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@Buds Mackenzie Haha, well played.
2 hours, 54 minutes ago on Game 76 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Senators 3 (OT)
@Marlies Man @Coldincowtown I guess, but man, we are so lacking in elite young talent, we could use any one of them.
@Cameron19 @Dogger Wasn't Wheeler rumoured to be coming to the Leafs before Jets got him?
3 hours, 2 minutes ago on Game 76 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Senators 3 (OT)
Marner, Strome, Hanifan. All going to be great players and I would be happy with any one of them if we somehow fail to win lotto. This whole debate is like having three great sports cars in your garage and picking which one to drive. It is a good year to be bad, period.
3 hours, 3 minutes ago on Game 76 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Senators 3 (OT)
Wow, this Jets-Hawks game is a barn burner. Jets are a handful, hard to imagine them missing playoffs. If they get in they are going to be a handful for whoever they draw.
3 hours, 14 minutes ago on Game 76 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Senators 3 (OT)
@Savo43 I am afraid if I open my blinds I will either go blind or see our current line up :)
3 days, 8 hours ago on Thursday Mashup: Bailey set to debut, Marlies within a point of playoffs, lottery date set
@Yaknowwhat @Hollandaise @Joe_17 I blame Burke. He brought in the island of misfit toys. Nonis got stuck having to figure out what to do with them, all the while still thinking the core might not be rotten. Everything is now clear, so time to deal. P9 and PK will still fetch good returns, better than we would have got if we didn't resign them, but instead dealt them at the deadline last year.
@sniperstar @Coldincowtown All about fun with numbers snipes, you're not trying hard enough :)
5 days, 11 hours ago on GDT: Game #74, Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs (7:30 p.m., TSN4)
This is why 4th spot wins the draft:
Fact - top ten picks have a 91.5% of winning lottery, meaning a top ten pick will win lottery
Fact - of the top ten picks, top three have slightly less than 50% chance of winning lottery (45/91.5), meaning position 4 through 10 will win lottery;
Fact - fourth pick has best odds in 4 through 10, therefore, finish 4th and McDavid is ours.
Yes, I love stats and my new avatar will soon read CIC97
That's easy. I feel bad for me for still being a leaf fan through all the garbage we live through....and for everyone here suffering with me! I don't feel bad for any players making millions playing a game.
1 week, 2 days ago on Game 72 – SJS 4, TOR 1 – An even worse start for Toronto
Gaudreau is not 5'5". I met him two weeks ago. He is skinny but much closer to 5'9". Those stats are old.
@Komas Taberle Our core made multiple puppies last night.
2 weeks ago on GDT: Game #70, Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks (7 p.m., CBC)
My view on the core. We need to seriously evaluate players personality for this market. If you are in the top five core group, in addition to elite talent, you need to be able to embrace the media frenzy and have a personality. Kessel and Phaneuf do not, Kadri, Rielly do. Build around those guys. Supporting cast is less relevant on media front as nobody pays attention to them. Our two most expensive guys are absolute least capable of dealing with the frenzy. Hit restart.
2 weeks, 1 day ago on GDT: Game #69, Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames (8 p.m., SN)
@vinoa @Yaknowwhat sarcasm noted…i hope.
@vinoa @zoidbergman Kadri is the least of our problems IMO. He is one of the few guys who likes the spotlight and can handle media. I think you will see a much improved Kadri next year. I think he is a very good 2C. If we get McD or Strome, we are in good shape down the middle. A guy worth looking at next year is Backlund. very solid two way C, I don't think he resigns in Calgary as there may be no room for him with Bennett coming up and depth of centres in Cowtown.
Strome/ Mcjesus, Kadri, Backlund, Holland/Gauthier.
@Jmessih @Coldincowtown didn't see it. We left before three stars announced so must have been then.
@Yan28 I disagree. This is the first time all season he has been given quality minutes and semi decent line mates. I would resign Booth on a one or two year deal at $1.5mm. We are going to need some veteran forwards with size through this mess.
So, I was at the game last night. Amazing how many leaf jersey were still worn and none thrown. Calgary was out for the kill immediately. Booth and Kozun were the only two leafs who looked like they wanted to compete. Putting Brennan and MacW out there together against Monahan's line was death, compounded by Bozak and phil. In any event, no contest. I have been to most Leaf-Flames games when they are in town and this was the first where I had no problem cheering for flames. Must admit I feel a bit dirty today, but mission accomplished.
I see Naz as a solid 2C for us for many years ahead, assuming we get our 1C in this year's draft. It is interesting that Shanny is bringing out the tough love 2 days after first healthy scratch notice. Something must have happened in between that set him off and he is now sending a strong message. Nothing wrong with that.
2 weeks, 4 days ago on Wednesday Mashup: Greatest Tank Battles
@Jay31 Reading this confirms to me that I still want Strome. As long as we draft top five we will get a beauty.
2 weeks, 5 days ago on Leafs Notebook – March 10
@zombie27 @mtommy Classic, and a great movie.
@Burtonboy I think Columbus will battle us hard to the end of the tank.
@TuckerForCompassion No worries bud, don't stay away too long.
@MaxwellHowe @AlbertaMapleLeaf @Coldincowtown your summary is correct. If the above is 2015 then it is pretty straightforward. Still, Nashville needs to drop from division lead and crap out in first round. That will get us a decent pick.
@MaxwellHowe @Coldincowtown @AlbertaMapleLeaf Yes, sorry, Alec's inserted post. If these are actually the 2015 rules then I completely agree. Despite the legalese these are pretty straightforward. Are we sure these are this years as I know I read some rules that were different.
@MaxwellHowe @AlbertaMapleLeaf @Coldincowtown I think the above post (AP's post) is from the 2014 draft rules and I believe it is different this year.
@AlbertaMapleLeaf @Coldincowtown yes, I think that is correct. Key is for Nashville to drop in standings, not win their division and get bounced in first round. All very possible. That would yield us a pretty good pick.
I noticed some chatter the last few days about our Nashville draft pick and where we might pick if they get bounced early. While the rules are less than clear, here is my conclusion:
Stanley cup winner drafts 30th, loser in cup final drafts 29th. Division winners draft 25th to 28th unless they are included above. Balance of draft works in inverse order of elimination, based on how far you go and where you ranked regular season. Confusing as hell. So, if Nashville wins their division, but gets bounced in first round, best we can pick is 25th, and more likely 26th to 28th. If Nashville loses their division and gets bounced in the first round, then we pick anywhere from 15th to 22nd depending on the regular season points from all teams eliminated in first round as the selection goes worst to best excluding any division winners bounced. Confused? Me too. What we need to have happen is for Nashville to crap out remainder of season and finish middle of the pack, lose the first round and have a bunch of first round upsets. If that happens, we could be looking at a mid to late teens pick which would be a huge return for two UFA's in a very deep draft. Fingers crossed.
I would really like to see all leafs reply #no comment for the rest of the year.
2 weeks, 6 days ago on Game 66 Scoring Chances: Blues 6 vs. Maple Leafs 1
@vinoa @DJBrianBurke @GibsonLPStudio correct, it is after season ends, but before playoffs start.
3 weeks, 6 days ago on Dave Nonis Post-Deadline Media Address
Wow, just wow! I think Shanahonis is the best GM we have ever had! I am so incredibly impressed. I am marking this down in my calendar as perhaps the worm has turned.
1 month ago on Leafs trade David Clarkson for Nathan Horton
@Sonic Wave uummm, yeah ok, thanks, pretty sure my comment was "we welcome opinions, but show some respect" but thanks for the idiot comment, much appreciated. Anyway, I won't waste anymore time on this one.
1 month ago on Friedman, Lebrun, Kypreos on Joffrey Lupul rumours
@Shannigans @Yaknowwhat @TheLoovTrain we welcome your opinions, but not your smartass finish, move along or show some respect to those that have been here awhile.
@Yaknowwhat @Sonic Wave the "troll" is strong in these ones yak, don't get sucked in.
@udlbu I think we should all be prepared for a let down at trade deadline. The salary cap made trades more difficult. This is now compounded by the lottery system for teams missing the playoffs, no GM wants to be the guy that traded his first thinking he could make the playoffs only to miss out and have his pick win the lotto. I don't buy the lottery protected analogy either, because sellers do not want to wait a year for a pick. These two factors make deals way more difficult, further complicated by the pressure of timing on trade day. I think most GM's will pick around the fringe and wait until summer for big moves. I will be absolutely shocked if we move more than two players by Monday, perhaps three, with Winnik, Jokinen and one other small deal most likely.
This tanking stuff is hard to deal with when there are so many games left. I think we are very unlikely to be so bad as to catch Arizona or EDM. Fourth last is likely unless we go on a run, which would drive us all mad. I think the best way to deal with this is to hope for some entertaining hockey, play our young guys a lot, realize we will actually win some games and cross our fingers that in the new lottery format, somehow we get rewarded for not being as crap as the bottom three. That approach will keep me sane. Good luck my fellow MLHS'rs! We will get through this!
1 month ago on GDT: Game #60, Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs (7 p.m., CBC)
@Wilbur @Dogger What a chump for saying that. I get the feeling we have a lot of wing nuts in that room including Holland if he said that. He should stick to his game...aka, try finding a game. I have been completely unimpressed with Holland and don't even consider him when trying to see what this team looks like in a few years.
1 month, 1 week ago on McKenzie/Ferraro on: O’Reilly, Bozak, Polak & Leafs Coaching Candidates
@whalz @Cameron19 Bozak is from Saskatchewan.
1 month, 1 week ago on The Leafs shouldn’t retain a dollar of Phil Kessel’s contract
@HeatherRickAkin Pretty much same take I had, and I must have been typing at the same time. We might keep Phil, but we could also get a pretty amazing return. In either case, my first move out player is Bozak as I think as long as he is here, the temptation to pair him with Phil will continue, and Bozie is just a much a problem as the others. That is not acceptable. Dion is likely next, Phil, as Alec points out, only if the price is right. As bad as Phil was last night, he still made a few plays in the offensive zone where I just shook my head and thought, wow, not many guys in the league can do that.
Great article Alec. I read so much garbage on MSM and when I come here I generally find the articles insightful and the comments banter entertaining. I pretty much agree with every point you make, very sound logic. So happy MLHS exists otherwise I would have either completely dropped the Leafs by now and/or gone insane reading TSN nonsense. We will likely hold on to Kessel until draft, unless somebody blows us away with an offer. And to your point, if we land McD, well hell, I wouldn't mind seeing how Phil looks on the wing of an elite talent. Fingers crossed but not counting on it.
Anyway, terrific job!
Ironically, when Burke was hired we had no top line players and no prospect depth, instead of a rebuild he let his ego get in the way and tried to do a quick retool turnaround. Didn't work. Now, we have top line players and some prospect depth and a top five pick with another first and everyone is yelling rebuild. I don't buy it. This is a retool and I don't think it will take five years. I would like to see the following:
Kessel to FLA for either Barkov/Huberdeau plus their 2015 1st;
Phaneuf to LA for 2015 1st and Richards and a prospect;
Bozak, Nashville 1st to AVS for O'Reilly;
Winnick for 2nd.
Draft three in first round and build from within.
Next year we have:
O'Reilly, Kadri, JVR
Lupul, Huberdov, Panik
Komarov Holland Clarkson
UFA one year, Richards, Leivo
Leave Goats, Nylander, Brown, Leipsic etc in AHL for a year and leave all of our first round picks in junior for a year (unless we get McDavid).
This is a decent roster that tanks one more year as our D is scary, but retool and foundation is now in place.
Footnote, with above trades I would be happy to draft Hanifan if he was available.
1 month, 1 week ago on Leafs Trade Mike Santorelli & Cody Franson to the Nashville Predators
@Burn_the_Loov_Boats @Dan39 I think Clarkson is an odd duck. Did you see him walking into dressing room with his coffee cup balancing on a little plastic bag and his dorky droopy toque. What is he 12? I know it is a small thing, but I can't see anyone following that as veteran leadership. I was in favour of Clarkson signing, but I don't know who this new Clarkson is. Terrible, terrible contract and player. There are so many guys in the league making a third his salary that do much more for their team. I would suck up the salary cap and bury him in the minors next year unless we somehow pull off a miracle and deal him.
1 month, 2 weeks ago on Tuesday Mashup: Reimer to start third consecutive
@Savo43 @TheLoovTrain @Cameron19 @DCDC …and McDavid :)
1 month, 2 weeks ago on Game 54 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 5 vs. Oilers 1
@djamon @GibsonLPStudio Apparently Tampa offered Ashton and Broll :)
@Hammertownleaffan @TheLoovTrain @Alec Brownscombe @Dogger In fairness, I bet she is pregnant in that photo, and I know we all think our wives are glowing when pregnant but, meh, not so much in this photo.
@RaycroftButterflies @Dogger re-watch JVR against Boston in the playoffs. Anything but soft. I just think he loses interest when the games don't matter. With the right group I think he could be dominant. I go back and forth on JVR as he clearly has tons of value in a trade. Ideally, I would keep him and hope we can surround him with a more talented forward group.
@djamon @Yaknowwhat True, but we have risk too, as in, the players we want to move get hurt.
@Yaknowwhat No kidding, I really think that is just a coincidence though. My worry is we keep playing a tighter system and our goalies start playing lights out! Then it is bye bye top pick.
@Cameron19 @Coldincowtown @Top_Jimmy OK, well my guess is this nonsense is likely from posters who don't know their ass from a hole in the wall. I have not noticed the trend, but will watch for it and will be sure to respond.
@djamon @Yaknowwhat Exactly. The issue is really about asset management more so than does Bernier now suck. Bernier has had a shit month, but I am guessing he is still viewed highly by mgmt and other teams. If we are truly going to clean house here, it makes sense to consider all assets and what they can get. While my personal preference would be to roll with Bernier on a reasonable RFA contract, I could also live with Reimer as our guy if Bernier fetched us something really impressive. Doesn't mean Bernier isn't good, it is just good management.