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Duncan is a once in a generation talent. He can't be replaced. You have to grow a new nucleus around Kawhi. Splitter is a role player. Bertans could be a piece. Mills and Green could be role players. I don't think Hanga or Richards will ever be Spurs. The best you can expect from a domestic player in the 20s is a role player. I think you could get a star foreign player though. Inglis, Nurkic and Jokic have a chance to be rotation players. Maybe Micic as well. Bogdanovic is probably a role player at best. All of these players are very high risk, but the reward is also higher than the domestic players. I think Tavares has extremely high risk, and a role player at best. Payne will never be more than a Kurt Thomas type at best. Papapetrou and Westermann are incredibly high risk, but at 58 and 60 that is acceptable. The next frontier for role players are undrafted or released 2nd round picks developed by the Toros.

4 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/

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I've written up an analysis of the Spurs for the draft.  Is there somebody at Project Spurs I can email this to for vetting?

4 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/

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My Spurs draft board: 1. Jusuf Nurkic 2. Kristaps Porzingis 3. Zach Lavine 4. Kyle Anderson 5. Glenn Robinson 6. PJ Hairston 7. KJMcDaniels 8. Jordan Adams 9. Damien Ingles 10. Elfrid Payton 11. Bogdan Bogdanovic 12. Vasilje Micic.

Realistically, I would guess the Spurs will draft Ingles, Payton, or Bogdanovic.

Do not draft: Mitch McGary, Shabazz Napier, Gary Harris, Clint Capella, Artem Klimenko, Deonte Burton, Jahii Carson.

High Second Rounders worth thinking about: Nikola Jokic, Thanasis Antetokoumpo, Patric Young, DeAndre Daniels.

Possible late second round picks: Ioannis Papapetrou, Lamar Paterson, Leo Westermann, Moussaka Diagne, Rasmus Larsen, Shayne Whittington, Alec Brown, LaQuinton Ross, Alessandro Gentile in no particular order.

4 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/

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Sometimes guys just throw out the Spurs as an option to increase their perceived value. Usually, it comes down to money. If I were Pau, I'd go back Memphis to play with his brother. I think Pau will sign with the Spurs on the Twelfth of Never.

4 months, 2 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/report-paul-gasol-considering-spurs.html

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While the Spurs did well, I think the Front Office did OK too.  My understanding of the situation is that the Clipper owe the Spurs their second round draft pick this year, IF the Clippers pick will be between 55-60.  Based on the regular season, the Clippers should have the 58th pick, meaning the Spurs should get it, right?  This means the Spurs should get both the 58th (Clippers) as well as the 60th (Spurs).  Can anybody confirm this?

5 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/

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I mentioned this in a previous thread.  However, Davis Bertans has missed a second game in a row, while Gagic returned.  Dusko Vujosevic either is or was in San Antonio this week.  I think there was a report he was going to be in San Antonio for the LA Laker game yesterday.  Perhaps a Project Spur person could try and track him down while he is here ...

5 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/report-davis-bertans-sits-out-recent-game-for-partizan.html

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Is Davis Bertans hurt again? He didn't play for Partizan yesterday, and didn't make the roster.

5 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/damian-james-says-he-wants-to-he-one-of-the-best-defenders-in-the-nba.html

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Regular season games are not the real measuring stick for the Spurs, so no conclusions should be drawn from the data.  However, a win percentage of 77.9% and a point differential of +8.5 compare favorably with 2003, 2005, and 2007.  With a young Kawhi flexing his scoring might late in the season, maybe they aren't peaking too soon, maybe they are just really strong this year.  I also think the Thunder are a bad matchup for the Spurs, the Spurs are a bad matchup for the Heat, and the Heat are a bad matchup for the Thunder.  I don't know about the Clippers or the Rockets yet.  I suspect that no mid-range game may be a problem for the Rockets come the second round of the playoffs.

5 months, 2 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/spurs-tony-parker-admits-concerns-of-team-peaking-early.html

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Somehow, I don't think he cares. He might just as soon poke his own eye out than do a press conference on this award from his peers.

5 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/

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I think it all depends on Pop. Let's say the Spurs win a ring this year. Timmy retires that very same night. The next week, Manu likely retires, and takes a job doing Spanish language NBA broadcasts for Latin America. Peter Holt will seriously consider selling the franchise. No Holt, no Pop for sure, and RC will likely be purchased by a big market team. If Holt decides to hang on, Pop may or may not. If Pop stays on, so will TP and most but not all of the gang. If Pop retires, then RC will likely bring in Bill Self, TP and KL will be traded away and Spurs will go into full-on tank/rebuilding mode.

5 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/video-davis-bertans-returns-to-the-court-scores-20-points-in-20-minutes.html

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His first game back wasn't great against Maccabi, and the second game was only an Adriatic game. The third game against Lokomotive is definitely a step in the right direction, even though the team lost. Partizan was eliminated from the Euroleague playoffs with the loss. Too many turnovers, and not enough ball movement for Partizan, although Davis did his part. So far, so good. It looks to me like Partizan is keeping Davis on a strict 20 minute limit in the Euroleague, but I didn't like the 27 minutes in the Adriatic. Draft wise, Bogdan Bogdanovich looks good to me, although the Spurs are already completely full with PGs. Philly, Orlando, Atlanta, or OKC may get him though.

5 months, 3 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://projectspurs.com/2014-articles/video-davis-bertans-returns-to-the-court-scores-20-points-in-20-minutes.html

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If the team is healthy and playing well, would you rather have the No. 1 seed or not?  Of course you would.  But the No. 1 seed doesn't mean that much if even a single key player is hurt.

I agree with Rockhead, I think Dallas or Phoenix would be best in the first round.  I'm not scared of Memphis either.

For the second round, Portland or Golden State might be better than the alternatives.  Both Houston and the LA Clippers could be ... difficult. How often have "LA Clippers" and "difficult second round NBA playoff opponent" ever been in the same sentence?  Sheesh ...

6 months, 2 weeks ago on The Spurs are the No. 1 seed, but does it matter?

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For me, the list is very short.  I'm interested in  a guy from the Toros, such as Courtney Fells, or Deshaun Thomas after the French regular season ends.  Perhaps Davis Bertans after the end of the Adriatic League.  These guys would benefit from being in a suit on game day and participating in practice, which is about all you can expect at this point.

6 months, 3 weeks ago on The Buyout Market: Best of the Rest

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We'll, if Caron is intending to sign with OKC, perhaps it is time to submit a waiver claim. At worst, it denies OKC a SF. At best, we get a backup SF. It could be a good use of $1 million. SA doesn't have to absorb the ENTIRE contract. They just have to bid higher than any other claim.

6 months, 3 weeks ago on Report: Butler to sign with Thunder

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Given the choices out there, I think Courtney Fells from the Toros is the best bet.  I think we need another SF to get us through the regular season.  None of these folks are going to help much in the playoffs.  The choices now go something like this: Fells, Antawn Jamison, Stephen Jackson, probably in that order.  Unless the Spurs can pull a Danny Ferry and pull somebody from Europe in the next 30 hours.  I really liked the Hawks picking up Mike Muscala for the rest of the season.

6 months, 3 weeks ago on Granger passing on Spurs is blessing in disguise

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Let me see here. Danny Granger could make sense given the Indy-SA two-way pipeline.  But I don't think  SA has the cash to get him.  I think Big Baby is going to LA to help out Doc. I'm not so sure on Earl Clark. If Detroit were to buy out Luigi Datome, that might make sense, but haven't heard anything about that. Austin Daye can't guard his own shadow, I think that is just a salary dump and reward to Nando for behaving. If Stephen Jackson would say the right words, I think Pop would take him back.

A bench warmer with promise might make sense. Deshaun Thomas is playing well in France. Could he be signed by March 1? Maybe not. Davis Bertans is still recovering from injury. So no. Courtney Fells is playing pretty well down on the Toros. He might be worth a look, although at 6'5", he is a little short for a SF.

For me, I think I might try to bring in Deshaun Thomas if a deal could be executed quick enough at the right price. If not, I'd go for Stephen Jackson, if he is in the right frame of mind. If not, do nothing.

7 months ago on Report: Spurs could sign Granger following buy out

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@Spursfan66 @MOlsen I hear you.  And I agree the Nando experiment had run it's course, and he just didn't pan out.  My admittedly crude understanding of the situation in Toronto was that Daye couldn't guard his own shadow, and Duane Casey wanted guys that could play defense.  Daye just can't do it ... perhaps Pop will provide more motivation and urgency to the matter.

7 months ago on Report: Spurs trade De Colo for Austin Daye

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@Spursfan66 I don't know.  He looks an awful lot like a Davis Bertans to me, but without nearly as much promise.  DeShaun Thomas is also doing pretty well for Nanterre in France right now too.  I think both of those players have more upside thand Daye, and I don't think Daye is likely to help out this year in the playoffs.  I see it as combo salary dump/injury insurance trade for this year, and I doubt he will be around next year.

7 months ago on Report: Spurs trade De Colo for Austin Daye

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I don't know.  Daye couldn't crack the rotation in Toronto, of the Leastern Conference.  Not a great 3-point shooter, not a great defender.  Could be reasonable at both, but would need a lot of work.  Might need to be sent down to Austin for some work.  Nando was familiar with the Spurs system, but Daye is 6" taller and about $500,000 cheaper.  For a team pushing for a championship this year, I don't see him cracking the Spurs playoff rotation.  Of course, neither would Nando.  The Spurs didn't give up much, but I'm not sure they got much either.  I'll reserve judgement.

7 months ago on Report: Spurs trade De Colo for Austin Daye

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@m90045 @PaulGarciaPS No.  I think they will let him go after this 10-day contract.  I would not be at all surprised to see Stephen Jackson signed before the playoffs though.

7 months ago on Inside the victory: Spurs 111, Blazers 109

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No, this doesn't make any sense.  Turner can't guard his own shadow, and certainly not Durant.  For a trade, maybe Nando for Datome in Detroit.  More likely is to let Shannon Brown walk, and re-sign Stephen Jackson, yet again.  If Jack will sit face to face with Pop and tell him he will do whatever he wants, and not complain about Kawhi or Danny and be a good teammate, they will take Jackson back.  Jackson now realizes he is not in demand, and the Spurs could use him for a few precious spot minutes.  Looks like a deal to me.

7 months, 2 weeks ago on Report: Spurs could have interest in Turner through trade or in free agency

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In general, no, the Spurs don't need a trade.  Now if a great offer comes along, that is something else, but I wouldn't even give up Matt Bonner at this point.  So who can you get for Nando De Colo or Aron Baynes, as those are the only two players likely available?  I come up with Luigi Datome from the Pistons for Nando.  Detroit needs a perimeter player, and the Spurs could use SF.  The Spurs were interested in Datome before, but he stupidly decided to sign with Detroit instead.

7 months, 2 weeks ago on Spurs Roundtable: State of the Spurs near the All-Star Break (Video)

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It's January.  Timmy is OK, Manu isn't hurt, and TP is a little banged up.  I'm more worried about TP getting healthy, and playing him fewer minutes than I am about some worthless regular season game.

For me, Reggie Jackson is a worry.  Cory Joseph has to step up.  We have playoff plans for Durant and Westbrook.  Tiago and Danny need to make improvements, but they are injured right now.  I think Baynes needs more playing time, because he is ideal for handling Dwight Howard, and perhaps Lamarcus Aldridge.  The other boys just aren't big enough.

Finally, we need Memphis in the playoffs.  The Spurs can handle them, but OKC?  Not so sure.

7 months, 3 weeks ago on Parker on losing to top-tier teams: There's no panic

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If Pop isn't going to play these guys, then the use of paying them is for developmental purposes.  Then when you cut somebody like Malcolm, not only are the Spurs on the "hook" for the guaranteed contract, but the new team gets the benefit of the player development investment that was made.  Honestly, Baynes and De Colo can't get enough burn, so why even fill these roster slots if Pop won't play them?

7 months, 4 weeks ago on Malcolm Thomas lands with Jazz

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Now that the Spurs players sent to the Toros are accepting the mission, and working on their game, the next measuring stick is can the coaching staff at the Toros develop the players to the point that they succeed in San Antonio?  Cory Joseph looked to have done that last year, but this year has been a disappointment.  What about Malcolm?  Can he improve his game, and then get decent minutes up in San Antonio to justify the investment or not?  I hope so, but it has to be proven.  Or will they just release him in June 2014 and let Philly or Orlando or Atlanta reap the benefit of San Antonio's investment?

8 months, 2 weeks ago on Thomas’ contract guaranteed, says D-League has helped his development

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Trade him to Philidelphia for a real prospect, and let Bret Brown spend his time with this headcase.

9 months, 1 week ago on Ryan Richards signs with Greek team

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Spurs defeat yet another Leastern opponent. Nothing to talk about, time to move on.

9 months, 2 weeks ago on The Rundown: Spurs struggle in first quarter, handle Raptors thereafter

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Splat goes Reno. Baynes, DeColo, and Thomas tore that team limb-from-limb. A 30 point massacre.

9 months, 2 weeks ago on Spurs assign Baynes, De Colo and Thomas to Toros

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Ryan Richards?  Ugggh.  The worst word in the world is potential.  In RR's case, it will never be realized.  On a brighter note, DeShaun Thomas is playing reasonably well for Nantes in France.  Eric Dawson is playing well for the Toros.  Courtney Fells is also doing a decent job for the Toros.  Baynes and DeColo absolutely tore up the team from Delaware ...

9 months, 3 weeks ago on Spurs' Baynes, De Colo assigned to Toros

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Replacement for Matt Bonner?  The name is Davis Bertans.  Malcolm is a bit more useful on defense.

9 months, 3 weeks ago on Report: Spurs to call-up Malcolm Thomas from D-League

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I like the signing of Malcolm again. I thought he was close to sticking last time, and he seemed to do well with the Bulls. I also agree with sending DeColo to Austin. On Baynes, I'm not sure why he was good enough to get decent playing time last year in the playoffs, but isn't good enough now for the regular season, despite his hard work on his game over the summer.

9 months, 3 weeks ago on Report: Spurs to call-up Malcolm Thomas from D-League

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I'm watching Baynes, and his playing time.  He did a good job on Howard in the playoffs last year.  I think Pop needs to stop being vindictive and let the guy get some playing time.  He needs the experience.  It isn't a crime to protect yourself against a known sleezeball like O'Neal.

9 months, 3 weeks ago on 5 things to watch: Spurs vs. Rockets

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Green can handle Jackson. Ibaka is a different matter. I don't think Splitter should start against OKC, the matchup just doesn't work in the Spurs favor. I think Diaw would be much better against Ibaka. Splitter can be on the second unit against Collison. I'd try Ayers first, then Baynes against Ibaka to backup Diaw. I think the answer for this is already on the Spurs roster. The coaching staff just didn't find it yesterday.

9 months, 3 weeks ago on Analyzing the Loss: Spurs 88, Thunder 94

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Well, no one regular season game means that much, but this will be an interesting game.  Sure, Durant will get his points.  I'm not so sure about Westbrook, because Parker has really outplayed him, badly, on numerous occassions.  However, when push comes to shove in the playoffs, I don't think the Thunder can beat a healthy Spurs team without James Harden.  I don't think Reggie Jackson or Jeremy Lamb can get the job done.  Today will be a decent measuring stick.  I also don't think Ibaka can score consistently enough through a seven game series.  And yes, I think Bonner can really cause OKC a matchup problem.

9 months, 4 weeks ago on As Spurs & Thunder prepare to square off, what the numbers say

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Folks, take a deep breath.  Lillard is not a better PG than Tony Parker, and he has never been in the playoffs.  'Nuff said.  Tony Parker was obviously tired, and needs to be given some extended rest.  Aldridge is always a load.  Lopez is a BIG pest, and Matthews can score.  Batum is good ... that is why we wanted him several times in the past.  In theory, Portland would be really difficult in the playoffs.  But what you see now is not what you will get in March, April, or May.

Look at the minutes played.  There is no way that team can sustain those types of minutes and remain healthy through an 82 game season.  Look at the Spurs minutes.  Those are sustainable minutes.  In a nutshell, Portland played a 9 man rotation, giving more than 33 minutes to all of their starters.  Pop played a 11 man rotation, and no starter played more than 33 minutes.  Take a deep breath.   

10 months, 3 weeks ago on The Rundown: Spurs suffer first loss of season due to Blazers scoring attack

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I was a little surprised to see Ayers with the second unit, and Baynes basically on the third unit.  I thought Baynes did very well in preseason, and he did well in the playoffs last year in limited minutes.  Maybe Pop is just getting Ayers some more playing time ... but I'd like to see more of Baynes.  I think Baynes can play very good defense, but is also good enough on offense that he actually has to be guarded.  Ayers ... I don't think he will ever be that helpful on offense.

10 months, 3 weeks ago on Five takeaways from Spurs opener

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I'm really hoping to see a lot of the bench this year.  Duncan, Parker, Green, and Leonard are going to log a LOT of minutes.  We need quality and quantity minutes from Splitter, Diaw, Bellineli,Joseph and Mills.  Baynes and Ayers need to shoulder a big load against bruising bigs.  82 games is just too many.  I think we need 8-16 games where Duncan, Parker, Ginobli, Leonard, and maybe even Green don't play a minute.  An NBA Championship is won in the playoffs, and it will require winning games on the road, and the HEALTHIEST team likely has the advantage.  That means keeping minutes off of the primary players, even if it means losing some games.  It also means the reserves will have more experience, and may be more capable come playoff time ...

10 months, 4 weeks ago on Predicting the Spurs player rotation

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@DevinDixen I don't agree.  The fact of the matter is that an 82 game season is too long.  There are too many meaningless games.  Marco and Jeff are absolutely critical to soaking up minutes so that Tim and Manu don't have to play as much.  Yes, Jeff isn't going to win a game for us in a Western Conference Final or NBA Final, but could be very helpful during the regular season, and against first or second round playoff opponents.  Marco is a different beast.  I think he can provide a significant amount of help against the Thunder, Clippers, or Heat.  I think you make a mistake there.

11 months ago on Spurs Season Preview: New Additions Looking to Strengthen the Bench

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I know Ayers was given more time yesterday against Orlando, but I'm really liking what I see from Baynes.  He is a big body who can move, and he is developing some respectable offensive skills.  If he keeps working hard and stays healthy, I can see him pushing Diaw, and perhaps even Splitter in certain circumstances (D. Howard and Houston in particular!).  Also, Patty Mills just won't quit.  He has gotten himself in good shape, and is bringing energy to the court as well as results.  I like his shooting percentage, and his steals yesterday.  If it isn't for the Spurs, Patty is going to earn court time from somebody ...

11 months ago on Spurs Season Preview: New Additions Looking to Strengthen the Bench

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I don't think the Spurs will have 15 players on the roster come the first day of the season.  But they have to have a back-up SF, and it looks like Corey Maggette will be that guy.

I'm thinking Patty Mills is going to get traded, probably to Philly or Atlanta.  I think Patty has more trade value than Nando de Colo, so even though Patty is better, I think he gets traded.  Then the Spurs can sign Maggette and still only have 14 guys.

For those of you dreaming about Matt Bonner being traded, I don't think so.  I think there is ZERO chance Matt is traded.  He doesn't have much trade value, and he know the Spurs plays, offense and defense.  This is far more valuable to SA than for anybody else ...

11 months, 2 weeks ago on Report: Spurs waive Sam Young

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Consistency. That is the key. Not icy-hot.Danny needs to consistently hit shots, both behind the 3 point line, and closer to the basket. A 2-guard can't be a 1-trick pony on this team.

11 months, 3 weeks ago on Danny Green's Off-Season Improvements

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@Spursfan66 @SpursAllDay11 I'm pretty sure Hollis Thompson was signed by the Thunder.  Sam Presti strikes again ...

1 year ago on Report: Spurs to workout forward James Nunnally

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I'm going to go the other way from Gymbear and 66.  Matt Bonner has his value, but he has way more value to the Spurs than to any other team in the league.  NOBODY is going to trade an elite big man for Matt Bonner.  He has experience, he can shoot, and in the playoffs last year, he actually did a decent job of defending.  I remember Tim Duncan grabbing Matt and telling him that the way he played defense on the previous play was very important for Spurs playoff success.  After this contract Matt will go back to the Vet minimum ... and for that price, yes, he can help the team going forward for a couple of years.

1 year ago on Matt Bonner on his role, Popovich & more

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Defense is a concern with Patty, but I also wonder about his eye-sight.  He just doesn't seem to put the ball in the basket enough, percentage-wise.  He is a volumn shooter, but doesn't always take great shots, and just isn't as accurate as say Gary Neal.  I see him as a SG in a PG's body, and it doesn't always work out.

1 year ago on Patty Mills hoping for more playing time next season

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I really don't have any idea what RC might have up his sleeve.  Likely trade partners for the Spurs are the Hawks, Magic, 76ers, Celtics ... the only thing I am coming up with might be one of Patty/Nando/Cory to Orlando in exchange for Tobias Harris.  I dunno ...

1 year, 1 month ago on Spurs had interest in Beno Udrih?

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Folks, there must be an unannounced trade lurking out there.  The most obvious possiblity is Brett Brown would like to take Patty Mills and perhaps Nando de Colo to Philly with him if he gets the job.  Or maybe Philly wants Cory Joseph, and the Spurs just aren't quite sold on Patty or Nando.

I know the Spurs are thinking of playing more small ball ... but this is just too many data points suggesting that the Spurs are short a PG, when the roster says otherwise.  Something is going down that we don't know yet ...

1 year, 1 month ago on Spurs had interest in Beno Udrih?

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It's been a long time since the 76ers and "good management" have been in the same sentence.  I don't have a problem losing Bret Brown to a good opportunity, but I'm not convinced that Philidelphia and a "long-term" plan qualifies ...

I'd just rather keep him next to Pop and see what opens up next year.  The right fit is better than a quick fit.

1 year, 1 month ago on Brown to interview with 76ers for second time

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I can't say that Greg made a bad choice. Miami is a good fit for him, just as San Antonio would have been. Rather than yet another guard or big man, what the Spurs need most is a back-up SF, or TWO. Yes, I know we only have one roster spot available. Injuries seem to happen at the worst possible time ...

1 year, 1 month ago on Report: Oden spurns Spurs, signs two-year deal with Miami

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