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@basketballholic Thanks -- good points here. On Point #1, I could be convinced that Thomas Robinson is worth a top ten pick this year, but that's part of the limited market I'm talking about ... that first round pick this year has a cap hit, so unless there is a lot of creativity, the Rockets can't get both top value and a clean cap wipe. For example, Austin Rivers, the 10th pick last year, had a starting salary of over $2.2M. So while his current value may be good when compared to this weaker draft, it doesn't translate to the future picks (2014 is expected to be a strong draft) that you would think the Rockets need to get clean cap room now.
On point #2, I agree completely. I don't know if any of the young PFs will be ready to make the jump to 30+ minute a night guy for a contender, which is what the Rockets would be judged as if they sign Dwight (bye bye "youngest team in the league" talk). I could see a bigger move for a starting PF, but they need to net a little more cap room first somehow to get to the max for Dwight.
9 months, 1 week ago on The Limited Trade Market For Thomas Robinson
@RedRedemption The problem is serviceable role players are guys that Daryl Morey can acquire in his sleep. I think with a guy like T-Rob, you would hope that some skillset he has can become elite or well above average. Best bet there is rebounding. He's certainly energetic and athletic, but if he's not a good fit for a team with a set style that is trying to win 50 games minimum, how does he get the time to develop and (more importantly for the Rockets' selfish purposes) increase his trade value?
@fyrebear You're right. I would tend to think the Rockets will wait until they know, simply because most teams won't be under the cap until then anyway, but the Rockets aren't strangers to making the move even if they don't have a firm commitment for the bigger move. They amnestied Luis Scola without any guarantees and dumped Kyle Lowry for a future pick as well. They may simply be OK with the cap room and a pick for T-Rob, knowing that if they do fall short in the Dwight chase that they can use those pieces/flexibility in a bigger move down the line (as they did eventually in landing Harden).