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@Mattmark @Dogger That's the 45.5% chance.  The odds are posted above; it's just addition.

3 weeks, 2 days ago on Game 76 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Senators 3 (OT)

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@Jay31 @T_Ry @leafmealone See, all I was really doing here was demonstrating how unreliable Wikipedia is as a source.  Thank you all for taking part in this experiment.  Looks like my work here is done.

1 month, 1 week ago on Game 66 Scoring Chances: Blues 6 vs. Maple Leafs 1

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@Jay31 @T_Ry @leafmealone Wikipedia says the Cup runner-up (runner-Cup?) drafts 29th.

If the Wiki page is correct:
30th - Cup winner

29th - Cup runner-up

28/27 - Conference finalists (in order of regular-season points)

? - 26 - Remaining division winners

15-? - Remaining teams

1 month, 1 week ago on Game 66 Scoring Chances: Blues 6 vs. Maple Leafs 1

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@Jay31 @T_Ry @leafmealone Gotcha; thanks for setting me straight.

1 month, 1 week ago on Game 66 Scoring Chances: Blues 6 vs. Maple Leafs 1

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@leafmealone I could be wrong here, but aren't the final draft rankings based solely on regular-season standings (except that the Cup winner drafts 30th)?

1 month, 1 week ago on Game 66 Scoring Chances: Blues 6 vs. Maple Leafs 1

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@docmma @Pinky12 @ConnorCrisp I'd prefer 5 picks in the top 3, but then math ruins my day.

1 month, 2 weeks ago on 2015 Trade Deadline Open Thread

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@Komas Taberle @jayman87 I don't think Detroit does that.  Tatar could be something.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Maple Leafs claim defenceman Tim Erixon

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@North Kariya  @T_Ry Why?  Serious question.  I can't think of a single reason not to use extra cap space to retain salary for the next couple of years if it increases the return on assets.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Game 62 Scoring Chances: Canadiens 4 vs. Maple Leafs 0

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"...at this stage of team building," because we shouldn't be a capped-out team. Saying that retaining salary is the cap space's "sole purpose" might be an exaggeration, but I don't think he's wrong that some of it should be used that way.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Game 62 Scoring Chances: Canadiens 4 vs. Maple Leafs 0

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Gotta say, while I disagree with how Niner is going about his business and calling people's comments "retarded," it's a stretch to call his cap space comment "fucking ridiculous" (if that is indeed what you're referring to), especially since several people on here have made similar comments recently. If we could trade Player X for a 2nd, but retaining $1M x 3 years gets a 1st, why wouldn't we?

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Game 62 Scoring Chances: Canadiens 4 vs. Maple Leafs 0

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@PepTalk @zoidbergman I hope so.  What an obnoxious genre of music.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Leafs re-acquire TJ Brennan in exchange for Spencer Abbott

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@zoidbergman @McJesus Why?  We should retain all the salary in the world for the next couple of years; shouldn't be a capped-out team anyway, and if it brings in better players and picks, go nuts.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Leafs re-acquire TJ Brennan in exchange for Spencer Abbott

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@dlbu dlbu E @T_Ry Bergenheim was disgruntled and not really pulling his weight, I think; he wasn't helping.  It sounds like they're willing to trade picks but not youth.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Leafs re-acquire TJ Brennan in exchange for Spencer Abbott

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@dlbu dlbu E That's...pretty much it.  Jagr to Florida.  NJ gets a 2nd this year and a condition 3rd in 2016.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Leafs re-acquire TJ Brennan in exchange for Spencer Abbott

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Anybody know if Brennan needs to clear waivers to be called up?

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Leafs re-acquire TJ Brennan in exchange for Spencer Abbott

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@Yaknowwhat @T_Ry @TheLoovTrain @Burn_the_Loov_Boats I'm not sure about Lupul...I really like the guy, but he's hurt so often that I have to wonder how much of an impact he can have.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@Yaknowwhat @Dan39 @TheLoovTrain @Burn_the_Loov_Boats I agree on all points except the part about Winnik seeming miffed; I've seen several comments from him that indicate he likes playing here, but with a guy like that it's hard to tell if he really loves Toronto, or if he's just being a good soldier and a good teammate.  You could very well be right, Yak; I'm just not sure what to think, is all.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@Dan39 @Yaknowwhat @TheLoovTrain @Burn_the_Loov_Boats I'd love to see Winnik back in the summer, but I can't imagine he'd feel the same.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@Yaknowwhat @TheLoovTrain @Burn_the_Loov_Boats I guess the danger is that if you cling to veteran players because of leadership and other intangibles, the slippery slope could move you away from spending that money on a more skilled player.  Loov Train is right in that management has to beware of falling in love ("loov") with those guys, and probably do have to figure out what their worth is in terms of a trade return.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@TheLoovTrain @Yaknowwhat @Burn_the_Loov_Boats Agreed that everybody should be available for the right price, but then we approach the question of what leadership is worth.  IMHO, Polak has demonstrated that he doesn't shy away from leading, and I don't think that's always easy to find.  What's a fair return for that?

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@Yaknowwhat @TheLoovTrain @Burn_the_Loov_Boats Polak isn't without his warts, but his work ethic and attitude are good to have around.  If he's able to help the young kids during a rebuild, that might be worth a lot more than a 2nd-rounder in the long run.

1 month, 3 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Calm Before the Storm?

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@Sharky_77 @T_Ry @vinoa I agree with everything you say based on your avatar alone.

2 months ago on Thursday Mashup: Friedman on Polak, Kessel to Florida, and NTCs

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@Cameron19 @T_Ry Okay, thanks.  (So much for the "experts"...)

2 months ago on Thursday Mashup: Friedman on Polak, Kessel to Florida, and NTCs

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@vinoa @T_Ry You're missing my point.  I'm not saying we have to retain salary; I was suggesting that doing so might get an even bigger return.  But that was based on the premise we didn't have to retain it for the entire term; Cam says Lebrun's wrong on that one.

2 months ago on Thursday Mashup: Friedman on Polak, Kessel to Florida, and NTCs

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@Cameron19 @T_Ry Lebrun said that there's no obligation to retain it for the whole term.  Is he incorrect?

2 months ago on Thursday Mashup: Friedman on Polak, Kessel to Florida, and NTCs

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Apologies if this has already been addressed here or elsewhere, but honest question: if, as Lebrun suggested on the radio Tuesday night, we can up the return for Kessel by retaining some salary for a few years - why wouldn't we?  This shouldn't be a cap team, and wouldn't eating a few years' salary for a better prospect or another/higher draft pick be worth it?

Is Kessel valuable without salary retention?  Of course.  But this could mean an even greater return.

2 months ago on Thursday Mashup: Friedman on Polak, Kessel to Florida, and NTCs

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@TorontoMapleLeafs @T_Ry @Carrick's Corner I feel like we're taking this over with Adelaide stuff now...actually, if you're nervous about it or have any questions, you can email me at taylor.ryan@gmail.com.  It was easily the best year of my life; I'd be happy to tell you what to expect.

2 months ago on Game 58 Scoring Chances: Panthers 3 vs. Maple Leafs 2

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@TorontoMapleLeafs @T_Ry @Carrick's Corner I think they gave me my housing assignment when I arrived.  They sent someone to pick me up at the airport, which was great, and then gave me a little information presentation when I arrived (even though all I wanted to do was sleep).  The time difference is 11.5 or 12.5 hours, depending on daylight savings - it's a weird one.

2 months ago on Game 58 Scoring Chances: Panthers 3 vs. Maple Leafs 2

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@TorontoMapleLeafs @T_Ry @Carrick's Corner I stayed in the Village too!  I was in one of the townhouses; there are apartments as well.  They put together lots of activities for the residents, which is cool. 

2 months ago on Game 58 Scoring Chances: Panthers 3 vs. Maple Leafs 2

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@TorontoMapleLeafs @Carrick's Corner I went to the University of Adelaide for the Graduate Diploma in Education program.  Great place.  Are you staying in one of the residences?

2 months ago on Game 58 Scoring Chances: Panthers 3 vs. Maple Leafs 2

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@Mitch92 @udlbu He should be scared to lose them for nothing; it's happened before.  Thank god he made sure it didn't happen again.

2 months ago on Leafs Trade Mike Santorelli & Cody Franson to the Nashville Predators

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@Pent_House @Top_Jimmy If it's on Infowars.com, that's the site run by the guy who thought he could get Piers Morgan deported...that Alex Jones nutbar. His website sells end-of-the-world survivalist gear...and has a kids' section with illustrated books that teach kids about how Jews control the world.

Excuse me while I wait for a more reputable source.

2 months, 1 week ago on Game 54 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 5 vs. Oilers 1

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@Juke joint Jimmy I dunno; the wingers were constantly leaving the D-zone early in the 3rd - they started to get sloppy once they had the game in hand.  My hope is that this makes them cocky, they carry that play into the next game, and when it doesn't work they spiral downward again.  (Just going by recent history here.)

2 months, 1 week ago on GDT: Game #54, Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (7 p.m., HNIC)

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@Xxxxxnew I did my teacher's college in Adelaide, when their team was the Avalanche (now the Adelaide Adrenaline, because of ridiculous ownership issues)...$2 for a ticket, and it was pretty entertaining hockey at times.  Some ex-NHLers coaching and playing in that league, too, and they're all really nice guys.

3 months ago on Game 47 Scoring Chances: Hurricanes 4 vs. Maple Leafs 1

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@StanSmith @Mitch92 @HHT @Yaknowwhat If people at your job were constantly talking in front of you about how you were about to get fired so someone better could replace you, wouldn't that bother you too?

3 months, 1 week ago on Sunday Mashup: On the road again

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@ingy56 @T_Ry @TheLoovTrain It was pretty shocking that he made that move, yeah...I think everyone had been hoping for a legitimate rebuild.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Alec Brownscombe @Cameron19 @Burn_the_Loov_Boats Two things worth mentioning if we're discussing Kessel's health:

1) the iron-man streak

2) got testicular cancer as a rookie; missed just 11 games


Any way you look at it, he's been nothing if not resilient health-wise.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@ingy56 @T_Ry @TheLoovTrain Point taken, but Kessel was a bit more of a sure thing.  Guess it came down to a gamble: hope the C prospect can make it as an elite NHLer, or take the RW who's already on the cusp?

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@ingy56 @TheLoovTrain I can't say I blame Burke for moving on Kessel when he was made available.  (And blah blah blah Seguin, but it was reasonable to assume that the Leafs were moving up the standings, not down, by adding Kessel to the fold.)

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Cameron19 @MaxwellHowe @T_Ry @Alec Brownscombe @Burn_the_Loov_Boats I think it's time that's the issue.  It's probably realistic to say that if there's a shakeup coming, it's 5-10 years before this team contends.  He likely won't be that same talent by then.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Burn_the_Loov_Boats @T_Ry Having a double chin doesn't make you overweight, or even necessarily out of shape.  It just means you've got a chubby face.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Burn_the_Loov_Boats @Cameron19 I don't remember reading anything that unequivocally stated that he came to camp overweight.  Just that he had only skated a few times during the summer, and of course the ubiquitous comments about his appearance.  Who reported it?

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Alec Brownscombe @Cameron19 @Burn_the_Loov_Boats This is the one-and-only reason I'd like them to explore trading him: I don't think they're going to be anything until he's past his prime.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@PepTalk @Alec Brownscombe @alex callis In this market, it seems to be easier to tear them down.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@Top Jimmy At least go for a 40-pack.  The days of 20 Timbits for $2 are over.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@DeclanK @T_Ry I could see him gunning for more...given the comparables, I agree that he'll get at least that much though.

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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@ingy56 @Alec Brownscombe @DeclanK "Trade with Montreal" and "merit" shouldn't be seen within a country mile of each other.

Edit: although they did give us Dougie back for a few glorious minutes in the spring of 2003...

3 months, 1 week ago on Game Review: Game #43, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 2

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