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As usual, nice article Ben. However, being critical because there is separation between Butler/Toler and the receiver is setting the bar way too high. This is normal throughout the NFL. There are only 2 or 3 DB's in the league who can just throw a blanket over WR's (i.e. Revis, Haden). I think the problem making judgments by looking at screenshots is that you can't see the closing speed that most DB's rely on. Of course they are going to allow separation to these extremely talented WR's, but the key is their ability to react when the ball is thrown to make the catch difficult and/or tackle the WR immediately.
2 months ago on Abridged All-22: Masking Poor Coverage & the Peyton Prism
@MarcusDugan Thanks for the clarification Marcus. I was just surprised to see so many runs for no gain on what I thought was going to be a "highlight" reel. Nevertheless, "Boom" still looks like a "Bust" to me. He doesn't appear to have the speed to turn the corner at all, and I see very little tackle breaking ability. With a nickname like Boom I was expecting to see a battering ram, but I guess not.
2 months ago on Colts Sign RB Daniel Herron and LB Andy Studebaker
That is the most lack luster highlight video I've ever seen. "Boom" looks terrible.
@Nate Dunlevy @Johnny_Socko @Bobman1 I'll take your word for it on the AV numbers. Perhaps my expectations on 2nd round picks is clouded by the Colts recent history of failure in the 2nd round. I.E. Ben Ijalana, Mike Pollak, and Tony Ugoh. Along with modest success with Angerer and Moala. Nevertheless, Davis was a beast last week (granted against a JV team), so anywhere near that level of production the rest of the year will justify the trade for me.
2 months, 1 week ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Seahawks
@Nate Dunlevy @Bobman1 Couple of questions Nate
1) So Davis has to be healthy and amazing all year for the trade to be worthwhile? Why do you set the bar so high for a 2nd round pick? Based on your draft pick articles, you of all people should understand the reality that typical production from draft picks is far less than people think. Your standard for Davis seems out of whack.
2) I agree that T.Rich looks underwhelming. That said, why is the deal philosophically bad? I assume because you think RB's should never be taken that high? But then why did the great(or not so great) Bill Polian draft a RB in the first round 3 times?
@Nate Dunlevy @gbearrin Hmm.....OK. So is Pep Hamilton supposed to coach that skill back into Luck's game? I suppose the change away from Arian's deep pass oriented offense may help, but I'm not convinced that Luck (or anyone for that matter) is able to avoid hits as well as Peyton. So a little more talent on the o-line seems like a good idea to me. Remember, it's not like we have devoted a huge amount of cap space to the line. There is not a pro-bowler among the group.
7 months, 2 weeks ago on What to Expect 2013: Hough Thornton and Khaled Holmes
@Nate Dunlevy @gbearrin Nate - I see your point (to a point), but worry that Andrew Luck has already shown that he is NOT capable of avoiding the rush as well as Peyton. In fact, I'm not sure anybody is as adept at avoiding taking hits as Peyton. This skill is extremely rare and it seems like you are just giving it to Andrew without acknowledging what took place on the field. Luck took a TON of hits last year. So many, that his career could be put in serious jeopardy if that were to continue. For this reason, I'm on-board with spending resources to upgrade the line.
@7IHd @dmstorm22 Alfred Morris is an average talent. I think its more likely he has been effective because defenses are focusing on RG3.
11 months, 3 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Chiefs
I'm a huge Colts and Luck fan, but I would vote rookie of the year as follows: RG3 1st, Wilson 2nd, and Luck 3rd. ROTY is a stat award and those guys easily have the best stats. When people argue "well his team is better, so...." they are trying too hard to justify a vote for Luck. Accept the fact somebody else deserves ROTY, and just be thankful we have Luck for the next 15 years.
@buymymonkey He is correct, although perhaps a little overstated. Columbus is about 45 minutes south of Indy. It's well known in the architecture world for having an unusually large number of showcase buildings. Check it out on Wiki.
12 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Texans
Nice summary. The pace for 803 drop backs is alarming, and gives me more reason to wonder what the hell Bruce Arians is thinking. Luck is taking MASSIVE hits on a regular basis. This can't be good for his long-term development as a QB. Arians seems hell-bent on going empty backfield and sending everybody out into the pattern. This leaves just our 5 offensive linemen in protection, one of whom is bound to get beaten badly on any given play. Adding to the misery is Luck's penchant to try to make the big play downfield. While I admire his courage, I would coach him to hit the hot read receiver more often to avoid getting crushed.
1 year, 1 month ago on Following a Legend: Andrew Luck Week 6 at New York Jets | October
In addition to the things mentioned in the article, I'm upset with the offensive philosophy. It seems no care is being taken to protect Andrew Luck, despite the fact our o-line is obviously a weakness. Countless times yesterday we emptied the backfield and sent both TE's out in the pattern, leaving our 5 duds on the o-line helpless to protect against the pass rush. This plan would be OK if Luck was getting rid of the ball quickly to the hot reads, but he is not. Instead, Andrew is running for his life and trying to make a big plays downfield. In the process, he is taking HUGE hits on a regular basis. I fear Luck will develop the "David Carr Syndrome", meaning his progress as a player will be stunted by the constant hits he is taking as a rookie.
On top of this, the coaches left Luck in the game when we were 26 points down with less than 2 minutes to play. What were they trying to prove here? All we managed to do was have Luck take a few more beatings in a hopeless situation. I would have liked to see Harnish get one series of play in this situation.
1 year, 1 month ago on Colts Monday Musings: Let's talk about the Coaches | October
Nice article Greg. I'm fairly new here and am curious about your background, especially as it relates to poker. I dabble in this world a bit and wonder if I've seen you "at the table".
The Vegas line for the game is Packers by 7, which seems way, way too low. I can't imagine any scenario were the Packers score less than 38 points and would not be surprised if they break 50. Does Vegas know something we don't?
1 year, 2 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Packers | October
"Winning" was one of the slew of books I got for Christmas this year. I haven't read it yet, but am anxious to get started. Gary certainly has a great life story to tell. In addition, everyone should be proud of the Impact Foundation that Gary started. It is a wonderful charitable organization that offers aid to kids suffering from serious illnesses. All Colts fans should be proud of the years Gary was with the team. Thanks for posting the interview Nate.
1 year, 8 months ago on Gary Brackett Talks to Colts Authority | April
@Nate Dunlevy @rogcohen Luck=Super Bowls. I hope so. C'mon Andrew!
1 year, 8 months ago on Did the 1998 Colts Have More Talent than the 2012 Colts? | March
@rogcohen Nail on the head. When Polian took over he inherited a HOF RB and WR, as well as the #1 pick in the draft that became a HOF QB. When viewed like this, its fairly easy to say that Polian and the Colts under-achieved during the Peyton era. I hate to say it, but we should have 3 or 4 SB rings instead of 1.
@Nate Dunlevy I'm sorry, but defending the Faulk trade because it prevented future hold-outs is an absurd argument. Hold-outs are a part of doing business in the NFL. Who cares if a guy holds out of training camp, he will eventually sign and no harm done. I'd much rather have Faulk and his HOF career and a few hold-outs over the years than stinking 2nd and 5th round picks.
This article highlights Bill Polian's biggest downfall - the Marshall Faulk trade. What a disaster and complete shame. I will NEVER forgive Polian for this debacle. He gave away a Hall of Fame RB in the prime of his career for 2nd and 5th round picks. No excuse. He should have signed Faulk to a long-term deal and used the 4th pick in the draft on Champ Bailey or Javon Kearse or Torry Holt or Booger McFarland or.....anybody else for that matter. Faulk was obviously awesome in St. Louis, but can't help but think he would have been even better if paired with Manning all those years.
Nate Dunlevy You are totally missing my point. I didn't say the draft picks were bad, I said none of them are currently providing ANY help to the team. There is no debating that.
Also, I find your argument for the "pre Super Bowl" drafts funny. Basically, you are saying since we won the SB, its obvious all the drafts were great? OK, we are now 0-7 and just got beat 62 - 7. Using your simplistic argument, all our recent drafts must be crap. I don't believe that, but that's what your logic tells me.
2 years, 1 month ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Titans