on-3: Deadline Day
The points columns are actual points in this game that the player was worth, vs. an average NBA player.
3 weeks, 5 days ago on The Brow drops the Thunder at the buzzer, 116-113
@d21 @DSMok1 Yeah, he was playing some D
@_justin @DSMok1 Yeah, bad things.
FYI: Westbrook had the best game of the season last night, by Gamescore and likely by single game BPM as well (don't have full DB of that)
@Durants Shimmy I really liked the Adams pick, thought he was a top 5 prospect.
4 weeks ago on Thursday Bolts – 2.5.15
@nowthatsThunderBball Nice piece
4 weeks, 1 day ago on Wednesday Bolts – 2.4.15
@_justin @DSMok1 I emailed Royce Webb about this. See if it shows up sometime.
@durantulous [I do fractions, not factions] @DSMok1 I don't think that's the fault of poor wisdom of the crowds so much as manipulation of things by the Fed and ... and ...
Nope, not getting started... ...
@OKC035 I totally agree, but maybe that's finally brought him back to near league average... :-)
FYI, Nick Collison still rates very highly in the best available public metric, long term RPM: http://stats-for-the-nba.appspot.com/ratings/longterm_RPM_2015.html
On a scale of 1 to 5, how would you rate Presti's move in re-signing Collison?
5 being good.
I'd say 4. Good, solid move. Not spectacular.
@durantulous [I do fractions, not factions] @DSMok1
If you get sharp people in a group, they do well. Like ESPN's "ESPN Forecast" http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/page/ESPN-Forecast-intro-130415/nba-why-espn-forecast-works
Wisdom of the crowds works pretty well.
@Divine Mortal He can make like a ton more money here than elsewhere. That usually helps--max players usually stay.
@_justin @DSMok1 Me too.
I would love to see % predictions on KD re-signing with OKC.
I'd say 80% chance.
Can we crowdsource this? I bet OKC fans have a different perspective than other fans.
Nick's still close to league average, looking only at box scores, and given his history of exceptional non-box-score value, I'd bet he's still above a league-average player. I wish he was being played more.
1 month ago on Thunder sign Nick Collison to a multi-year extension
For what it's worth, I've got Nick worth about $4 million a year, based on THIS season's stats. Box score only, not even considering his ridiculous non-box numbers every season. Based on box score stats, he's been worth >$4 million, as much as $9 million, every year since 2007. And I think that understates his impact.
I think it's a completely legitimate move.
I think that was from the insider article on possible defensive players of the year. Sounds right.
1 month, 3 weeks ago on Thunder drop a deuce against the Kings, 104-83
@Jooseppi @GREENE1148 [PERRY JONES IS AWFUL FACTION] Typically guaranteed unless he retires, I think.
2 months, 1 week ago on Wednesday Bolts – 12.24.14
@_justin @GREENE1148 [PERRY JONES IS AWFUL FACTION] @DSMok1 Yeah, it was a tough decision which way to show that.
Is it a rate stat or a counting stat? Final thought was it is a rate stat in season but then would be handled like a counting stat over multiple seasons. Sort of odd, I know.
However, when full seasons were summed up to get career VORP numbers, the results ARE prorated for the shorter seasons.
2 months, 1 week ago on Monday Bolts – 12.22.14
@King of Carrot Flowers the third He is a stats guy, but a lot of the better stats still like Josh Smith pretty well.
@Jabb0310 @Tommy_Parker Pretty solid? It's the best of all time currently....
2 months, 2 weeks ago on Friday Bolts – 12.19.14
@GREENE1148 @SeinfeldOKC [Seinfeldtinder] Ditto--the stats LOVED Adams. Top 3 or 4 pick that season. McGary also, though not to the same extreme.
4 months, 3 weeks ago on Practice Report: Picking up pieces
@cemitten @Durants Shimmy That was a joke--there are like 200 of us on the panel...
I think I rated him either a 5 or a 6, can't remember which. Current rating is at 4.98 for the last player shown.
5 months ago on Thursday Bolts – 10.2.14
@FallenOSIRIS @FunakiEjectsAnother [#StartLambFaction] I was one of the rankers... he's on the list.
I think my rating of him is why he hasn't shown up yet.
5 months ago on Wednesday Bolts – 10.1.14
@_justin @L0rv Nathan's one of the top basketball statisticians out there... most people don't know it yet.
5 months, 2 weeks ago on Friday Bolts – 9.19.14
@ThunderousHornet Celtics. I live in Maine now, and my wife's family are all big fans.
Also I like to watch the various analytics-based front offices, and I respect the Spurs a lot.
I root against the NY teams and Lakers.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Meet Anthony Morrow
@duhsweetness Maybe somebody that the Cavs used last year?
8 months, 2 weeks ago on Tuesday Bolts – 6.24.14
@GREENE1148 BTW, you can easily link to any view in the Tableau charts, to show exactly what you're looking at. Just click the Chain icon in the bottom left and copy the link.
1 year ago on What does adding Caron Butler mean?
@GREENE1148 P.S. what do likes do in here anyway?
@GREENE1148 Sorry. :-D
Kudos on the VORP reference before I got here!
Caron Butler's last 5 years, through the lens of ASPM & VORP: http://public.tableausoftware.com/shared/DKX7HJ2SN?:display_count=no
He's really not been very good for a while now, to tell the truth...
That said, a veteran presence can be useful, if he's a good character guy.
@DXL Wait for someone else to do projections. Unfortunately, the best in the business moved to Memphis.
The ESPN summer forecast is also very accurate traditionally, as is Vegas.
1 year, 8 months ago on Wednesday Bolts – 7.3.13
@Dominator@ErenMus@dollarbillrussellESPN Forecast, which is a very good group of NBA minds (over 200 people) ranked Spoelstra 5th in the NBA: http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/58016/the-best-coach-in-the-nba . Brooks got 4 votes total out of 1872 votes. Pop was #1, Thibs #2, Rivers #3.
1 year, 8 months ago on Kevin Martin walks, leaving a hole that needs filling
@ErenMus @Dominator @dollarbillrussell Most folks put Spoelstra around 5th in the league. The GM's put him 4th when surveyed.
@Crow @DSMok1 @Fezzy Right, I think...
1 year, 8 months ago on Report: Thunder targeting forward Dorell Wright
@DXL Nice work on the trade!
He'd be a great pickup.
ASPM, he's basically league average on both O and D, and has been last 4
Very solid wing. Did you know he lead the league in 3 Pointers attempted and made 2 seasons ago?!
FWIW, here's what I'd grade these moves:
Steven Adams: A- Best available, but will not contribute much this season. Hard to do better, though.
Roberson: B Lots of potential, not sure the trade up was needed (did Kevin Pelton rating him 3rd best talent spook Presti?)
Draft-and-Stash: B draft and stash picks are good--not on crowded roster now, some pan out big time.
Grant Jerrett: A A good value late in the draft, no assets given up. Easily could make roster.
Oh, and the Harden trade: A. Absolutely the right move.
1 year, 8 months ago on 3-on-3: Grading the Thunder’s draft
@d21@DSMok1Answered more fully on twitter: https://twitter.com/dsmok1
1 year, 8 months ago on Welcome to OKC! Now here are some tips
@d21@DSMok1Like him quite a bit. http://public.tableausoftware.com/shared/D4M5TZPNM?:display_count=yes
Very similar to Cole Aldrich statistically, but... he had this performance as an unpolished freshman vs. Cole as a polished Jr.
@d21@lmp5336Steven Adams top 10 comps purely by measurements from predraft camp:
@OBoy @f5alcon @RWolverine LOL
1 year, 8 months ago on Thunder draft recap: Wait and see
@DanielLawler We had a good draft.
@DanielLawler We could not pay Harden, and got back two potential players on rookie scale contracts. It was a very good move long term.