Professional squirrel. Closed course. Do not attempt.
@Kyle RodriguezHere's some more context: Irsay was arrested for driving completely
intoxicated on a public street, a serious danger to himself and others.
Brazil failed an offseason drug test for a substance he may even have
obtained and consumed completely legally.
punishments are comparable, but in public Irsay gets all of his felony
charges dismissed after a short stint in rehab and was the subject of
numerous fawning essays speaking sympathetically about the hell of
addiction. Brazil likely just gets cut, and if so has probably played
his last snap in the NFL.
Kravitz was addressing the public response and it's a pretty significant difference. It's hard to ignore that one of these guys is rich and white and the other isn't.
1 week, 5 days ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@Kyle Rodriguez Kravitz and King could start with, "I'm a big hypocrite and I should stop taking potshots at easy targets."
4 months ago on Hot Takes on Jim Irsay
The point is that the same concern and compassion is not usually shown to players who struggle with addiction. Irsay already has less accountability from the league because, as you point out, nobody can cut him or suspend him. The fact that he's also getting soft treatment from writers who depend on him for access is what sticks in KSK's craw (and mine too).
@AJ_ Don't bet on Bob "Unnamed Sources" Kravitz to start catching hell now.
4 months, 1 week ago on Jim Irsay Arrested on DUI and Drug Possession Charges
This is brilliant. We even have $14MM left to go get Alex Mack. Because it's not like we'll need to sign any first round picks this year...
4 months, 1 week ago on Colts Sign WR Hakeem Nicks to a 1-Year Deal
If you combined Luck and Hasselbeck into one hybrid QB named MANDREW
HASSELUCK, his total cap hit in 2013 was just north of $8.5MM, barely
edging out Alex Smith for 16th place among all QBs. Next year's cost for
the HASSELUCK rises to just shy of $9.8MM which still would have been
only 14th place in 2013.
6 months, 1 week ago on Grigson, Colts Entering Crucial, Defining Off-season
@hankster On the TD drive Donald Brown really caught fire. Then at the 4-yard line Brown gets pulled for Richardson, who promptly runs up the middle for no gain. Even from the upper deck I thought Luck looked pissed as he walked toward the sideline and sure enough T-Rich came right back out and Brown in to run 4 yards for the TD.
Luck looked officially sick of this bullshit.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Colts come up with the Win 22-14 over Tennessee
@hankster You're always more likely to make mistakes when you're in a hurry. Up-tempo is riskier early on when the defense is fresh. But defenses get tired quicker than offenses, so going up-tempo late to take advantage of a fatigued defense has more advantages than disadvantages. That's how I've heard it explained.
8 months, 2 weeks ago on Halftime Adjustments and T.Y. Hilton, plus Players Weigh in on Incognito and Kubiak
@MarcusDugan Probably, yes. But you can't challenge the call or non-call of a penalty. They would have been challenging the "block" (wink-wink) and I'm not sure why they would be able to since the "block" wouldn't have changed the outcome of the play, only the penalty.
It would have been straight-up gaming the challenge rules to fish for a penalty. I'm often in favor of this because the challenge rules suck and deserve to be abused but it was still early in the game and arguably not the best time to pull out that stunt.
I do hope Pagano brought it up when he was chewing out the refs for stealing the fumble recovery. "Hey, I played nice and didn't complain when you missed that penalty, now you're taking this away from me too??" We got some make-up calls in the second half so maybe he did.
8 months, 2 weeks ago on Colts Show up Late, Storm Back to Beat the Texans 27-24
@smonroe I heard them saying that too but I'm not really sure why it should work. The punt was recovered by the Texans, not the Colts, so it wouldn't make a difference to the outcome of the play if it had been blocked or not. Challenging the "block" would have been only a technicality to go on a fishing expedition for the penalty. Which with these officials might have turned out even worse somehow.
@Candlebox Sam Bradford and Doug Martin are also done for the year. And that was just this week. This is an absolutely brutal year for injuries, even by football standards.
9 months ago on Colts Hang on to Beat Denver 39-33
Not sure how Grigson makes a move to replace Reggie. Too many other bidders driving up the price and our first round pick is already gone. My fear is that this win goes to Grigson's or Irsay's head and they just totally mortgage the team's future to chase a deep playoff run.
This was painful to watch. Drops aside, the offense moved with no sense of urgency and telegraphed their plays badly.
Slowing down the tempo is what bad teams do to keep the game close and try to steal a win with fluky turnover. The Colts did not need to do that here. This was absolutely a winnable game and Luck can hang with Rivers shot for shot. As bad as Arians seemed to want to get Luck killed, at least he let Luck try to go win instead of shackling him to a bad run game.
I'm starting to wonder if the stubborn insistence on running comes from the very top. Irsay let Polian hitch the whole team to Peyton and when Peyton's wheels came off, everything else collapsed too. Do Irsay and Pagano think they can reduce the team's dependence on Luck by holding him down?
9 months, 1 week ago on Tuesday Morning Moaner: Colts at Chargers
I have a sizeable man-crush on Chase Stuart. I'd like to be him when I grow up, kthx.
Reading his work is a good antidote for my sadness over Collie signing with the Patriots. THANKS, OBAMA.
9 months, 3 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Seahawks
@buymymonkey Tell them they should tank their season, making sure to have the worst point diff in the NFL to secure the #1 pick.
What's that you say? Already in progress? ;)
9 months, 3 weeks ago on The Colts Steamroll the Jaguars 37-3
@Bobman1 YES. I raged at that FG. It was weak sauce. My friends are like, "eh, they're just being conservative". THAT'S NOT A GOOD THING, GUYS.
The only possible justification I could imagine is that they had gone scoreless through the first quarter and were down 0-3 with the Jags score coming off an pick. So they came away from that drive with no points it would be... really demoralizing? Or something? But the Jags offense had been so laughably ineffective so far, I don't think they had anything to fear.
I was really afraid they were going to let the Jags hang around by settling for FG's instead of TD's. Glad to see I was totally wrong. :D
@RobertItoh @jimfix Conversely, how many of those postseason losses were due to our famously high-octane offense running out of gas at the worst possible moment? I count very few that I blame on defensive collapse.
10 months ago on The Trent Richardson Trade: A Closer Look
Knowing now where the Browns were willing to sell Richardson, how would we feel if it had been MJD or CJ with the injury and Richardson going to a division rival?
@DougEngland It could mean that small sample sizes are more likely to yield freaky results.
Or it could mean that Pagano lacks clutchiness! TEACH THE CONTROVERSY.
10 months ago on Hitchhiker's Guide to Colts at 49ers, NFL Week 3
Richardson was also a top receiving back last year. That's significant for a team that just lost its best short-range target for the year.
*sheds single tear for Allen*
I'm going to keep holding hope that this is temporary.
This team just isn't good enough yet to produce many blowouts. They're still learning how to play together, unlike the "old regime" that kept a stunning amount of consistency for a number of years. Stay on individual guys to fix their mistakes but the team as a whole needs to keep their confidence up and "no style points" is as good a mantra as any right now.
It's sad that Mathis has apparently bought into the history rewrite that certain vocal media hacks in Coltsland love to push. As great as Luck is and will be, there's still going to be plenty of sour grapes feeling every time Peyton puts up a great game without a horseshoe on his helmet.
10 months, 2 weeks ago on Winning, With Style!
The entire O-line was awful. Luck sacked four times, forced to scramble and bail out the offense with his feet? Holy shit, guys!!! My time machine to 2012 worked!!!
10 months, 2 weeks ago on Monday Morning Moaner: Colts vs Raiders
This game was a battle to see who could beat themselves. The Colts' O-line went into complete brain lock and our CBs milled around like they were at a convention. Meanwhile Sea Bass shanked a kick that would have won them the game and we learned that Pryor should never attempt a pass longer than 10 yards. Fortunately their screw-ups were worse than ours.
The good news is it wasn't as bad as getting bossed by Chicago in week 1 last year. Once they settle down and find their feet this team still has plenty of great games in it.
Also, you can't spell "ugly win" without WIN.
10 months, 2 weeks ago on Recap: Colts Edge Raiders at Home, 21-17
In the second GIF it looks like Cherilus got brainlocked by the combination of Kruger's footwork and the safety blitz heading right for him. In his defense, if he lets Kruger draw him too far outside he leaves a gaping hole for that safety to fly right past Ballard. So it's not that bad of a derp.
But it also looks like Kruger then grabs Cherilus and pulls him to the ground from the side. That's some bullshit right there. Cherilus' "momentum" didn't fling him down onto his right shoulder. That should have been five yards, automatic first down.
10 months, 4 weeks ago on How Winston Justice Got Owned by Paul Kruger, and Injured Anthony Castonzo in the process
@MarcusDugan @smonroe My first thought was for Griff Whalen. Bringing in another KR/WR isn't a vote of confidence in Whalen's ability to secure the #5 WR job.
11 months ago on Trade: Colts Acquire WR/KR David Reed from Baltimore for RB Delone Carter
@unitas19 Championships are built on depth. Looks like Grigs understands that.
@Bobman1 "Plus, the Colts did not draft Cunningham to detail Irsay's car."
This earns a +1 all by itself.
1 year ago on Weslye Saunders Suspended Eight Games for PED Abuse
@paulcareyjr @Kyle Rodriguez I still like Brown but I'll eat my hat if there's anyone willing to trade for him...
1 year, 1 month ago on What do the Ahmad Bradshaw talks mean for the Colts?
@AJ_ By that metric just about any deal for Bradshaw is defensible. Colts are way close to the bottom in RB spending. Giving Bradshaw $4MM this year wouldn't even get them to the top 10 and they'd still be last in the AFC South. And Brown with this $1.7MM this year would have to be on the bubble in that group.
@AJ_ How much is too expensive? Shonn Greene went to the Titans for 3yr/$10MM/$4.5MM. Bradshaw is better but with injuries and more miles on his tires. Also the Giants cut Bradshaw rather than pay him $3.75MM this year.
I'm thinking Greene's deal is the yardstick here. If the Colts get Bradshaw for less then I'm happy.
I thought there was talk about Kerwynn Williams as the #3 back. Some people make it sound like he might be the second coming of Darren Sproles. So does this mean they see Williams as KR/PR only, at least for this year?
*Breaking News: Shit a Coach Says In February Means Little In June, Less In September.*
Just teasing. Great writeup! I love how grounded Luck is already. Peyton had the self-effacing humor down well but, frankly, it always seemed a little rehearsed. Luck's feels more natural. Am I making that up?
1 year, 1 month ago on Colts Notebook: One More Day of OTA’s
@Kyle Rodriguez @squirrel Oh, FFS. Nevermind, I see the problem now. You're looking at the drive finder and I was looking at the season stats page. For some goddamned reason PFR's numbers are different on different pages. Which are yet still different from the numbers FO uses.
Football stats are such a mess.
1 year, 1 month ago on Series Introduction: 2012 Redzone Performance
@Kyle Rodriguez@squirrel FO is clearly only using regular season drive stats. If you included postseason numbers you'd be comparing different numbers of games for each team, which makes no sense, and the Colts still probably wouldn't be 4th.
I think FO just muffed their math in that chart.
Okay, I see where FO has the Colts ranked 4th in yards per drive but I still don't see how they got that number. Even if you discard take-a-knee drives as FO does, I only get an average of 32.95 yards/drive which should still put the Colts at 12th on their chart.
Grr, black box statistics...
"The Colts' below-average performance in the redzone (18th overall) was
exactly the reason why the team was able to pick up a ton of yards (4th
in yards per drive), but were below average in points per drive (18th,
According to PFR, I'm only seeing the Colts ranked 12th in yards per drive. Is your number perhaps adjusted for starting position? Because the Colts were 30th in that stat (average drive starting at their own 25.0).
Thanks, @buymymonkey! Always liked yours too.
1 year, 2 months ago on T.Y. Hilton and Dwayne Allen look like huge steals after one year
@Kyle Rodriguez @squirrel That's the point though, that total AV is misleading. Do seasons with AV of 1 or 2 really matter? It shouldn't be hard to find a FA who would provide that level of value at a league-minimum salary.
By the chart Hilton already has returned the value of his pick even if he never plays again. That's precisely what the chart tells us, that roughly half the guys picked at that spot never reached the value that Hilton returned in his first year alone.
Again, I'm not trying to be a pedantic asshole. I just want to be clear how very unusual it is for a late-third pick to have rookie numbers like Marvin Harrison.
I hate to keep harping on this, but Chase Stuart's draft chart is actually a chart of AV Above Replacement, where AV of 2 is "replacement level" for a player in any one year. The real question is not how much total value do you get from a drafted player, it's how much better is that player than somebody like David Thomas who is basically just a guy.
By that measure Allen and Hilton look even better. Stuart has 8.1 as the average AVAR for Allen's draft slot. If you multiply 2 AV by 5 years and add it, then compare Allen's 6 AV in his first year, it looks like Allen needs two more years to reach the average value of his slot. But in fact Allen had AVAR of 4 his first year and needs only one more year at that level to return that average value.
Likewise Hilton's slot has average AVAR of 5.8. If you bump that to 16 AV and compare Hilton's 8 AV in 2012 it looks like he needs one more year at that pace to reach average. But Hilton had 6 AVAR in 2012, meaning he's already returned the average value for his slot. Everything additional season with positive AVAR is pure win.
Just wanted to emphatically underline how awesome the 2012 draft really was. I feel confident it will go down as the best Colts draft of all time (and Chapman hasn't even played a down yet).
Brad has been going full retard for the last week or so. Manufactured outrage is manufactured.
1 year, 2 months ago on Pep Hamilton's Quotes Misreported, Cause Unnecessary Angst
Huh, I literally just now reloaded and got the new Livefyre comment interface. Wish I'd had that 15 minutes ago.
1 year, 2 months ago on Recapping Ryan Grigson's Best Moves of 2012
The Vontae Davis trade is interesting. At the time I was nervous about giving up both a 2nd and 6th round pick because even the 6th round pick has value. Since then I've learned three new things: First, the 2012 Colts were better than we thought and their second rounder was low second, not high second. Next, the sixth rounder depended on Vontae playing 65% of defensive snaps and his injury kept him just shy of that. Finally, I read Chase Stuart's article on creating a draft chart where he made the good point that only AV over 2 is meaningful when evaluating picks; call it AV Above Replacement.
So the Colts gave up the #54 pick which by Chase's measure is worth 9.2 AVAR over five years. The five year term is important because that's the maximum length of a rookie contract and cheap rookies are the real competitive advantage to be gained in the draft. Vontae has one year left on his rookie deal and in 2012 he put up an AVAR of 2. Strictly speaking that means in 2013 he needs an AVAR of 7 (AV of 9) for the Colts to realize the value of the #54 pick before Vontae gets his payday. That's unlikely since AV of defensive backs is heavily tied to their team's overall defensive performance and the Colts just aren't that strong yet on D. But if Vontae continues at the level he reached by the end of last season (and if he plays all 16 games) he could get pretty close. And then the Colts should have the inside track to keep him if they still want him.
Plus it's not hard to make the case that Vontae was the last piece of the puzzle that got the Colts to the playoffs in Luck's first year. That alone might be worth it for the confidence and energy it gives this young team even if you can't put a number on it.
Incidentally, Vontae in his three years in Miami put up AVAR of 11. Miami drafted him #25 which has expected AVAR of 14.1. So Miami got most of the expected AVAR for Vontae in just three years and then traded him for another expected 9.2 AVAR from an even cheaper rookie. From a strictly numerical perspective you could say Miami "won" that trade. However, as a few people pointed out, given the choice between keeping Vontae Davis and drafting Jamar Taylor, wouldn't you rather just keep Vontae? Yet another way that numbers don't tell the whole story.
Also - can't believe I missed this at first - the Colts second round pick was #54 not #46 (worth 9.2 rather than 10.2).
Quick nitpick: You mention the AV of the #46 pick is 10.2 through the first five seasons. I assume you're referencing Chase Stuart's chart (http://www.footballperspective.com/draft-value-chart/). Keep in mind that chart subtracts the first two points of AV each season (because AV of 2 for the year is roughly just-a-guy level of play). Vontae's adjusted AV thus far in his career is 13, not 21, but he's only been playing for four seasons, not five.
@NateWalton Grigson had guys he wanted and he paid what he thought he needed to pay to get them to sign now. He's a guy who had about $40 mil to spend and he acted like it but still kept enough future flexibility to deal with Luckageddon in three years. Mission accomplished.
1 year, 4 months ago on Colts Sign Free Agent DT Ricky Jean Francois
@GregC I'm sure Irsay preferred Luck all along. Everyone knew he preferred Luck. It was like the worst-kept secret in sports history. But he didn't prematurely close the door on RG3, nor did he cut the nuts off his new GM by taking the decision completely out of Grigson's hands. I thought these were good things.
Irsay saying he had "no idea" who they would draft was waaay stretching the truth but getting all jilted-lover about it is unfair. What would he accomplish by publicly confirming his choice in advance, other than satisfying our curiosity?
1 year, 4 months ago on Colts Authority
@GregC I'm not sure why you say Irsay was lying. It's not like he carved the decision in stone and sealed it in a bank vault for three months. If he could have changed his mind at any time then the decision wasn't made yet.
Even if Irsay always preferred to cut Peyton - even if he STRONGLY preferred it - so what? He took all the time allowed to him to gather every piece of relevant information before making it final. With millions of dollars riding on one decision the man is allowed to take his time, and he's not obligated to open his whole deliberation to the world.
@DougEngland Grigson had no leverage to renegotiate. Freeney had no incentive to accept less than a guaranteed $14 mil and Grigson didn't want to commit to more until they knew Freeney could play OLB. So the choice was either cut Freeney (and promote Jerry Hughes *shudder*) or hideously overpay Freeney for a year and see if he turns out to be the answer at OLB for four more years.
As it turns out, Freeney doesn't play OLB that well. So paying him OMG $14 MIL in a rebuilding year was still better than committing to more $$ on a multi-year deal. Maybe they should have just cut him but it's not immediately obvious that there was anyone available who could have done better.
1 year, 5 months ago on Pondering: Letting a Legend Go
Not to mention it's not certain that cutting Freeney early actually gives him any advantage. There are plenty of high-profile D linemen set to hit the market and several cash-heavy teams counting their pennies in anticipation of a bidding war. Who will jump to offer Freeney big money without waiting to check out the action on Cliff Avril or Michael Bennett?
TL;DR - Florio gonna Florio. Nothing to see here, move along.
1 year, 5 months ago on Should the Colts Cut Dwight Freeney?
@GonzoBlue ...aaand they just released Collie. That's one IF crossed off.
1 year, 5 months ago on Donnie Avery, the Wildcat, and Pep Hamilton
To play devil's advocate for a moment...
IF you're pretty sure Austin Collie is gone, and IF you have other pressing needs in the draft, and IF you still aren't sure about LaVon Brazill or Griff Whalen, and IF you think Reggie will throw rocks at Donnie for six months to improve his hands, and IF he works relatively cheap, THEN it makes some sense to stick with the guy you know and trust that he'll get better through the Law of Averages if nothing else.
That's a lot of IF's. I still don't like Donnie but... in Grigson we trust.
Laurent Robinson's job isn't in question? You mean the Laurent Robinson who just told talked to Andrea Kramer about how he can't be around his crying infant daughter due to the lingering effects of concussions and is thinking about retiring?
That I like Collie is exactly the reason why I want to to quit.
1 year, 5 months ago on Guest Post: The Future of Austin Collie and the Colts Wide Receiving Core
As Walter Sobchak says, "You're out of your element, Donnie!"
1 year, 6 months ago on Colts Offseason Outlook: Should the Colts re-sign WR Donnie Avery?
@DougEngland You bought that it was a natural illness? Excellent.
I've said too much. The first rule of Operation BruceBlock is you don't talk about... well, you know.
1 year, 6 months ago on Colts Notebook: New Expectations, plus Must-Read Quotes From Pat McAfee
@Coltsheadben @lezmaka @Kiel_82 I wouldn't say it's savvy to trade for a guy who doesn't make playing time benchmarks, though I'm glad Grigson was able to hedge a bit against Vontae getting hurt. I might buy that knew the Colts 2nd round pick would be closer to #53 than #33 but even the brightest optimist couldn't have predicted they'd make the playoffs so soon.
Grigson just plain sees more long-term value in Vontae than the rest of us do. I hope he's right.
1 year, 7 months ago on A Look At Vontae Davis' Struggles Against Houston
@buymymonkey 4. At the time I wasn't blaming Vinny too much for the missed FG. Looked like the right side of the line just collapsed and Vinny had to hurry it. Seemed like it was inches away from being blocked.
5. There was less than a minute on the clock. As bad as Luck's protection was all day, I was fine with just running and forcing the Jags to burn their last timeouts. It would have worked had the Colts not then utterly failed to cover Gabbert's one on-target long pass of the day.
1 year, 10 months ago on Regular Season Week 2, Quick Recap: Jaguars 22 v Colts 17 | September
"While I have a lot of respect for Andrew Luck, he's not yet Peyton Manning of 2008"
Peyton had a miserable start in 2008. He was coming off that knee surgery and didn't even begin to look like himself until week 5. Even at 75% Peyton in 2008 is probably better than 100% Luck in 2012, just not by as much. :D
1 year, 10 months ago on Colts Bears Preview with Midway Illustrated | September
@rogcohen Except that none of the people who did the drafting for the Colts over four of the last five years are still with the team. So far Grigson's first draft looks like a major coup. Even if you dismiss Luck, Fleener and Allen as no-brainers, every later pick has at least a decent shot to make the final roster and that's pretty boffo.
The irony here is that if Grigson is in fact some draft genius eclipsing even The Great Poliani then that pick was worth even more to Indy than it is to Miami.
1 year, 10 months ago on The Value of Draft Picks: Why Vontae Davis Was a Good, but Expensive Pickup | August
@buymymonkey Given how hard they worked to get him on the roster by Sunday, I should hope so.
1 year, 10 months ago on Vontae Davis and Valuing Draft Picks | Articles
@Coltsheadben Agreed. Also I think a coach is less patient with a troubled guy he inherited vs a troubled guy who is "his" guy. That's just human nature, for better or worse.
@Kyle Rodriguez Thanks! Great minds think alike.
This looks like the reader blog I just posted but with fewer numbers. :D
Oops for me. Nice work, Kyle.
Ah, but Dakich and Chappell's comments are proof that Ijalana wasn't good in the first place. At least that's the reasoning used by those most loudly proclaiming him a bust.
1 year, 11 months ago on The Curious Case of Benjamin Ijalana | August
PRAISE RAPTOR JESUS!!
Let the actual football begin!
2 years ago on BREAKING: Andrew Luck Signed to 4-Year Deal | July
@kc6624 "AND we pay for that new stadium."
This part will be the killer. Did the front office not notice that Indiana just tossed out their six-term incumbent Senator to nominate a strongly anti-tax candidate? It was on the news and stuff.
Not trying to tie sports to politics, just stressing the point that it's not wise to ask people to pay more taxes and then snub the taxpayers, especially in a bum economy.
2 years ago on Let's Take A Deep Breath | July
Irsay is still worth $1.4 billion with the Colts as his primary source of wealth, according to Forbes. Yet he cried poverty during negotiations for the new stadium and again with the rest of the owners during the lockout. If he needs the money so badly he can open his books and prove it.
You're saying that it's only a bad move if they fail to sell out? I don't buy that. Compared to setting the number at 98% it's empirically a bad move because they're risking massive fan ire over a relatively measly $120k. The value of simply not holding on to the old, hated league rule of 100% is very significant, especially in a year when the team's future is so uncertain, the economy is so shaky, etc.
And then the compounded the mistake with drivel like, “While we value all of our fans, our first priority is to protect the investment of paying customers.”
Jesus, everybody knows that you care more about the stadium fans but you're not supposed to actually SAY it. Especially when your stadium is still being funded with extra taxes, fans in the metro area will be quick to point out that they ARE paying whether they want to or not. You fail PR 101 forever, Colts.
@EconolineVan Now THAT would be poetic...
2 years ago on The Colts will Teach you for not Buying Season Tickets | July
@BrianNorth I've given Irsay and the FO a lot of slack because I think they had a pretty serious run of crappy luck over the last few years. No, I'm not one of those entitled fans who expects to win the Super Bowl every year. But the guys in charge have made football decisions that were more good than bad and with the talent they had on the field it was not unrealistic to think they would have had a second ring by now.
That said, they've consistently made unbelievably bad non-football decisions. It's stunning how blind Irsay is to the PR fallout. It didn't matter so much when they were winning and Peyton was still an unstoppable football machine but things are going to get ugly around here if Andrew Luck isn't the second coming.
2 years ago on Fed Up Isn't Fair Weather | July
@ECB If Kravitz is correct, the NFL's "concession" on the blackout rule is designed to make teams reject it. But I agree with what Nate has said, that the Colts could have set their blackout number at 98% while doing a better job of explaining why and reassuring fans that blackouts won't happen.
Then again, if you try to game the system to ensure no blackouts and a blackout happens anyway, you look doubly stupid. The NFL has brilliantly given the smaller market teams enough rope to hang themselves while the Jerry Joneses continue to sell out as usual. Probably no owner has been as mightily screwed by the league as Jim Irsay over the past few years. I'm surprised he keeps taking it with a smile.
And yet, we all assumed that the Colts' tone-deaf dealings with the public and media were entirely the fault of Bill Polian. Now it's starting to seem that Jim may be more like his father than we realized. Another reason to be mad at the short-sighted idiots who ran Polian out of town on a rail.
That kind of went all over the place. So... yeah, blackouts bad.
@DougEngland Brad Wells is a passable mimic. He copies Drew Magary's shtick well enough to entertain people who haven't directly compared the two. His latest piece is a pretty good imitation of a Jason Cole "analysis" written off the top of the head. He's still around because he understands the Golden Rule of Blogging, that people will pass up steak once a week for crap every day.
I'm glad to mostly never hear another word about him, until he drops some junk like this that just begs to be shredded. And I can count on CA to do the shredding accurately and quickly, and then get back to coverage that matters.
Well done, Kyle.
2 years ago on The BP Report: Mewelde Moore Is the Subject of Inaccuracies | June
Peyton was never the most innately talented QB in the league. He wasn't Superman. But he learned so fast, you could never beat him the same way twice. Peyton Manning was Doomsday. He KILLED Superman.
2 years, 1 month ago on Colts' Mini-Camp 2012: First Impressions of Andrew Luck | June
@jimfix Orton was waived by Denver two days after week 11. KC claimed him on 11/23 and he wasn't ready to play on week 12. So KC paid $2.5MM for five weeks of Orton.
Assuming he had played for the Colts (and not gotten injured like he did on his first pass attempt for KC), Orton's first two games would have been @NE and @BAL. It's safe to say he had little chance to win either of those so soon after joining the team. Of the last three games, Orlovsky won two of them. Could Orton have won all three? Maybe, but not "definitely".
Now assume that the trade deadline had been week 8 instead of week 6. Week 7 is when Curtis Painter melted down against the Saints. It's safe to assume Polian would have traded for Orton shortly after. Orton wouldn't have been ready for week 8 @TEN but the next three games were at home and two of them (JAX and CAR) were very winnable. Had we got him in week 8, Orton had a decent chance to go 3-5 in those last eight games, maybe 4-4 or even 5-3.
So no, Polian isn't talking BS. Trading for Orton in week 8 might have made sense. Paying $2.5MM to get him in week 12 would have been a waste. That makes a difference to a guy who is an actual GM, not just a sports fan playing imaginary games with other people's money.
2 years, 1 month ago on Polian sees a way he could have stayed | Articles
Damn, I forgot to squeeze in the word "schmuck" somewhere.
2 years, 2 months ago on Colts Release TE Brody Eldridge | May
Kyle, I am disappoint. You're missing the *real* story about how Grigson is a lying fire-pants for not announcing that Eldridge would be cut immediately after the Fleener and Allen picks. Clearly Eldridge was owed better treatment than this after his long and storied record as a stopgap starting TE for a declining Colts offense. This kind of disrespect and mendacity (did I spell that right?) from the Colts brass is shameful and we should all petition Jim Irsay to clean house. It's time.
Pats are the real Frankenstein. "Building the monster... from other people's parts."
2 years, 2 months ago on Pats Sign Addai | Articles
@chip_bennett @Platinum Excellent points. I would guess also that a higher percentage of Indy residents aren't "from" Indy. I don't have stats to back that up but Indy is kind of notorious for being a city that people move to and their kids move away from.
2 years, 3 months ago on Why the Colts' Renewal of Season Tickets Was Low | April
@TheGreatMisdirect Honestly, why the hand-wringing about the Colts considering RG3? It's not like it cost them much to just evaluate him.
2 years, 3 months ago on Andrew Luck Will be the Colts First Round Draft Choice | April
@Platinum He represents himself as an Indy fan and he's been gifted one of the bigger megaphones in Colts blogdom so unfortunately he can't always be ignored.
@Platinum It was a response to Brad Wells citing Chiefs fans as an example of what Colts fans should be.
Both the comparison and the attempted refutation are weak. The Chiefs have been a fixture in KC since 1963; the Colts have only been in Indy since 1984 and have only been relevant since the mid-90s. And the Chiefs aren't exactly immune to fan displeasure, they had their epic sellout streak snapped in 2009.
But Kansas City is roughly the same size as Indy, actually a little smaller and more sparsely populated if anything, and they've managed to keep both a football team and baseball team going strong since back when Indy only had the Pacers. So yeah, it is possible for lightning to strike in a smaller market and zap everyone into maniacal fandom but that doesn't mean it's reasonable to expect that result in any given smaller market.
Don't forget you can now sell the rights to your season tickets with the Colts' blessing. Considering nobody is asking less than $500/seat for rights to nosebleed seats, I would guess the incentive of free money adds to the turnover.
I hate this idea that any fans who aren't rabidly, fanatically, unquestioningly loyal are therefore "fair weather" fans. It's a typically lazy narrative from hack writers (not anyone at CA, I should add) pandering to the worst emotions of frustrated readers. People who spend so much effort spewing bile at the Colts organization don't get to tell me what real fandom is.
@gbearrin I don't expect the Colts to get equal billing with the Steelers or Pats but they are the only team this year to have one primetime game and FIFTEEN 1pm games. The league buried the Colts as deep as it is possible to bury an NFL team in the schedule. That's just kick-in-the-nuts insulting.
As for the Saints, if you want to make a statement about how teams shouldn't go headhunting and then lie about it, you should probably start by NOT making a lying headhunter team a centerpiece of your league. So crazy it just might work.
2 years, 3 months ago on The fallout: one prime time game | Articles
It's not just "a lot" of 1 pm games, it's *nothing but* 1 pm games except for that single Thursday night throwaway against the J-ville Dumpster Fires.
What a bunch of garbage. The Colts play by the rules, keep their stars out of trouble, conduct themselves with integrity, and the minute their marquee player leaves town the NFL totally buries them. Meanwhile the Saints cheat and lie and they still get four primetime games. Fuck you, Roger Goodell, you hypocritical ass clown.
Great deconstruction of that PFF piece, Kyle. I feel like so many of these analyses are out to "punish" the Colts for not making more of the Peyton Manning era. Everybody knows that Peyton is a better QB than his brother and for Eli to have more rings feels wrong to people. They want somebody to blame and the latest fashion is to blame Polian's recent drafts. But writing an emotional opinion piece and calling it analysis illuminates nothing.
Keep up the good work. CA is fighting the good fight to separate fact from myth.
2 years, 3 months ago on Unfortunate Misconceptions: Judging the 2008-2010 Drafts | April
Except they couldn't have had Ryan Clady, because there's no way on God's green earth an NFL team trades down out of the top-10 for a fourth-rounder, no matter what Harvard's numbers say. You can argue that top-10 picks are inflated by a broken system but that's the system that exists.
What the Colts could have had was Dashon Goldson and Kentwan Balmer. You can argue if spot-welding those two guys together provides as much value as what the Colts hoped they were getting in Ugoh.
2 years, 3 months ago on GM Boot camp lesson 2 | Articles
@kc6624 I was doing my best to say that without saying that specific thing, yes. It's going to be a long decade of Luck puns and I'm trying to pace myself.
2 years, 3 months ago on Who do you prefer: Luck or RG3? | Articles
@pierrezombie Not a bad comparison, considering people in 1999 were still questioning whether Faulk's nagging turf toe injury would prematurely shorten his career.
But we all know Faulk was no good after he was sent... to the... oh god...
2 years, 3 months ago on Did the 1998 Colts Have More Talent than the 2012 Colts? | March
@pierrezombie @Kyle Rodriguez @Johnny_Socko @Nate Dunlevy LOL, fair enough.
Point is that the trade wasn't Faulk for Edge. The need to spend a #4 pick on Edge cost the Colts a chance to rebuild at any number of other needed positions, like WR. It worked out well enough in the end but it was nowhere near a slam-dunk.
But it was a ballsy move by a GM who wasn't yet firmly entrenched with his team. Personally I'd rather the Colts be run by a guy who can draw a clear line in the sand and hold firm than a guy who's too afraid to risk dealing a talented but malcontent player.
@pierrezombie @Kyle Rodriguez @Johnny_Socko @Nate Dunlevy That's a bit of a broken-window fallacy. I like how the Edge-Faulk switch worked out for the Colts but if they had managed to keep Faulk then they wouldn't have needed a RB in 1999. How would the Colts have looked with Peyton throwing to Marvin and Torry Holt?
Luck. Every day of the week, and twice on Sunday.
Read the reports of their respective Pro days. I have no doubt that RG3 is an amazing athlete but his rise up the draft boards has been much more heavily engineered. Luck makes it look natural. That ease is the thing you can't coach.
RG3 may be a very successful quarterback but his success will depend much more on most breaks going his way. Luck will make his own breaks.
Improper use of "begs the question", five yard penalty, replay first down!
Seriously though, I'm hugely interested to see what Luck accomplishes in his first year without a transcendent receiver like Marvin. Ten years ago the story was about the greatness of the Peyton-Marvin duo but by 2010 the conventional wisdom had it that Peyton Manning could turn any old receiver into a monster stud. It will be fascinating to see how Luck's narrative plays out, especially if he sticks around for 10-15 years like we're all hoping.
@pierrezombie @naptown_ninja @Goéland Actually if Peyton's recovery plateaus again and he never takes the field for Denver then he's a bold gamble that didn't pay off. Fans can live with a gamble.
The worst that can happen is "Denver gonna Denver". They battle for the top of their very winnable division AGAIN only to implode down the stretch AGAIN. Only this time they pay north of $20 million for the privilege after they cut ties with a very popular young QB prospect.
The fan base in Indy always knew that they would say goodbye to Peyton someday. The fan base in Denver did that back when Elway retired and has been hoping for a new franchise QB ever since. 14 years is a long time to wait. If the Peyton experiment falls short of the Tebow experiment, it's not going to make the fans there feel like anyone in the front office has a clue where the club is going.
We all love Peyton but let's be honest, he's a 36-year-old QB with nerve damage. Pray that Indy never gets to the point where we're all ecstatic about paying a guy like that $19MM a year.
2 years, 4 months ago on Manning Reportedly Signs with Broncos | Articles
@pierrezombie ...not sure if serious...
Rumors are saying it's a 5-year, $95MM deal. http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/report-peyton-manning-decides-denver-broncos-160122984.html;_ylt=AjMrIYljanSF2TnbC3sYMvA5nYcB
That is just batfuck insane. Last year Peyton signed a deal for 5 years and $90MM. Now he's another year older and he's had at least one additional surgery and somehow he's worth an extra million a year? I know the salary cap is supposed to explode next year but this still feels robbery without a gun.
I'm starting to feel about Peyton the way I feel about Albert Pujols. I love both those guys but if somebody has to pay them all that money when they're 41, I'm glad it's not my team.
@pierrezombie Jags always had a decent defense, their problem was that defense doesn't actually win rings. Like Jim Caldwell, JDR is one of those perfectly good lieutenants who isn't cut out to be a general.
This sucks. I'm on record as very vocally stating that Gonzo wasn't given a fair shake in Indy. I'm going to be very cranky if Gonzo goes on to be a stud, especially for the facking Patriots.
I feel like Polian was too quick to bury his first-rounders if they didn't immediately turn out to be stars, especially later on with Brown and Gonzo. It's as if he started listening too much to his own press about how brilliant he was at finding diamonds among the later rounds and undrafted guys.
2 years, 4 months ago on Gonzo Signs With Patriots | Articles
Thanks Kyle for putting these moves into perspective. For guys like me who haven't really known another Colts GM besides Polian and weren't really paying attention when that era began, it's nice to have some help reading the tea leaves.
2 years, 4 months ago on Colts Sign Former Ravens' Safety Tom Zibrowski | March
Let's hope this is just Grigson picking up a guy he knows to hedge his bets on the O-line. Maybe McGlynn is a (cheap?) stopgap this year if none of the other options at center pan out.
2 years, 4 months ago on Dunlevy looks at McGlynn | Articles
@gizzardfanny My whole family needs Reggie jerseys. I hope they're making a lot of them this year.
2 years, 4 months ago on MUST READ: Reggie Wayne a "Colt for life" | Articles
@rogcohen Reggie is a serious student of the game and he gives me the impression that he's a good teacher too. He'll be very valuable for bringing along Andrew Luck in the much the same mold as Peyton.
2 years, 4 months ago on Five Reasons The Colts Resigned Reggie Wayne | March
@PacersCenter More catches than John Mackey? Dude is a cold steel lock for the RoH.
2 years, 4 months ago on Thanks for the Memories-Dallas Clark | March
@Goéland You know, Peyton *has* had a lot of gratitude shown to him. He still will have a lot of gratitude shown to him. You'll see thousands of #18 jerseys in the stands next season. He'll get dedications, ceremonies, banners, and a statue or two. After we've all spent the last nine months wringing our hands, let's not confuse a few flippant statements for disrespect.
And I hate to keep repeating this, but let's not forget that PEYTON did his part to create this situation. Peyton took credit for the all-or-nothing contract that Irsay eventually opted out of. Peyton probably didn't expect the perfect storm of: 1. Not recovering faster, 2. Colts tanking bad enough to cost Polian his job, 3. Colts being in line for Andrew Luck, etc., but the storm came. And then when it was clear that the cards weren't falling his way, Peyton was the one who started campaigning for a job elsewhere. I won't blame him for looking out for himself but I also won't pretend that he did all the giving and we the fans did all the taking.
Read the news, Peyton is already moving on. It's okay for us to start moving on too.
2 years, 4 months ago on The Purge | March
@talkingplayoffs Sorry, I should have been more clear. Nothing about this article is dancing on graves, quite the opposite. Other writers who have been hammering the "blow it all up" agenda for a while now aren't being so classy.
Addressing a comment to the "haters" was probably a waste since almost none of them actually come to CA. But challenging them on their own sites is a waste too because the worst of them don't really care if the team wins or not, as long as they get to feel important.
So really I'm just venting. This week sucks.
Lots of dancing on graves today, some more subtle than others.
Dance your little dance, haters. Get all starry-eyed thinking about the "brand new" Colts. Lie to yourselves that we're about to find the next Peyton-Marvin-Edge juggernaut, only this time everything will work out for a Super Bowl three-peat.
Don't forget to rationalize every loss, every missed postseason, every draft bust. This is an EXCITING new era, marked by EXCITEMENT and lots of new EXCITING things to try. We're gonna get a 3-4! We're gonna establish the run! Everything will be great, you'll see! All those trips to the playoffs were starting to blend together anyway. And don't forget how Bill Polian was such a meany mean-head.
And if it doesn't work out, why, in a few years you can just call for another "clean sweep". That way you'll never run out of new stories to tell. Nothing racks up page hits like a good round of firings, and it's so much easier to write about than actual meaningful analysis. That stuff is hard, and nobody reads it anyway.
So get all lovey about the brave new world, haters. Have your moment in the sun. Then go right back to doing what you do.
Seriously, I just had to deal with Pujols leaving the Cardinals and now all this. Like my brother said, I'm starting to understand why Buddhist monks self-immolate.
2 years, 4 months ago on Retire Them | March
MY WORLD IS CHANGING AND I DON'T LIKE IT. >:(
But well said, Nate.
New rule: All Colts contracts include a clause that players will have every inch of spine replaced with military-grade titanium alloy.
We can rebuild him. We have the technology. We can make him better than he was. Better...stronger...faster....
2 years, 4 months ago on Blair White recovering from surgery | Articles
The great AFC Championship game wasn't on January 21, 2006, it was January 21, *2007*. I remember it well because I could have been there but I missed it. I was in Japan.
That season I was living in a rural part of Japan with pretty much zero chance of seeing a game on TV so I got by on the puny play-by-play applet from Yahoo. I knew the Colts were headed for another division title but I also knew the holes on defense were (again) big enough to drive a truck through. I knew the end of this story and I wasn't letting myself get too excited.
Then Bob Sanders came back. The Colts shut out the Chiefs for damn near three quarters. I let myself get more interested.
The Colts beat the Ravens in a historic kickers' duel. I talked on an on about it over breakfast to a roomful of people who had no idea what I was saying. I didn't care. The Colts were winning with defense! Really!
I "watched" the AFC championship game on the Yahoo applet while I was supposed to be working. Tie game, Pats up, tie game, Pats up, tie game, Pats up! God dammit, Peyton, put this one away! You can do it! YES! JOE ADDAI, YOU BEAUTIFUL MAN! Just one minute to go- NO! Brady, you bastard, you can't take this from me!! OMIGOD, A PICK?? SERIOUSLY?? I couldn't hear Lamey making the call but I was saying the exact same thing, WE'RE GOING TO THE SUPER BOWL! At lunch I was bouncing off the walls and everyone was looking at me like I had lost my damn mind. And I had! SUPER BOWL, BABY!!
My wife, who is awesome in every way, arranged for us to get time off and found a sports bar in Tokyo that was showing the game live. We woke up goofy early and sat on a train for three hours to get to Tokyo. Kickoff was at 7:25am (Japan is 13 hours ahead, folks). The bar was charging a flat 5,000 yen (about $42 at the time) to watch the game but that included an open bar and a buffet "American" breakfast (beer and reconstituted powdered eggs, yum!). They were damn sure going to squeeze out every yen they could make that day, which meant squeezing in expat football fans and their Japanese girlfriends until the whole place was standing room only, shoulder-to-shoulder.
Would you believe that Bears fans have colonized Japan? It damn sure felt that way in that bar on Super Bowl Sunday/Monday. About two thirds of the guys in there were dressed head-to-toe in Bears gear with only a smattering of Colts blue. The Bears fans were all high-fiving each other over the rainy conditions, convinced that their rugged, all-weather team was about to put the hurt on these soft dome weenies. And then, on the very first play, Hester runs that damn kickoff back for a touchdown. Just like that, the Colts spot the Bears a seven-point lead. My heart sank and I determined to avail myself of that open bar just as fast as I could.
Fortunately things turned around. The Colts pulled out the lead going into halftime but it was only two-point lead and both sides had plenty to feel good about. And really, the atmosphere in that bar was about as friendly as you can get. We were all expats, all strangers in a strange land, just taking a few hours to pretend like we were back in our own hometowns watching the game as usual. At heart we were all buddies.
At least, that's how it was until Prince came on. You folks watching the game at home might remember Prince's performance as "merely" one of the greatest Super Bowl halftime shows of all time. For the guys in that Tokyo bar, almost all of them children of the '80s like me, it was utterly fucking transcendent. That performance, those songs, didn't just remind us of home, they took us back there. Back to home, back to childhood, a packed bar full of guys hollered off-key to "Let's Go Crazy" and "Purple Rain" until it felt like the rafters were going to shake loose. The Superb Owl made us all buddies but Prince made us blood brothers. It probably didn't hurt that we were all drunker than skunks at 10:00 in the morning.
Memories get a little hazy after that (did I mention the open bar?) so I'll fall back on the classic "the rest, as they say, is history". Slowly the Colts rode Vinny's leg to a nice lead in the third quarter, then Hayden and Sanders broke it open with picks on back-to-back drives. The Bears fans, somehow dejected and cheerful (and still blind drunk) all at the same time, filed out back to their Tokyo jobs and I napped happily on the train all the way home. The Colts were Super Bowl champions and I got to see it.
Holy crap, this turned out a lot longer than I thought it would. I guess a lot of our favorite stories are like that. Anyway, thanks to Peyton and the Colts for this and all the other great memories over the years.
2 years, 4 months ago on One Last Cry | March
@DougEngland It's hilariously ironic (or ironically hilarious) that Bob Kravitz is today's biggest water carrier for the Colts. He's perfectly toeing the company line about "circumstances" and "there was no choice". I can appreciate that today's not the day to unpack all the messy details behind the breakup but GTFO with that bullshit. Let the Colts write their own PR, don't write it for them.
But I forgot, Bob's a good boy now, at least as long as the team grants him the access that Polian always denied him. Pusillanimous little crapweasel.
2 years, 4 months ago on The End of the Manning Era | February
Yeah, I'm glad Stampede Blue broke the news of Peyton's release. Otherwise I never would have heard about it!
And just like that, it's over.
Fuck Bob Kravtiz. Fuck him right in the ear. He helps start this shitstorm by leading the charge to railroad Bill Polian out of town, and now he's all misty-eyed and he doesn't want us to blame anyone? Fuck you, Bob. I blame you.
Sorry for the language but if any day ever demanded profanity, it's today.
2 years, 4 months ago on Kravitz: Don't blame Irsay or Manning | Articles
I'll be interested to read about how the labor crisis contributed to this breakup. Because I honestly don't believe it would have come to this without the contentious environment between players and ownership, and the huge pressure the union put on Peyton to sign the BIGGEST DEAL EVAR. Irsay and Peyton might still have the best player-owner relationship in football but I feel like everything soured at least a little after the nasty CBA fight.
@DougEngland Spiderman beat the Hero's Choice because it's often a false choice.
As much as I like Peyton, he tried too hard to rig this game in his favor. The $28MM option bonus was meant as an effective no-trade clause but once set the cap bomb can't be defused for any reason. Peyton's recovery plateaus again? Boom goes the cap bomb. Peyton recovers but takes another vicious hit that forces him into retirement? Boom goes the cap bomb. Luck will probably never be Peyton F. Manning but he also won't completely handcuff the whole team for the next three or four years.
It didn't have to be this way. This choice is of Peyton's (or more likely Tom Condon's) making. Arguably he did what he had to do with all the pressure from the union for him to sign the BIGGEST DEAL EVAR but it's going to bite him now. It's a perfect storm of bullshit and unfortunately it's going to bury the last few years of the greatest Colt ever. :(
2 years, 4 months ago on The Mythology of Manning | March
I feel bad for Drew Brees. I always thought he was a good guy, a stand-up guy. After this it's going to be, "Great guy, shame his team had to cheat to win him a ring."
Unless he knew about this shit and said nothing, in which case screw him.
2 years, 4 months ago on Saints facing heavy penalties | Articles
Offering someone money to harm someone else? Isn't that a conspiracy to commit assault?
Gregg Williams should be brought up fucking felony charges, along with any player who collected one of these despicable bounties. Though I would probably let the players plea down in exchange for testimony.
2 years, 4 months ago on Did Gregg William's Illegal Bounty System Help End Peyton Manning's Career in Indianapolis? | March
I go back, and slowly realize why reading comprehension is so important...
2 years, 4 months ago on Covering the AFC South | March
I click the link. I see Nate's smiling face but no content. I'm messing with NoScript for like five minutes going "dammit, how many scripts do I have to allow to make this site work??" Finally I just allow everything... and there's still no content!
Nate! Make with the insightful commentary and Star Wars jokes!
@Kyle Rodriguez Any part in particular?
2 years, 4 months ago on If Kuharsky ran the Colts | Articles
@ECB I can't see how that happens at this point. Peyton was just nowhere near where he needed to be by the end of the season. He's already hit a "plateau" once in his recovery, that's why he needed more surgery. The Colts simply can not risk that happening again, not with the kind of money that's at stake.
It's a huge gamble either way but at this point I'm thinking Luck actually looks like the slightly safer choice, as well as having greater upside, even though I wish it weren't so.
@coltsauth_todd @southdodger And probably Wayne. Kuharsky seems to understand that there's no way to keep both Wayne and Mathis, and I'm thinking Mathis is the higher priority.
As opposed to playing with Manning, who may or may not ever recover his ability to throw a deep ball? Or Wayne, who has very obviously lost a step since his last SB appearance?
Somehow I think we'll find receivers who want to catch for Saint Andrew Felicitas.
2 years, 4 months ago on King: Wayne/Garçon/Manning package deal? | Articles
"I think the oil change place down the road fired their cashier to make room for Manning just in case he believes he has a lucrative career in the quick change lubrication industry."
I lol'ed. :D
2 years, 5 months ago on Manning to MNF? | Articles
Again, Manning wrote his contract specifically to create this one dramatic do-or-die moment. He doesn't get to act like a jilted lover because the script he wrote isn't playing out like he wanted it to.
2 years, 5 months ago on NFP: Manning should deny the Colts | Articles
Derp. Derp. Derp. Yeah, no team has ever switched from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and won their division in the same year. Except, maybe, the Houston Texans. This year. In the same division Carlyon ostensibly covers every fucking day.
2 years, 5 months ago on Is Luck better off elsewhere? | Articles
GTFO with that shit. Peyton is exactly where he planned to be at this point, except for the part where his body didn't recover as quickly as he hoped. He knew he was going to have another surgery, he knew he might never come back at all, but he also didn't want to be traded. The option bonus is kind of like an "escape clause" the way Peyton characterized it but it's also a poison pill that limits the Colts to two options: Either keep Peyton and pay him like a franchise QB or cut him entirely.
Peyton and Condon tried to get very clever with that contract and now they're in exactly the situation they created. I don't entirely blame them because Peyton was under a huge amount of pressure to sign the BIGGEST DEAL EVAR!!! Blame Jerry Goddamned Douche-Ass Richardson and the CBA fight for this mess because without that disaster Peyton's contract wouldn't have been nearly so contentious. But it is what it is and Peyton had his own part in creating it.
Now Kravitz wants to tell me that Peyton should be lauded if he agrees to anything less than the sweetheart deal he was allowed to hand-craft while under the cloud of a third neck surgery? Fuck off. I want Peyton back too but no team in the universe pays $28 million for his chances of getting on the field as of this moment.
Grrr, March 8 can't come soon enough.
2 years, 5 months ago on Kravitz agrees: Manning is on the clock | Articles
Derp. And I would be "definitely interested in possibly" being the starting center fielder for the St. Louis Cardinals.
2 years, 5 months ago on I know a guy who says... | Articles
So you're saying there was a second gunman on the grassy knoll?
I keed, I keed. Obviously I'm a junkie for Peyton news too. Thanks for reading the tea leaves!
2 years, 5 months ago on Manning Watch 2012: Are the Tides Turning? | February
@7IHd So getting three starters out of a draft (Gonzo, Ugoh, Session) would barely merit an average grade from you? That seems harsh.
2 years, 5 months ago on Judging the Draft: Indianapolis Colts 2007 | January
@Kyle Rodriguez Ohhhh... Okay, I'll buy that.
Good work, Kyle. Keep it up!
@psvirsky Everyone needs young WR talent. I'd be surprised if he doesn't get at least one decent offer from another team, one that didn't jerk him around all through 2011.
@psvirsky I would have given Gonzo a higher grade too. He's been healthy nearly all of 2011 but for some reason the coaches buried him. If he slips away next year and wins a starting job on another team I'm going to have some hard words for Jim Caldwell.
@invisibulman Again, they didn't give up a #5 pick or even a #16 pick for Ugoh, they gave up a #29 pick. Marlin Jackson was a #29 pick and grades out the same or worse than Ugoh, albeit because of injury rather than attitude problems. Ugoh was filling a much more urgent need, especially as we see now that Peyton needed all the protection he could get.
But Marlin made a legendary pick in a huge game so he's lauded as a hero while Ugoh is reviled as a bust. That's bullshit.
I might have graded Ugoh at C-plus or C since his attitude issues should have been predictable, but then again Ugoh was supposed to have a full year to develop behind Tarik. Tarik's abrupt retirement did Ugoh no favors at all.
@ninpojames The Ugoh grade is a B-minus, actually.
Putting FIRST ROUND in capital letters doesn't make the pick more valuable. There's a mountain of evidence that all first round picks are not created equal, that there's a considerable dropoff in talent after the top half or even the top third of round 1. The #29 pick the Colts gave up just isn't that much more valuable than the #42 pick they bought to get Ugoh.
There's no planet on which a decent 2-year starter at LT is a bust. I might grade Ugoh lower than B-minus but not tons lower. To grade him at D-plus you've got to tell me 1) who the hell was going to play LT after Tarik left us in the lurch, and 2) who was so obviously good at #29 in the 2008 draft that the Colts were fools for missing him. And no, reaching down to cherry pick someone like Ray Rice doesn't count.
The guy who launches vicious ad hominem attacks against anyone who doesn't stroke his ego doesn't get to tell me what integrity is.
2 years, 5 months ago on The BP Watch: Does Jim Caldwell Lack Integrity? | January
@pierrezombie And Peter King says Peyton is still struggling, looking doubtful.
Put it all together and the Magic 8 Ball says, "Ohhhh, crap. CrapcrapcrapCRAP!"
2 years, 5 months ago on Peyton Manning to retire? | Articles
@Sinn0331@colt44 But it's not just the nerves in his arm anymore, it's dealing with a major offensive rebuild. It may be getting clearer that Wayne and Saturday aren't coming back, maybe not Clark either. It wouldn't surprise me if Peyton, Saturday, and Clark all retire together.
@Mr. Indianapolis Colts@Kyle Rodriguez I think Caldwell is a legitimately solid AC who just didn't have the chops to transition to HC. Unfortunately there was no way to know that without giving him a shot at HC and when he didn't pan out there was no way for him to go back to AC with the same team.
He deserves to land with a good team. Me gusta.
2 years, 5 months ago on ESPN: Jim Caldwell to Baltimore | Articles
@Fondue Clayton is pretty plugged in. If his name is attached, we're probably at Orange Alert. When Schefter says it we'll proceed to Red.
Peyton won't let anyone cut him. If he can't play - and not just play, but play and be Peyton F. Manning - he's going to take the decision out of everyone's hands and retire.
@GregC Respect is owed for who you are, not what you've done. Payment is owed for what you've done and Peyton has been compensated pretty well in that regard. And in the respect department, too! I don't think missing a few opportunities to heap more public praise on Peyton counts as disrespect!
Also, let's not forget that Peyton's contract has put Irsay in this position. Peyton knew he wasn't healthy when he was negotiating his new contract so he asked for a one-year deal with a four-year extension. The option bonus with matching no-exercise bonus is effectively a no-trade clause. Peyton wanted to put the team to an all-or-nothing decision come March. Well, the decision might just be "nothing". It's a shame if the environment is making him uncomfortable right now but he definitely had a hand in creating it.
2 years, 5 months ago on Peyton Manning Deserves Better | January
@GregC@Blue@Heart I understand why I don't get paid like Peyton, yes. But your article is about respect and everybody inherently deserves basic respect regardless of the value of their labor.
@Blue@Heart I'd be lying if I said I wasn't a little bit influenced by my own impending layoff. My whole department is getting flushed and you bet your ass nobody held my hand. I get a middling severance and a not-so-subtle reminder that they didn't even have to give me that much. So from where I sit on the grand sliding scale of disrespectful layoffs it looks like Peyton has it pretty nice.
@GregC Yes, there were probably better ways to handle the Manning blackout. But again, making him sit tight for a month while the mess at the top is sorted out shouldn't qualify as mistreatment. He's a big boy and he can handle it.
While acknowledging that the plural of "anecdote" is not "data", the people I've talked to at games, at church, at the store, etc. who don't read the Internet, those people had a rude awakening this season. They remembered that losing sucks and they don't like it.
@GregC Actually I disagree. All season this fanbase has been wetting its collective pants about how badly the loss of Manning derailed the team. Most people woke up and realized 1) this team was totally built around Peyton, and 2) Peyton is very, very mortal. What the Colts will do after Peyton has dominated the conversation.
This is the time for Irsay to be decisive about the long-term health of his team. If he can't hire a new GM or HC without talking about Peyton then it just reinforces the idea that Peyton *is* the team and everybody is still dancing around him. This is not the time for Peyton to be the most important guy in the room.
It's not even been four whole weeks since the last regular season game. Manning won't shrivel up and die if nobody talks about him for four weeks.
There will be a time to celebrate what Manning has done for the Colts and for Indy, lots of time. But right now Irsay is making decisions that will affect the Colts for years after Manning is gone. It's not unreasonable for him to direct everybody's attention on that.
@Freeneysalwaysheld According to the info on this site Bethea's cap number is ~$6.8MM this year and ~$6.3MM next year. Obviously he blew the doors off whatever his rookie contract was but his new contract in 2010 was probably about right.
Then again, you could argue that Bethea gets credit for playing at roughly the same level while Larry Coyer's defense got worse overall.
2 years, 5 months ago on Judging the Draft: Indianapolis Colts 2006 | January
@MichaelTodd If the Ravens had won Pagano would be preparing for the Super Bowl and the Colts would need special permission to interview him. Not likely the Ravens would have wanted Irsay distracting their DC right before the big game. Irsay wants a new HC hired by about Wednesday so that would have taken Pagano out of the mix anyway.
2 years, 6 months ago on Report: Ravens' DC Chuck Pagano to Interview for Colts' HC Position | January
@dmstorm22 Yesterday was literally the first time all year the Pats have beaten a team that finished above .500. They haven't even played a top-10 passing team since the Giants beat them in Week 9. Eli may be the lesser Manning but he's still going to light up the Pats like Chinese New Year.
Vegas opened the Pats as 3-point favorites. If I were a betting man, I'd go win me a new car.
2 years, 6 months ago on Is Eli Manning a Hall of Fame QB? | January
Nonsense. I hate the implication that because the NCAA is a broken system therefore it's okay to cheat it left and right. The NFL has plenty of rules that not everybody agrees with. Does that make it okay to, say, ignore the restriction on videotaping another team's walk-through to gain a competitive advantage?
Tressel knew what his college players were doing and not only could he not keep them in line, he lied to cover it up. How will he be any different with professional players? I'm not so hell-bent on winning that I want a coach who will risk wrecking the Colts the way he wrecked Ohio State. Even if I were, there are *still* plenty of coaches I'd rather have than Jim "the most important play in football is the punt" Tressel.
2 years, 6 months ago on Hayes: Tressel knows how to win | Articles
I don't disagree that Flacco is only average but he put up better numbers than Brady. Obviously he was facing a much weaker defense, but the dude was one end-zone drop away from winning that game outright and one missed FG from at least having a chance in overtime. The Ravens won every stat category that anyone cares about and somehow still lost the game. Belichick sold his soul straight to Satan for that win yesterday.
@WillyDuer Yup, I'm sure he will.
Ever hear Manning do a speaking gig? Pretty interesting. You can tell he's not a natural but he's crazy prepared with jokes and stories. It's like he considers it part of the franchise QB job and preps for public appearances the same way he preps for the field. And it's damn near as fun to watch.
2 years, 6 months ago on BREAKING NEWS: Colts Release Head Coach Jim Caldwell | January
Would you like to call a friend? Irsay with the lifeline!
@GregC Yeah but these are some pretty obvious questions. I thought he would have anticipated them a little better.
@Kyle Rodriguez He really is a Colts GM!
Grigson seems a bit out of his depth in his first big PC. He obviously doesn't want to throw Caldwell under the bus but he doesn't know what else to say about why the man was fired.
"Peyton will stay!"
"Peyton will go!"
"The Colts will trade the pick!"
"The Colts will draft Luck!"
Put this in your rumor pipe and smoke it. Shit just got real in Indy and *nobody* knows where it's gonna stop.
In Irsay we trust.
Is it just me or do the Colts have an utterly insane amount of dead cap? I love Clark and Brackett but I'm a little annoyed that we're locked so tight into their contracts.
2 years, 6 months ago on Preparing for the Colts Future: Re-Signing the Veterans | October
Brett rules. Joe rules. Colts Authority fucking RULES.
This info is even more impressive when you consider it was never offered up by the front office. Excellent detective work here. Keep it up!
2 years, 6 months ago on Breaking Down Colts Key Veteran Contracts | January
@DougEngland Just for the sake of argument, isn't the salary cap supposed to shoot through the roof in 2014 when the new TV contracts get signed? In that case maybe you re-sign Freeney to some goofy-ass backloaded contract, start rebuilding through the draft, and focus on just getting through the next two years.
2 years, 6 months ago on Peyton Manning's Contract: Possible Impacts on the Colts | January
@gizzardfanny Hmm... Sounded like he meant this guy, Kole Ayi: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/A/AyixKo20.htm
Went undrafted in 2001, made it onto the Rams for six games, then played one game for the Pats before going on IR, in 2002 back to the Rams for six games, then done. I count one ring, not three.
Still a cool thing to find a UD guy who played for both of the SB teams in his rookie year, though not quite as cool as Ryan made it sound.
2 years, 6 months ago on Colts Schedule Press Conference for Grigson Signing | January
@gizzardfanny Nooo! Stream, come back! I DIDN'T MEAN WHAT I SAID!!!
@gizzardfanny I missed the name too, but I like how he got a bit cheeky taking some credit for finding a guy who now has three rings. Right on, dude, take a bow.
@gizzardfanny There are worse ways to begin your time in the Crossroads state.
@gizzardfanny Loves him some God, too.
He keeps saying "intuitive decision". That doesn't make me feel better about it. I don't think with my gut because my gut has shit for brains.
9 days = "long extensive"? I'd kill to find a job that fast.
Where mah streams at?? 4PM EST, let's roll!
@LovinBlue Would a Boiler name himself "Hoosier"? Or is he just trying to throw us off the scent?? Dun dun DUNNNNN!!!
2 years, 6 months ago on Colts Preparing to Enter the Grigson Era | January
Interesting that you mentioned Grigson's Wikipedia page. When was he announced as a candidate? Because on January 4 somebody created a user account named "Hoosier73" to do nothing but fill out the list of Grigson's credentials a bit. Was that Grigson polishing his bio? or someone within the Colts?
Hilariously, Jim Popp's Wikipedia page has been filled out a *lot* today by a brand new user named "Jimpopp1". Gee, I wonder if he's angling for a job...
@Torridphenix This year has helped convince me that Garçon's drop problems are mental. He makes amazing circus catches and he almost convinced me that Curtis Painter could be an NFL QB. But when he lets those perfectly-placed balls slip away, I think his mind is on the endzone and not on hauling in the damn pass.
2 years, 6 months ago on Five Plays in Free Agency - Pierre Garcon Edition | January
One punctuation mark...
And no complete sentences...
I keed, I keed! Looks great, Nate!
2 years, 6 months ago on New Commercial for Invincible, Indiana | January
It may look like chaos but it's keeping this team in the headlines despite having been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs two months ago. One month after the Super Bowl there will be still more ink on Peyton D-Day. Two months after that will come the stories about the Colts and Luck, whatever they do with him.
You'd never know this team went 2-14 the way people keep talking about them. I understand Irsay didn't exactly engineer it this way but given the opportunity he's playing it like a damn virtuoso. Just brilliant.
I'm gonna make some more popcorn, anyone else want some?
2 years, 6 months ago on The Third Era of Irsay | January
Here's the article: http://espn.go.com/nfl/draft2012/story/_/id/7435726/indianapolis-colts-draft-andrew-luck-stanford-cardinal-no-1-pick-sources-say
I'm with those waiting to hear it from Irsay. "Sources" can go pound sand.
2 years, 6 months ago on Chris Mortensen reports Colts will draft Luck | Articles
@WillyDuer Is there a resource for all this cap data? Because I'll freely admit I was taking my best guess at that part. Peyton's money at least I thought would come off the books if he gets cut by March because they won't pay his bonus or his salary and what else is left? Stupid NFL and their Hollywood accounting.
I think cap money is something of a red herring anyway because, as we all know, practically no free agent is worth a bidding war. Any new GM who wants to go on a shopping spree is, again, not a GM I'd want.
2 years, 6 months ago on Would you rather run the Rams or the Colts? | Articles
Oh, so Peyton's been holding Eli back. All this time I thought it was his career 82.1 passer rating.
2 years, 6 months ago on Eli the greater Manning? | Articles
@JohnRH I doubt he'll be back. Every interview he gave this year he sounded frustrated that the coaches weren't giving him a chance. Why take a pay cut to stay with a team that doesn't believe in you? If I were Gonzo, I'd be pissed.
If Gonzo goes on to be a stud for another team, I'll have some hard words for Jim Caldwell. More than any other decision he made, the complete freeze-out of Gonzo mystifies me the most.
2 years, 6 months ago on The BP Watch: Bill Polian Fired Edition | January
2011 was a terrible year but it can't be excused away by injuries. The front office utterly failed to evaluate Peyton's rehab progress. Waiting until the last week of training camp to bring in Kerry Collins was a disaster. The coaches made no effort to adjust the offensive plan and just pretended it was Peyton under center, again disastrously. Winnable games were pissed away through bad game management and overly conservative play calling. Donald Brown finally started to break out and then was stuffed back down in the RB committee for no obvious reason. A healthy Anthony Gonzalez was the invisible man, again for no apparent reason.
All of that is ultimately on the front office. Chris Polian got a real trial by fire this year but that's life. Dealing with adversity is part of the GMs job and it's pretty clear he wasn't ready. I honestly think that "toxic" effect of the Polians' attitude, though not helpful, continues to be way overstated. I don't believe that after 13 years it only just now became unbearable, and I don't believe it was the main factor in their firing.
@coltssteve You're cherry-picking from a small sample size. You're not controlling for draft position (#1-10 picks hit way more often than #20-32 picks). You're not comparing to other teams' performance in the same years.
Performance is relative. It's not enough to say that Polian drafted badly. You have to also prove that somebody else did better consistently. Otherwise what would be the point of getting rid of him just to hire someone with an even worse draft record?
@TheGreatMisdirect The Chase Stuart article addresses that in the conclusion. He submits that: 1. Colt McCoy managed 5.9 NY/A with equally crappy receivers, and 2. The 2010 Rams had the softest schedule in the league, so Bradford was passing on a lot of crap defenses.
Bradford's O-line may be bad but his sack rate is worrisome. QBs have at least as much to do with sacks as the line does, you can see it when a QB changes teams or a team changes QBs. In Bradford's case his 2010 sack rate was 5.4%, a respectable 12th in the league. This year it jumped to an alarming 9.2%, 30th in the league. Not quite as bad as some of the asskickings David Carr routinely took but still troubling for a QB who is already facing questions about his durability.
@kasey_junk Well... not when you put it like that, it doesn't.
I don't have time for your facts!
@kasey_junk I've read that too, but Angerer's great year at MLB makes me think all bets are off regarding Brackett. Much depends on the new GM.
wowowow omg you guyz r so funny lol
It's the connection, not the computer. And yes, I have a shit connection. I live near downtown in a dense neighborhood where everybody and his dog has a wireless router so they're all constantly stomping on each others' signals, especially during prime time. The only choices I have for broadband are the oversold AT&T DSL or the oversold Brighthouse cable. Not everybody gets to live where the Internet is nice and fast.
And even with all that, CA is the only site that gives me problems. It's loading a ridiculous amount of stuff.
2 years, 6 months ago on Incomplete Guide to Navigating Colts Authority | January
Here's something I don't get about the Polian hate:
Every time you cheer for the Colts, you're cheering for a guy that Bill Polian hired. Colts fans talk about players they love - Peyton, Reggie, Dallas, Dwight, Austin, Gary, Pat (either one) - and every one of them is on the team because Bill (or possibly Chris) Polian put him there.
How is it possible for someone to say they love these guys and then piss on the guy who hired these guys? Of course Bill Polian wasn't a saint, but come on. Show a little fucking gratitude, huh?
2 years, 6 months ago on Check it to Pancakes Open Thread - 1/4/2012 | Episodes
I hate Bloguin. I'm sorry, their sites are just incredibly bloated.
As a totally unscientific test, I turned off AdBlock and FlashBlock and used Firebug to measure the page loads on different site frontpages:
ESPN - 104 GET requests, 892 kB loaded
Yahoo Sports - 106 GET requests, 960 kB loaded
Sports Illustrated - 189 GET requests, 3.4 MB loaded
Stampede Blue - 248 GET requests, 2 MB loaded
Colts Authority - 500 GET requests, 4.6 MB loaded
It takes minutes - literally minutes - to load the front page over a high latency connection. The different feeds and tickers and applets and site analytics all hanging off the front page make it really tedious to get to the actual *content*. The article pages are almost as bad because even though they don't load all the widgets they have to load all of Livefyre's crap, which is usually pretty slow.
I absolutely love the writers and the content and I'll come back every day. But I hope with all my heart you guys find a better platform and give Bloguin the boot. They make Wordpress look good... well, less awful anyway.
Holy crap, I posted this in the exact wrong article. Bad squirrel.
@lezmaka I get tired easily. Not a lot of carbs in nuts.
@WillyDuer@GregC@lefpsyd@Bobman It's a bug in Livefyre. I've chatted with one of their developers about it. It's probably built on PHP, anything with Unicode characters is a hot mess in PHP.
@Nate Dunlevy Here's my biggest problem with that assertion: If it truly was so bad, why did Irsay allow it to go on? On the media side he could have promoted someone else as the public face of the franchise and left Polian working mainly in the office. Polian obviously preferred that work anyway.
On the business side, the damning mountain of evidence Phil B offers is one anecdote about an employee who wasn't allowed to talk to his reporter friend inside the complex and another about how an ex-player was snubbed and asked to leave. Oh, and some dark and spooky implications that somebody with The City has "serious stories" to share... oh, but no need to talk about that! Use your fertile imagination instead! Maybe Polian was secretly a vampire, and not the glittery kind! Give me a break.
I've had bad bosses and bad co-workers. If I told you only the three or four worst stories about each, these people would sound like fucking monsters instead of just flawed people.
And I'm sorry, but I emphatically reject the repeated comparisons to Bob Knight. Knight punched and choked his players. Polian was rude to people. Conflating the two minimalizes the severity of physical assault in a way I find kind of insulting.
I have no problem believing that Bill Polian is a prick and an asshole. He may have been really, really unpleasant to work for. But to some extent that's life at the top of the food chain. Nice guys don't always make it there. It certainly didn't earn him any friends but I can't believe that it was such a strong factor in his dismissal, otherwise why would such a confident and capable owner as Irsay put up with it for so long?
2 years, 6 months ago on MUST READ: Phil B on Polian's terror | Articles
Also, how does "factors that tend to be random" dovetail with "Jim Caldwell was not able to push this team's motivational buttons"? Either it's random or it's somebody's fault, not both.
2 years, 6 months ago on Long road rebuilding? | Articles
@CrizzleColts Doing things the way they've been done for the last 13 years is the hard way?
Going out an interviewing a dozen new candidates for the GM job is the easy way?
I'm sorry, I think you're way overstating the influence of Phil and Kravitz and Brad. Those dogs have been baying for Polian's blood for years now and Irsay has happily ignored them. For most fans next year all would have been forgiven, whether Peyton was back or the Andrew Luck era was dawning. Irsay could have stayed the course and been right back in the playoffs in a year or two.
Firing the Polians and coming out with all this "new direction" talk puts the responsibility squarely on Irsay's shoulders. If the Colts wander in the wilderness for the next decade like the Bills, it's on Irsay. If the Polians go to St. Louis and turn the Rams into instant playoff contenders, it's on Irsay. That's anything but easy if you ask me.
2 years, 6 months ago on Firing Bill Polian about more than Winning | January
I'm thinking more and more that Bill wasn't the real problem, Chris was.
This year was Chris' first year handling day-to-day operations and it was a disaster. Losing Peyton was obviously a crap deal on the first hand but managing crisis is part of the GM's job. Instead of doing damage control everyone kept acting like everything was normal long past the point when it was obvious that the QB's they had couldn't run Peyton's offense.
Bill was already easing out and Chris was easing in. If Bill was the problem, why not just shuffle him out quicker? But if Chris was the problem, Irsay couldn't really axe him and keep Bill.
I'm guessing Irsay didn't mention Chris because he wants to give Chris a chance at another GM job. Bill is older and he'll be fine regardless so Bill gets to fall on the sword. Irsay *wants* you to think he was really firing Bill but I'll bet it was about Chris.
Also not loving the Bob Knight comparisons.
Knight was guilty of physically and psychologically abusing teenagers. Polian's crimes were not going for 16-0, not wasting money for years on a great backup QB, and generally being a meany-mean head.
IU's leaders had no balls and had to wait years for Knight to squander his goodwill before firing him for that "what's up Knight" bullshit. Irsay dropped the hammer on the Polians pretty quickly once the Colts crashed.
I guess they loosely share the moral of "enemies made in good times will haunt you in the bad times" but any deeper comparison falls apart in a hurry.
2 years, 6 months ago on Colts to Fire Bill and Chris Polian | January
Fisher is perfect if Peyton comes back. Fisher won't try to change Peyton's team and he'll be a steady hand through the rebuilding. And if he's not the future, it will be easy enough to part ways when Peyton retires.
2 years, 6 months ago on Freeman: Fisher would love Indy | Articles
I hate the "it was time" cliche. It's shorthand for, "I have my reasons and I'm not telling you." When Bob K used it he meant, "They're not winning and I don't have anything to write about! I need new material!" When certain bloggers used it they meant, "I want to be an insider press guy PLEEEASE LOOOVE MEEE!!" Irsay probably meant a whole bunch of things and I get that he doesn't want to badmouth his friend but let's please not pretend that the empty idiocy "it was time" actually means anything, as if success has a use-by date. Though I know some people will claim exactly that.
This is going in the Troll Ring of Honor. *Slow clap*
I wouldn't read much into Irsay's praise for Caldwell or his complete no-comment on Chris Polian. Clearly this is a clean sweep but Chris and Caldwell still have plenty of career ahead of them and they deserve the chance to start over somewhere else without this one stinker season being a millstone around their necks. Bill Polian is older and already has massive cred. His resume easily survives this awful season. If anyone was going to fall on his sword this year, it was going to be Bill.
Firing party, port arms!
Fire! *BLAM* [repeat 87 more times]
2 years, 6 months ago on Colts Authority Coming Soon
"...Caldwell has done a great job of reaching these players and motivating these players and keeping them on target and playing hard..."
Things like game planning, talent evaluation, and clock management go unmentioned. I think Caldwell is toast and the Colts are saying nice things about him to help him find a job elsewhere.
2 years, 6 months ago on Polian still loves Caldwell
@hoosiereph I think it's that Kravitz just lumps them all together - Gruden, Fisher, Billick, Cowher - as if they're all equally valid choices. It's one of many lazy assertions in a lazy article. Apparently it's a good idea to scrap the architect and ethos behind a decade of playoff teams JUST BECAUSE.
2 years, 7 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Texans
@flores_salicis@ivanprado I'm like a shark, I've just got to keep... making up nicknames.
2 years, 7 months ago on Wednesday Open Thread: So Let's Say...
@ivanprado The Raiders always pay a little extra in Crazy Tax but it reinforces the point. Luck doesn't have a hype train, he has a hype nuclear-submarine-rocket-ship-with-lasers. If teams will spend lavishly on mere mortals, what price will possibly be enough for St. Andrew Felicitas?
2004, Giants effectively traded up from pick 4 to pick 1 to get Eli Manning. It cost them their 3rd-round pick in 2004 and their 1st- and 5th-rounders in 2005. And that was after Archie had made it clear that no way was Eli going to play in San Diego. In a draft year that was absolutely stacked with QB talent.
I don't care if there's a YouTube video of Andrew Luck in a Thai strip club snorting lines of blow off a dead nun. That #1 pick is going to cost the moon and the stars... And I'm starting to think I don't want to buy it.
I'll probably change my mind again tomorrow but if Indy ends up at #2, let them take Matt Barkley or RG3. Hell, trade down and take Ryan Tannehill (I can hear the screams already). Let somebody else bet their house on Luck as the next Peyton Manning.
@McAfee_No_1 Texans will do exactly what the Colts did on Sunday, run it a million times and don't give the 3rd-string QB a chance to throw away the game. Houston will bet on having a better running game and a better D and it's probably a fairly safe bet.
Jacksonville has nothing left to play for except pride but MJD is a beast right now and he loves to run all over the Colts.
I can see us taking one of these games but not both.
2 years, 7 months ago on The Tie Breaker
@Sinn0331 I freely admit that I may be talking out of my ass. But if the Colts are going into full rebuild mode on offense then I doubt the defense is sacred. And if the D isn't sacred then Freeney and his $16MM are a big target.
Then again if they're parting ways with Manning, Wayne, Saturday, and possibly even Clark, who the hell else do they really have to pay? They've got to spend that floor money somewhere and Freeney is earning his share right now.
2 years, 7 months ago on Wins for Christmas, Let's be Glad
It's not just the offense. Defense is built around opponents' fear of Peyton F. Manning goading them into passing early and often. Get pressure out of just our front four, drop everybody else into zone coverage, wait for opponent to make mistakes. That's why such a huge % of cap space on D is tied up in Freeney and Mathis.
If we assume that Peyton isn't coming back, and that nobody (not even Andrew Luck) can just step into his team and get the same results, then it's not totally crazy to lose all of our top-dollar guys and start fresh with a new system.
@TheLearnedHand Last for 18to88, because he'll be writing them for ColtsAuthority.com and making THAT site the greatest place to be for Colts fans. :)
@DougEngland Clutchness is an attribute reserved for the coasts, along with Scrap and Grit.
2 years, 7 months ago on The Last Time The Colts Were 0-13
@WillyDuer Derp. Yeah, that killed me too. :)
2 years, 7 months ago on Tuesday Open Thread: What If?
@WillyDuer You're right, of course, but until the rest of our punt team gets better I'd still like to see him reel it in by 5 yards or just kick it out of bounds.
@Sinn0331@DougEngland I get what you're saying but not playing their best players does not constitute throwing the game. If it did, plenty of state AGs would be suing their local teams for fraud at the end of each season. Endorsement deals, that's just silly speculation. Mercury Morris banks little on 1972 and a lot on being a shameless self-promoter.
But it wouldn't be hard to convince an arbitrator that benching your #1 WR when he he's only 5 catches away from the magic 100 was intentionally done in bad faith.
@Kyle Rodriguez My impression has been that Pat tends to over-kick his coverage. His great hang-time is less useful when there's no Colt within 10 yards of where it lands.
@CrizzleColts Tom Gower seems pretty sure about Jeff Fisher as HC *if* Peyton comes back. And I would be 100% fine with that.
@GregC No one remembers who won the Super Bowl... unless they're trying to argue why this team or that QB is better, then you bet your ass everyone turns into a Lombardi Trophy historian.
Same old, same old. Rings aren't important, unless they are. TDs aren't important, unless they are. Yards aren't important, unless they are. There are a million ways to frame your pitch based on whatever you're selling today.
@matt_has Not sure yet about Garçon. I still see him making mental mistakes but I can't tell how much of that is lingering fury over his stone hands last year.
Angerer is a beast for real, though. Had to buy a new jersey this year after finally retiring Sir Demond of Sanders and it came down to a choice between Bethea or Angerer. I chose Bethea and let's just say there's a bit of buyers remorse.
If there is any God of any power in His heaven then Painter and Orlovsky will be gone after this year. That can be nothing but positive.
Hate to say, but Reggie's struggles this year may turn out to be positive in the long run. Had Peyton played this year Reggie would have had another 1000-yard season and the extent to which he's slowed down would not have been as noticeable. We're not going to have to pay the big money he's been looking for and that sucks for Reggie but it may be best for the team.
@Sinn0331@DougEngland I think you can't be mad at the team for getting Reggie and Dallas their catches in the Bills game. Milestones like 100 catches in a season are triggers for bonuses and are often used as bargaining points at contract time. Benching those guys completely and not giving them a real chance to make their numbers would be essentially picking their pockets. I don't know if they could file a grievance with the union over it but they sure wouldn't be happy campers in the locker room.
The popular narrative I find more often is a Colts version of the "stab-in-the-back legend" (look it up on Wikipedia). This idea puts the blame entirely on the coaches and the Polians. It subtly sidesteps assigning any blame to the players even while criticizing the coaches and Polians for playing wrong guys out of spite or as a means to tank the season.
Plenty of Indy fans hate the Pats because they envy them. It kills these fans that the Pats went 11-5 without Brady and only barely missed the playoffs while Indy without Manning is choking and dying. Blaming the FO and the sidelines *entirely* gives them a way to get their hate on while still pledging loyalty to the team.
2 years, 7 months ago on Mythbusting
@chad72 The acute mark on the e in "Goéland" breaks the reply function. Livefyre fail.
@jado825 I was just about to post this. I feel your pain, brother.
@AJ_ The coaches and FO are Steve Jobs. Jobs was pushed out because his vision was too wild and there was real danger he would drive Apple off a cliff. Playing the Lisa and Macintosh teams off each other was schizophrenic madness and wasted valuable opportunities (think Coyer-2).
Manning is Steve Wozniak. Woz was the transcendent genius who did the heavy lifting on the accomplishments that made Apple famous. Woz didn't exactly want to leave, he was in a plane crash in 1981 that changed him for good and pretty well derailed his whole career at Apple (think Peyton's neck). Without Woz, Jobs went truly ego-crazy until he got power-thraxed by the board.
The thing is, Jobs was a genius too. He just had to learn enough discipline from NeXT and Pixar before his genius could come to full fruition back at Apple. I hope that's not how things play out for the Colts because if we push out, say, the Polians, we're not getting them back. I'd hate to see what they do for another team.
@DougEngland 100% this. Nobody is tougher on Peyton Manning than Peyton Manning. If Peyton believes he can win another ring, I'm prepared to trust him. If not, I think he takes the decision out of everybody's hands and retires.
2 years, 7 months ago on Thursday Open Thread: Lucky, Lucky, You're So Lucky
I blame Kraviz and Wilson and Brad for their dishonesty. They are actively spinning a narrative that is willfully lazy and deceptive. Being treated badly by the Polians doesn't give them license to play fast and loose with facts.
It's especially bad coming from Kravitz and Wilson because they have another option: Just don't cover the Colts. I know that sounds crazy but it sounds equally crazy to me to keep giving the Colts free press when they treat reporters so badly. Tired of getting pissed on by the Polians? Cover college football, cover HIGH SCHOOL football, anything else. Give the Colts a short recap after each game and move on. Let the Colts do their own PR to keep the fans' interest.
But that's not going to happen because it would require too much intestinal fortitude from the writers and the Star itself. And really the time to stand up to the Polians was years ago; by now that ship has probably sailed.
Even so, no amount of butthurt justified the garbage these guys are writing now.
2 years, 7 months ago on The Colts Must Relax Their Media Policy
Talking about bad music reminds me of a joke:
2 years, 7 months ago on Tuesday Open Thread: Other Ways to Skin A Cat
@AJ_@kc6624 If you want to see them in Vegas, check ahead first. My wife and I got married in December (eight years ago today in fact) and went to Vegas for our honeymoon. Unfortunately ALL THREE Cirque shows were dark for two weeks in December, right when we were there. Blue Man Group was off too, those blue bastards.
Even so, Vegas in December was totally worth it. Cheaper rates, fewer crowds. Plenty of great shows still (Penn and Teller, FTW). Stayed at the Bellagio and ate at Picasso restaurant, which was amazing.
I'm sorry, what were we talking about?
@DougEngland I'm 95% sure Kravitz doesn't really believe it. It's just a paycheck for him. Though with all the bridges he's burning this year I wonder if he's angling for a new job elsewhere. The Star's new corporate masters don't mind laying off reporters in bunches and I can't imagine Kravitz is sacrosanct.
@kc6624 Cirque is pretty badass when they're actually doing circus stuff. I saw their show Delirium at Conseco but it was a mostly music show and I felt gypped. Saltimbanco came through a couple years later and it was the real deal, very impressive.
@LeviFuller I second everything you said about Gonzo. The coaching staff was so very wrong about Brown that I wish they would just give Gonzo a chance. He's UFA next year and at this point it looks like they'll just let him go. If he's a stud for some other team I'm going to be very, very pissed at Caldwell.
2 years, 7 months ago on Amoral Victory
@kasey_junk@Westhoff This times a million. One lousy win, that's all I ask.
@drgreenthumb1001 Oh sure, I'll feed the troll.
Orlovsky's first 41 minutes:
10-14, 89 yds, 0 TDs
2 sacks, 15 yds lost
adjusted net yards per attempt: 4.625
Colts go down 3-31
Orlovsky's last 19 minutes:
20-23, 264 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 0 sacks
adjusted net yards per attempt: 13.0
He wasn't just making fewer throws, he was doing far less with the throws he made. And he kept on doing less until the game was out of reach. Even in the last quarter when he was playing out of his mind he still threw that key INT with 7:11 remaining to solidify the loss.
Painter's first two games as starter (TB and KC) his numbers were just as good as Orlovsky's yesterday AND the Colts still had a chance to win those games in Q4. Then came the bad Cincy game and then the NO game just ate Painter's soul. He's been a wreck since week 7.
So yeah, Orlovsky today is better than Painter today. But he's no better than Painter in week 4 and after putting up the performance of his career yesterday there's no reason to think he'll get any better.
@WillyDuer@drgreenthumb1001@mattshedd As quick as it was? Maybe, yeah. Manning isn't sack-proof. On third down from the 5 an incompletion is as bad as a sack anyway. I'm not sure Peyton could have found anyone to throw at in the short time he had.
@javen@DougEngland Nobody is tougher on Peyton Manning than Peyton Manning. If he believes he's healthy enough to win, I'll believe him. If not, he won't even give us a chance to discuss it.
@Westhoff Let him fix his technique in practice. The focus right now should be on winning a game, not developing our third-string RB.
@Kyle Rodriguez I don't understand why big plays in competitive games should be a knock on Painter's stats. Almost all of Orlovsky's yards yesterday came from medium-short passes against a soft defense in garbage time. And yesterday was the best performance of Orlovsky's career. And it really wasn't that much better than Painter; his games against TB and KC were comparable AND they were games the Colts actually had a chance to win in Q4.
@Westhoff I'm not seeing any indication that they know what they have in Brown. He was the invisible man through the first four games, well before the season was truly lost. The coaches only grudgingly gave him carries when Carter couldn't keep hold of the damned ball. Now Brown has 50 yards more than Carter despite getting touches in only 8 games to Carter's 11.
Brown is under contract for two more years. There's nothing to be gained by jerking him around this year. The coaches just under-estimated Brown and over-estimated Carter. They need to stop compounding the mistake and play to win a game.
@DougEngland I know exactly what you mean. Five minutes from the end of the Panthers game when that pass to Garçon in the endzone got picked, my first reaction was to blame Garçon. It may not be fair, but COME ON. They needed 8 points just to tie! Grab the corner's junk, shiv him, ANYTHING to keep him from coming down with that damned ball.
Garçon's physicality is amazing but I can't shake the feeling that he just doesn't have the football smarts we expect from a Colts receiver.
@buymymonkey I saw a badly overthrown pass to Garcon in the end zone and a couple in the turf, one to Collie and one to Reggie IIRC. A couple of completions were real stinkers only saved because of a nice lunge by the receiver.
Orlovsky this week was better than Painter was last week, yes. But last week was probably Painter's worst performance ever and this was definitely Orlovsky's best ever, by lots and lots.
And again, until Q4 we were getting murdered. Not Saints murdered but NE was up by four TDs. Let's not get carried away just because the final score wasn't 108-3.
2 years, 7 months ago on Covering the Spread
Ladies and gentlemen, Dolone carter!
Another glass of Botch? Don't mind if I do!
2 years, 7 months ago on Colts-Patriots Open Thread
After watching us muff 1st-and-goal from the 1, I invented a new drink. Half beer, half scotch. I call it Botch. If I'm still conscious to watch the 4th quarter, we'll know it didn't work.
@pierrezombie@nathanthomas79 You're hiding the numbers behind vague qualifiers. What % of HOFers from the modern era were 6th-round picks? And on average what % of 1st round picks become Pro-Bowlers?
Any way you slice it, you're still more likely to find the best pro players among the best of the college players.
2 years, 7 months ago on Tuesday Open Thread: The Bright Shimmer
@pierrezombie@jkline86 People who mix up homonyms in idioms drive me up a wall. It's usually a sign that the writer isn't very well read and has only heard phrases like "take the reins" spoken aloud.
@jkline86 Also: How much does it suck to have your first start in over three years come against the Pats in NE in fucking December? Polian better have a CASE of Jack Daniels waiting for Orlovsky in the locker room after this game.
Spam spam spam. Okay, I'm done now.
@jkline86 Anybody else find it funny that Caldwell is the one announcing all these housecleaning moves when he's likely the next to go?
@pierrezombie@gizzardfanny Way more likely that the Jags and Chiefs switch divisions. Shorter road trips for everyone.
@jkline86 Good. Not that I believe Orlovsky is really better, but Painter's play against Carolina was just hideous. I don't care if they have to start Addai at QB, they can't let Painter back out there after dorking up the most winnable game all year.
@WillyDuer The question isn't "does it work to sit your first round pick for a year or two" but rather "does it work any better than playing him right away". Rivers is arguably the best possible outcome for the sit-two-years story in that his first year as a starter he went to the Pro Bowl and SD went 14-2. But by then Little Manning already had one trip to the playoffs and Roethlisberger already had a ring, FFS. What might Rivers have accomplished with two more years of a prime Tomlinson and Gates?
And of course SD would have started Rivers right away but for his rookie contract holdout and Brees suddenly ascending to Breesus Christ.
I just don't see how a future franchise QB gets any better by sitting for a year or two. The cases where it worked (Rivers, Rodgers) the initial benching was more of an accident than a plan.
@pierrezombie The more I look at it, the funnier it gets. Did Nate purposely use the "special edition" version so he could cast Marvin as sullen-ass Hayden Christensen?
To clarify my arguments a bit, I think the idea of guessing Peyton's capability at some percentage is purely an intellectual exercise. I doubt Peyton is much motivated by money anymore, nor does he need football to give his life meaning. I think at this point he's is motivated mainly by his legacy.
By missing this year, Peyton probably missed his chance to break Favre's career passing records. That leaves only one big thing to build his legacy on: Super Bowl wins. Unless he truly believes he can get one more shot at the big hardware, I'm betting he retires.
So the only question in my mind is, does Peyton think he can lead this team to another Super Bowl? If he says yes, I say you have to trust him. If he says no, I'm guessing he benches himself for good before anyone else can do it for him.
@Kyle Rodriguez@Mightynike And yet his team went 6-10 that year. And then GB had to sign him to a big money extension without truly knowing if he could lead them back to the playoffs.
Obviously it worked out for GB but I'd rather see Luck get a couple of Pro Bowls under his belt like Peyton before we have to pay him big-daddy money.
@jado825@mattshedd@keep_the_eraser It's not as crazy as it sounds. QBs aren't like baseball players who decline gradually. QB play tends to drop off swift and sharp (see Favre, Brett). It may not be reasonable to expect Manning at 80%.
@jimfix@keep_the_eraser You think? I doubt we keep both Wayne and Saturday even if Peyton comes back. But even then, Brackett is almost certainly done. There's your $4MM for Luck right there.
@keep_the_eraser "How much knowledge can be gained by studying with one of if not the best QBs in the history of the NFL?"
Maybe not as much as you think. Teacher and athlete are different skill sets. The percentage of great athletes who can be great teachers is no higher than it is for normal people. If anything, it's a little less because the competitiveness of great athletes doesn't help them tolerate students who don't possess their level of raw talent.
If I had to bet on a great athlete to become also a great teacher, I would bet on Peyton. But it's a risk right up there with the risk of Luck becoming a great NFL QB.
@mattshedd@pierrezombie "To hell, it goes! To Marvin, throw it!"
@jimfix@keep_the_eraser In this case we can do the math ourselves. Cam Newton's cap number this year is just north of $4MM (thank you, rookie wage scale!). Luck's won't be much more and as Nate pointed out there's a shit-ton of money coming off the books next year.
@jopat Alas, poor Jack of the River! I knew him, Horatio, a fellow of infinite meh, of most excellent mediocrity. He hath bore my team's whupping on his ass a thousand times, and now how desired in my imagination it is! My sorrow rises at it.
@Mightynike To counter:
1. If Manning is truly healthy then he's probably healthy for another four years or more. Picking Luck and sitting him just punts the QB controversy down the road a couple of years. What if Peyton isn't ready to retire when Luck is ready to start?
1.1. Luck won't get better until he plays. It takes *at least* one full year of starting for a rookie QB to really take leadership of a team. If you know Luck will be your starter eventually, make that transition now and take best advantage of his cheap rookie years.
2. I highly doubt Manning plays for another team, ever. If he's healthy, we'll keep him. If he's not, he'll retire. I truly believe that. Manning is keenly aware of his legacy and if he can't break all of Favre's passing records then he'll at least go out on a classier note than Favre did.
3. See point 1.1. We don't truly know about Luck until he starts. He won't be worth any more in trade after two years on the bench, if anything he'll be worth less. The time to trade is now while his star is so blindingly bright.
4. That sounds nice but I doubt it plays out that way. This year shows us just how impatient the fans are. People are already wearing Luck jerseys to games. If Luck sits, anything less than total dominance of the AFC will be fodder for the haters. The emotional trauma of Manning vs Luck will be way worse than making a clean break with either one.
@mattshedd A million times, this. I give Painter credit for leading two long drives in the fourth but he wasn't making it look easy. And the three previous quarters were probably the worst I'd ever seen him play, period.
2 years, 7 months ago on Happy Sunday Afternoons
@mattshedd@Nate Dunlevy@BMS There have been way worse coaching failures than the KC game. Caldwell did remarkably little to adjust the gameplan in favor of any QB not named Peyton Manning. He was responsible for the goofy idea to have Painter run the hurry-up for the first time on the road in a dome stadium during a night game (i.e., New Orleans). And that's just off the top of my head.
Caldwell isn't a miserable coach like Mike Singletary. He's an average-to-bad coach. The Colts can do better.
2 years, 7 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Panthers
Fake drama is fake.
A writer for a dying newspaper needs to justify his job when there's no playoff race to cover.
An egomaniac thinks he finally has the power to settle an old grudge against someone who barely knows he exists.
Haters gonna hate.
Fuck it, Dude. Let's go watch football.
My bad, Orlovsky wasn't benched. He sprained his thumb. The Lions signing Culpepper in 2008 was a desperation move. Though the fact that they kept Culpepper after 2008 and let Orlovsky walk is pretty damning too.
2 years, 8 months ago on Who to Root For: Week 12
@DougEngland Or Gonzo, for that matter. The Colts are the league poster child for ego-free drafting. How else do we get more undrafted rookies on the field than any other team?
Kravitz is so divorced from reality at this point that reality has a fucking 50-mile restraining order against him. Orlovsky wasn't the "starter" for the 2008 Lions, he was Kitna's backup until Kitna went on IR. Orlovsky *was* the Curtis Painter on that team and he played just about as bad as Painter. And Orlovsky had Calvin Johnson to throw at. And then he got benched for a washed-up Daunte Culpepper.
Change for the sake of change at this point is just flailing in the dark. The time to make a meaningful change was at the beginning of the season and that's exactly what the Colts tried to do. They took the best chance available in Collins and it didn't work out. That was the one shot. Them's the breaks.
Kravitz can bitch and moan that the Polians did a shitty job of evaluating their 6th-rounder backup QB. But if that's the best he can come up with, GTFO with that bullshit.
@jado825@javen Would Gonzo stay after getting benched all year for no obvious reason? He's already gone, we just haven't cut him yet. Either Caldwell knows something we don't and Gonzo isn't good enough to start, or next year Gonzo will start for some other team that won't jerk him around like the Colts have.
2 years, 8 months ago on The Two Year Rebuild
I can't read the words "Major Award" without thinking of a lamp shaped like a leg.
2 years, 8 months ago on Jeff Saturday Nominated for Major Award
Just got home. What a dog turd. The fact that Jax played almost as turdy as us just makes it worse. It's like we thought about playing football and instead decided to play "who can fuck up more spectacularly".
This is the most disappointed I can remember being after a Colts game, and I've seen my share of heartbreaking postseason losses at home. To go from juggernaut to laughingstock in one year is bitter, so bitter.
2 years, 8 months ago on Colts-Jaguars Open Thread
"The Jags are an interesting case. They managed to turn their defense around radically after spending a lot of money on free agents, but it hasn't helped them win many games."
"If you gave the Colts the #6 D in the league and paired it with Curtis Painter... they'd be about where the Jags are: 2 wins."
No, wait. THIS.
I can't believe how many people don't understand this. Good defense means squat without at least a passable offense.
2 years, 8 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Jaguars
Didn't Sanders start 4 games in 2004? That's pretty damned immediate for a rookie safety in the Tampa-2. And safety really was a need that year so it wasn't purely a BPA pick.
It's not at all reasonable to assume that the Colts would have picked Darnell Dockett when Tank Johnson AND Dwan Edwards both went higher. Compare either of those guys against Sanders and the Colts come out ahead even with his injuries. And this still ignores the fact that the Colts were dead-on right about Sanders' ability, they just couldn't predict that he would fall apart.
In 2007, same story. Guessing that we would have picked David Harris looks a lot better than Justin Durant even though Durant was the very next pick.
Picking the best guy available with the benefit of hindsight is a fun game but it doesn't amount to a workable strategy.
2 years, 8 months ago on Analyzing the Colts Draft Strategy
Appreciate the work and it's an interesting read. But I have some quibbles:
I don't like starting with "Nate has already proved". It's not a proof like you get in algebra class. It's a convincing case, the conclusions of which have since been supported by other analyses using different methods. Calling Nate's draft study "proof" oversells it, but rhetorically it also weakens it because the emotionally loaded word "proof" obscures the preponderance of evidence Nate gathered for his case.
Was there supposed to be a table showing Colts players' AV through 2010? I see it referred to but I don't see the table itself.
Finally, I find it kind of hard to take your proposed draft strategy seriously because it all starts with drafting someone other than Sanders and then not losing him to devastating injury the way Sanders was lost. You can't blame the FO for injury, especially not for injury to a guy who clearly was a special talent at safety, on par with Troy Polamalu if only his body had held up. As you say, the 2003 draft SHOULD have taken care of our needs at S for several years. You can't just assume that drafting a DT there instead would have sewn up that spot for years to come.
@mattshedd Along those same lines of literature geekery:
Peyton Manning Has Come Unstuck in Time
The Gentleman from Purdue
Welcome to the Monkey House (works just fine as it is)
Winter is Coming (that one was my brother's idea)
2 years, 8 months ago on 'Name that Chapter' Contest!
@nathanthomas79 Here's the thing though, Manning already has plenty of money. He already has a Super Bowl ring. He's already a titanium-clad lock for a first-ballot ride into Canton. There's just nothing more he can do with 1-2 years at 80% or less.
The fact that Peyton signed a contract for 5 more years is significant, IMO. By most estimates 5 years was the timeframe for him to break the last of the QB career records and cement his status as GOAT. That scenario is thrown way off by missing this year. I really truly think the only way that Peyton comes back is if he believes he has a very good shot at snagging one or two more rings. And given how bad the Colts are doing without him, the only way that happens is if Peyton is at 100% for more than two years.
I think Peyton comes back to play out his whole contract or not at all.
2 years, 8 months ago on What Can You Get for the #1 Pick?
@Heracleitus Only semi-serious in reply, but what do we do after that? Open a nursery school? Surely there's a point of diminishing returns on that many rookies, no matter how talented.
@matt_has@theinfelix If that happens, I tip my cap to the Dolphins or Rams or whichever crappy team ends up with Luck. Then I gleefully pick over the list of potential top-10 picks fantasizing about which best compliments Peyton F. Manning for his last great four years.
I'm growing more and more convinced that Peyton doesn't go into a game to play "good but not great". Especially after that interview he gave last week, if he doesn't truly believe he can go win another Super Bowl then I'm betting he packs it in and rides off into the sunset. Peyton has better things to do than keep abusing his body after it starts to fail him.
Scary to think about. To me the NFL draft feels like Vegas blackjack. A calculated risk where a good player will come out ahead over a long enough timeline but you can still absolutely win big or lose big on any given card.
Also: R.I.P. Joe Frazier :(
@kasey_junk I've said much the same thing. At 3-6 I think most of the ire falls on the coaches (for their decisions which are still obviously braindead) but the "Fire Everybody" train wouldn't have nearly as much steam.
2 years, 8 months ago on Toxic Shock
@JJ_COLTS Caldwell and Coyer were experiments that didn't work. The fact that they're both failing at the same time, combined with the injury to Peyton, is what makes this season a perfect storm of fuckwittery. In a way this might be the silver lining on the dark cloud of Peyton's injury because it exposes our coaching shortcomings that much sooner. With Peyton playing the Colts could easily be 6-3 or better and the signals wouldn't be nearly so clear.
@rogcohen Injuries are a coward's excuse? Bullshit. This year Peyton counts for $16 mil out of a $120 mil cap. That's 13.3% of our payroll right there sitting on the sidelines. We've been playing practically with one hand tied behind our backs all season in a league where talent is very evenly distributed. Even Tom Brady's cap percentage when he went down in 2008 was only 12.6% and I'm pretty sure the 2011 Colts have already had more key injuries than the 2008 Pats.
Sure, consider the Polians in your calculus of blame. But don't wave your hand and pretend that injuries can't be part of the equation.
@jdjamz I'm glad you're taking the time to talk but you're mostly just parroting other people's lines even when they don't agree. Defense wins, but the Colts should have won 3 Super Bowls? If defense wins then we were lucky to get 1 SB because our defense has always been below average.
We don't know who Kravitz talked to but that doesn't make him right. It actually increases the chance that he's full of shit because nobody can follow up. And if his draft "analysis" was full of shit, why should we believe that his sources are any different?
Wise up, Kravitz is playing you for a mark.
We talk about this stuff online a lot, but I'm curious: How many fans in the stands honestly care who runs the team? I know they care about the team but how many are really angry about this year? Are they angry at Polian specifically or is it a vague "throw the bums out" anger?
I go to all the home games and the people who sit near me don't seem to know or care about how meanie mean the Polians are.
Would it be worthwhile to walk around doing 60-second interviews just to find out what fans at the games are thinking? I'd do it, would anyone else?
@flores_salicis People called "Romanes" they go the house?
@ColtsHomer99 Worked for 12 years in the organization? Managed the talent evaluation process that has produced excellent draft classes by any objective measure? Do you really not know this or are you ignoring it?
Also, we don't know how smart or upstanding Kravtiz's sources are because none of them put their names on their comments. Given how lazy Kravitz's "analysis" of the draft history was, there's reason to speculate that his choice of sources was every bit as lax and self-serving.
@ColtsHomer99 Why not?? Because he might have been a raging success somewhere else and stayed there. Coca Cola doesn't send their best and brightest young execs over to Pepsi just in case they flame out. Why would the Colts do that?
@cpenn31 Bad analogy. Caldwell and CPolian weren't promoted from the ticket office. They both held jobs that were logical feeders into the jobs they hold now.
@Ernest.Jimm But apart from better sanitation and medicine and education and irrigation and public health and roads and a freshwater system and baths and public order... what have the Romans done for us??
@cpenn31 The Colts had the highest win % in football over the last decade. Why should they have assumed that hiring someone from a less successful team would make them more successful?
@kasey_junk@kazoo Also, Chris Polian has been working his way up in the org for 12 years. Who is the mythical more qualified person he's leapfrogging?
@rogcohen To hell with "maybe". All the "maybe" in the world doesn't tilt the scales to make one bad year outweigh ten good ones. To the extent that Kravitz does provide hard data the data is spurious and poorly interpreted. That buys him fuck-all benefit of the doubt for his anonymous sources.
@rogcohen Oh, well then that gives them instant credibility.
@rogcohen There is no such thing as a "conclusion from the angle of opinion". That means he already decided what the conclusion should be and then selectively harvested quotes and facts to support it. It's bad logic and bad logic can't be excused by labeling it "opinion", unless you define that as "talking out of your ass".
@vbcolts So, you still haven't finished reading the article?
@Goeland, First you have to define what "toxic force" means. Does it mean that the Polians are making the Colts into a bad team? Kravitz's efforts to argue that are laughably bad and Nate summarily dismantled them. Does it mean that the Polians are big meanie heads? Okay, but nobody gives a fuck. Two years ago when we were playing for a Super Bowl you could have filled Sun Life Stadium with the number of fucks not being given over the Polians' meanness.
What Kravitz is doing is more insidious. He's making vague attempts to prove both *and* conflate the two. It's called character assassination. He's attempting to prove the Polians unfit for their jobs by showing them to be generally unlikable people. He's throwing everything he has at the wall to see what sticks.
@rogcohen And yet those guys either aren't talking or aren't backing up their words. The only actual numbers supporting Kravitz are "0-9". Behind that stands a decade of success and awards that says the Polians are doing quite well. You need more than anonymous sources to counter that preponderance of evidence.
@rogcohen How many years and how many rounds are you considering? How many guys drafted over the same span aren't even playing today?
Again, this is cherry-picking. Everyone is a draft genius in hindsight.
@rogcohen Calling it "opinion" isn't a license to lie. Kravitz is making intellectually dishonest arguments with cherry-picked sources and data.
The most cynical description of Kravitz's job is that he delivers eyeballs up to his advertising masters. He does seem to be doing that quite well right now. But their my goddamned eyeballs and I'm tired of being exploited under the guise of "information" so that the Star can pitch me crap I don't need.
@rogcohen It dismantles the arguments supporting those conclusions, without which conclusions revert to wild-ass guesses.
@vbcolts Obvious troll is obvious. One year ago it was a perennial playoff team. Did all the starters become crap in one year? The post explains why there aren't more Pro Bowlers. The linked articles disprove the draft trolling. Nothing to see here, move along.
The word "accountability" is very popular in Indianapolis these days. But I'm wondering when Kravitz and the rest will be held accountable for their jobs. The level of disinformation here is seriously approaching Orwellian heights. It's one thing to do that at the bar or on a self-funded blog, but fuckers like Kravitz and Brad Wells get *paid* to write this supermarket tabloid crap.
I'm really getting tired of hearing from hack writers who don't care how much they abuse the facts in support of their own agenda. It's frustrating how easily a sound argument can get shouted down by an asshole with a bigger megaphone.
@rogcohen You have it backwards. Kravitz sees that the team on the field is bad and is working in reverse to pin that on the Polians. He's cherry-picking his sources and "data" to paint the worst possible picture of the Polians and the only reason it even remotely works is because the team is losing.
Kravitz's article should be studied in journalism schools as the textbook definition of a hatchet job.
D was no worse than usual, although the secondary is still playing too far off.
The O was a miserable turd. Painter just dropped a big, brown, steamy deuce all over the field. Overthrows, underthrows, ill-advised scrambles, missed reads, you name the mistake and he made it repeatedly. He got benched for Orlovsky, FFS.
Coaching didn't help any. Garcon was out there returning punts. Seriously, our leading receiver is returning punts now?? Jim, are you out of your Vulcan MIND? If only we had another receiver who wasn't doing anything... OH LOOK, THERE'S GONZO RIDING THE PINE ALL DAY.
Whatever Anthony did to end up in Siberia, he's served his time. Put the man out there and see if he can do something, anything. Don't you think a former 1st round pick just might MAYBE deserve as much playing time as Dan Orlovsky or Joe Lefeged?
Gah, I officially have no idea what the fuck is going on with this team anymore.
2 years, 8 months ago on No O
Improved run game doesn't make up for the shortcomings of Curtis Painter. That's not the same thing as "doesn't matter". I'd love to see what Peyton could have done this year with credible play-action. How long has it been since the Colts had that?
2 years, 8 months ago on Rushing improving to no avail
@kasey_junk@coldy4goldy Showing the same result by different methodologies is hugely valuable. Most haters don't try to prove their own arguments, they just nitpick at others. I'm happy to see the "draft failure" meme die by as many cuts as it takes.
2 years, 8 months ago on Examining the First Round
Great analysis. Very much appreciated.
I must say though, I think your concluding paragraph is missing the forest for the trees. The Colts haven't just "survived" over the Polian/Manning era, they've won more games and gone to more postseasons than pretty much any other team in football. If their luck was a bit better and they had two or three Super Bowl wins instead of just one, I honestly don't think we're even having this conversation today.
Yeah, the defense hasn't been lights-out. Yeah, the special teams have sucked on toast. But come on, IT WORKED. The results are there. Do you really want to boot the architect of a dominant decade over one stinker of a season?
GO SPARKLE KITTIES!
2 years, 8 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Titans
@pierrezombie@mattshedd Andy Kaufman wants his act back.
2 years, 9 months ago on Wednesday Open Thread
Somebody on BigBlueStampede implied that I was on meth, so I was inspired to create this:
@flores_salicis@TheLearnedHand Nice. My big prize so far this year is Darrius Heyward-Bey. I've got high hopes for him next week against Denver when the Lions go bye-bye.
@AJ_@JoeBRogers I love how they couldn't be bothered to get the name of the blog right. That had to hurt.
@flores_salicis@TheLearnedHand Oh, that's wrong. What are you complaining about? You'll be fine. :D
@flores_salicis@TheLearnedHand Yup, that's gonna suck. Not like last week's bloodbath but still nasty. Blow your whole waiver budget on DeMarco Murray if you can.
@flores_salicis@TheLearnedHand My fantasy team wrecks shop right now. Stafford, Megatron, LeSean McCoy, and Jimmy Graham. It's a "dynasty" league where we keep the same rosters every year and this year I'm going worst-to-first. *flex*
@TheLearnedHand Insisting that I'm going to myself get banned or deleted seems to prevent it from ever happening. Ray Lewis ain't the only one with some mind games.
I'm still trying out my ratios of honest criticism to personal attacks to profanity. It's a fun game to play mid-week when there's nothing left to do for my fantasy team.
@JoeBRogers The simplest explanation is that a "true Colts fan" is me and anyone less loyal than me is "no true Colts fan". It's the No True Scotsman fallacy.
@dmstorm22 The problem with experimenting is that you can't bring a guy off the bench without benching a starter. If a guy is being benched for the sake of helping the team win he'll usually accept that but he won't be happy to sit just for the sake of seeing what happens. That's what practice should be for.
I'm with you on Donald Brown; I still don't get what they see in Delone Carter. But as long as our WRs and DEs are healthy and playing well, Gonzo and Hughes just have to wait their turn. Throwing them in just for the hell of it basically admits that our coaches really have no damn idea what's going on and risks alienating both players and fans.
@matt_has Thanks. I'm trying to make it not a purely personal grudge against Brad Wells (though I do dislike him personally), I just think that the man is badly underqualified for his job and tends to abuse his position to squelch anyone who doesn't make him look good.
And that's a shame because SB Nation has the best web community platform I've ever seen (sorry Bloguin). It could be an outstanding resource for Colts fans if somebody else ran the Colts blog there.
@JoeBRogers It's hard to tell how much of it is a gimmick for creating "heat" and how much is actual personal pettiness. Brad has a tendency to claim the former when he's called on the latter, like when he came out on the losing end of his slapfight with KSK.
@Goeland @pierrezombie @kasey_junk I hate to say this, but I don't think you can completely ignore the injury rate. No, we don't know what causes it or how to fix it but the high rate of injury to key Colts players seems to defy simple probability. I wouldn't make injuries a top factor in evaluating the FO but neither would I rule them out altogether.
@flores_salicis@matt_has@AJ_ Speaking of incompetence, The Other Site somehow hasn't banned me yet. I'll try again today.
@flores_salicis@matt_has@AJ_ We also suffer from an inability to post animated gifs or pictures of cats with funny captions in MS Impact font. Clearly we need to hold the FO of 18to88 accountable for their complete incompetence.
@matt_has@flores_salicis@AJ_ As for that, I like sneaky killers such as Fugu. A rare delicacy and, oh, if you prepare it wrong it will paralyze every muscle in your body so that you asphyxiate while still fully conscious.
@kasey_junk This is why I come to this site, to read level-headed analysis written by people who are smarter than me. I don't love this train wreck of a season but as a guy who only became a football fan during the Manning era I know that I'm about to get a fantastic education in the nuts and bolts of football management.
By all means, bring on the discussion.
@kasey_junk Fair enough, but at least there was a time when local news orgs actually researched their own stories instead of just repackaging a wire service. The Star, for example, is now mostly just bloggers who can produce on a schedule. They're like Brad Wells but without his anti-intellectual "Larry the Cable Guy" act.
@flores_salicis@AJ_ Grilled swordfish steak rules the earth. Swordfish vs beef steak, I'd have to flip a coin.
@kasey_junk Once upon a time news was a product and the market was dominated by those who delivered quality news. Today the product is you, the reader, and the market is dominated by those who can best sell you to advertisers. This trend accelerated in the 80s with the rise of 24-hour news networks and took off like a rocket in the late 90s with the Internet.
Unfortunately for the Colts, this is exactly when they were starting to build their Indianapolis fan base. The more the fan base grew, the lower the overall quality of the media "educating" them.
In a way I'm kind of glad that Colts Nation is getting some of this pettiness out of our system now. The Colts after Peyton were always going to be a rough ride but people didn't appreciate just how rough. If we can just get through this year it will do wonders for managing expectations in four years or so when Peyton really does go away for good.
@AJ_@flores_salicis People will pass up steak once a week for crap every day.
Actually the numbers I found were surprising. For the last five years Jags have been consistently top-10 in least penalties and penalty yards. In fumbles they've been in the bottom 50% in fumbles but not bottom-10. So the numbers don't seem to immediately support my thesis that Mad Jack coaches sloppy teams.
2 years, 9 months ago on How to Grade Coaches
@jj62 Because if at first you don't succeed, never try.
I'd love to see fumbles and penalties taken into account. The Jaguars played some stupid sloppy football last night with four fumbles. They were lucky to only lose one of those even though that one cost them a touchdown. They won because the Ravens managed to play even worse.
Also, I was only watching play-by-play online but WTF was that 50-yard penalty on the Jags punt at the start of the 4th? Baltimore choked but a short field like that should have put them right back in the game. Sloppy.
The Jags under Jack del Rio have looked sloppy for years. Is this true or am I blinded by hate? Inquiring minds want to know.
@psvirsky@AaronHuston We know Harbaugh can coach Andrew Luck. /troll
@kasey_junk@COLTSrule Agree on "not great" but I'd upgrade him to "good" rather than "ok". He'd have better success on a team with more mature players and a not-senile owner... like, say, the Colts.
Again, this assumes that the FO is all-in on Peyton for the next four years. I think that they are. Rolling the dice on a new head coach risks losing another season even with Peyton playing. Hedge that by going with a guy most likely to succeed in your system.
2 years, 9 months ago on The Most Humiliating Night in Colts History
@kasey_junk@COLTSrule Only get a young, innovative coach if we've already decided to cut Peyton. Otherwise get Fisher because he already knows Peyton well and would know how to coach the team around him.
@kasey_junk@flores_salicis@DougEngland Yeah, but he's younger and he only had one season under Dungy.
@flores_salicis@DougEngland Agreed, but they all pick it up from somewhere.
@DougEngland Did you notice that Frazier and Caldwell are both products of the Tony Dungy coaching tree?
I love Dungy but he was way too conservative. Either it's contagious or like finds like, I don't know.
@MarlaAS@jrmzt This was the first game this year that I would have considered a no-hoper even with Peyton. The Saints are point monsters and they were playing at home on Sunday night. Our guys just wouldn't have kept up.
The Houston game would have been a wild shootout hinging on just one or two plays, like always.
Every other game was totally winnable with Peyton running the offense. Most of them probably wouldn't have even been close. If Peyton were healthy we would be treating this like any other year.
@MarlaAS You're (still) taking Nate's statements way too personally. The times I've seen him defend Caldwell this year he was defending individual decisions on the basis that Caldwell was being too conservative but not much more so than nearly any other NFL coach out there.
Caldwell doesn't get enough credit for the things that people don't see. Like Nate said, the players are still playing hard out there. Management also is still behind Caldwell (for now). The man most often suggested to replace Caldwell, Jeff Fisher, lost both the players and management during the train wreck that was the Titan's 2010 season. Arguably his players included a few overgrown babies and his management was batfuck insane but that's life in the NFL too.
Yeah, Caldwell has failed as a head coach. But he was great as an assistant and 20 bucks says he lands an assistant job under another Dungy apprentice like Lovie Smith or Mike Tomlin. The man didn't get where he is by being "woefully incompetent" the way you claim. He's just not right for a head coach job; sometimes you don't know that about a guy until he gets his chance.
I don't need to win. My Cardinals are doing my winning for me tonight, baby!
2 years, 9 months ago on Announcing the Winners
"Last week, the Colts made Andy Dalton look like Drew Brees. This week, they play Drew Brees. So yeah."
You're always so fuckin' cheerful these days, Nate. I dub thee "Happy Kitten Sunshine Nate". :D
2 years, 9 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Saints
Apropos of nothing, I really like the 18to88 post-a-day format even on days when there's no major analysis, just a news roundup with quick reactions. It feels right for the site and I'm enjoying reading it. Keep it up!
2 years, 9 months ago on Thursday Open Thread: Most Wins Edition
Austin "Hail Moroni" Collie
Because he's Mormon, you see.
2 years, 9 months ago on Name That Colt Contest
Pierre "Rock Boy" Garçon
@flores_salicis Well, to be perfectly accurate even the bad NFL QBs looked like gods in high school.
2 years, 9 months ago on What Does it Take to Get the #1 Pick?
@TroyS This. The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced that Indy will stick with Manning. He's a known quantity and he's likely to have four good years left. A third-round compensatory pick for Wayne plus whatever we can get for Señor Andrés Buena Suerte would make an unholy haul of picks to restock this team. The current high school sensation who eventually replaces Manning would have a nasty crew of vets backing him up.
Ahhh.... Didn't know that. Makes perfect sense now.
2 years, 9 months ago on Broken Record
In other news, Brandon Lloyd is going to the Rams for a sixth-round pick (or fifth-round, depending on how many catches he makes). Apparently Eddie Royal wanted out too but the Broncos couldn't drum up enough interest in him.
So I guess we can be done with any speculation about trading Reggie.
@Nate Dunlevy@BMS@buymymonkey But Moss did have nagging injuries and that "quitter" stigma. Could Reggie net a 4th rounder from a team who sees themselves as one good receiver away from a playoff run? I wouldn't love that trade but I wouldn't hate it either.
But I'll accept that it's not likely, especially with the Broncos shopping Brandon Lloyd at the same time.
2 years, 9 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Bengals
@Nate Dunlevy@BMS At least Caldwell will land on his feet. He sounds like a great lieutenant but not the guy you want on top of the command staff. We just didn't know for sure about that last part until they tried it.
@Nate Dunlevy@BMS@buymymonkey That's me randomly wild guessing. Yeah, a 6th or 7th wouldn't even be worth the histrionics from Reggie fans.
@BMS@buymymonkey@Goéland Exactly. Which would be more valuable, a third round pick and one more game of Reggie or eleven more games of Reggie and then nothing?
@buymymonkey I could be okay moving Wayne. He's going to want goofy money next year but receivers don't age well and he's already lost a half-step at least. Mathis though, he could still be a force for years, especially opposite Freeney.
Man, reading Stampede Blue again is actually really informative. I never realized it was really BILL POLIAN who threw that backbreaking pick-6 in the fourth quarter of Super Bowl XLIV.
I really thought it would take longer for the "fire Polian" train to get rolling. I also thought that time and distance would cool down my intense dislike of Brad Wells. I was wrong on both counts.
Just posted my "suicide note" on Stampede Blue. Let's see how long it lasts before Big Bad Brad deletes it.
@StevenLaFollette Where are you getting this? Nate asked a simple question and used numbers to answer it. This article is as hostile as a trip to the grocery store.
Did Painter save you from drowning as a child? What's so special about him that people are falling all over themselves to come to his defense?
2 years, 9 months ago on Has Curtis Painter Outplayed Kerry Collins?
@psvirsky It's not a huge skew. Still, the great thing about Nate's analysis is that he shows his work. You have the same stats he's using and you can pick apart the numbers or his interpretation of the numbers to your heart's content.
@matt_has So the Patriots are the choir boys, right?
2 years, 9 months ago on Remedial School
@kasey_junk Not so much. It's like having a not-quite stylish shirt but for some reason you like it enough to keep it around and then it falls apart in the washing machine. Deeply disappointing, and even though it didn't cost much you still want your money back.
@kasey_junk And hope investment. We really don't want to have wasted three years believing that Painter could be Peyton Lite.
@LineIC Last night was Painter's first start, EVER. It's not unreasonable for today's article to lead with Painter. Nate doesn't hammer the same nail forever, even when he's swimming against a tide of fact-free emotion like with Caldwell's coaching decisions.
Patience. When Painter has every week to be bad it won't get nearly so much attention.
@DougSchnabel@Platinum@MarlaAS@LineIC What do you want him to say? Against all available evidence people today are still saying that Curtis Painter is better than Collins, that he's greatly improved, that defense lost the game or coaching lost the game or blah blah bullshit bullshit. If you're not one of those people, don't take it so personally. If you are one of those people, either bring facts to prove the man wrong or grow a thicker skin about your reality denial.
@LineIC It's good that you get it. Lots and lots of other people don't get it yet. Most of the twitterverse doesn't get it. Most of the people at the bar where I watched the game last night don't get it.
Nate isn't saying "I told you so" so much as he's reacting to plenty of people, like those at the Other site, who are this moment still lost in the Curtis Painter Reality Distortion Field. People are actually saying that 17 points last night represents a real improvement. No, it doesn't, and minus two highlight reel catches from Rock Boy, it really doesn't.
@smonroe It's so crazy, it JUST MIGHT WORK!
2 years, 9 months ago on What if Painter Plays Well ?
@flores_salicis@kasey_junk@iumike Except apparently the team had enough cap space to drop $4M for two years of Kerry Collins' rapidly decreasing life expectancy so I'm not sure what's your point.
The Colts aren't the first team to suffer a breakdown at QB. As much as it burns my ass to say so, the Patriots somehow managed to have Tom Brady ready to relieve Drew Bledsoe and then Matt Cassel ready to take over for Brady. I'm not saying that finding NFL-ready talent in the sixth round is push-button easy but I'm not asking for a Brady or a Cassel. A Marc Bulger would do.
...speaking of which, has anyone called Bulger? How desperate am I that this sounds like a good idea?
2 years, 9 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Buccaneers
@kasey_junk@iumike Besides, Painter was only mentioned in 2 of the 5 points. That's hardly a "schtick".
If your backup QB isn't ready to start a game without embarrassing you then you don't really have a backup QB. To go one or two years with no backup is asking for trouble. We're now in the third year of the Curtis Painter era. If he can't score this week, with all the #1 starters around him from minute one against a bad pass D... Well, that will be the end of the Curtis Painter Excuse Train.
@psvirsky I chalk it up to a few bloggers with axes to grind. They seem to promote this meme that any success the Colts have is because of Manning and everyone else is just blessed to be on his team.
2 years, 9 months ago on Thursday Open Thread-Farewell Gary Brackett
@coldy4goldy Dude, seriously? Got any Prada handbags to sell me while you're at it?
2 years, 10 months ago on It's Time to Talk About Luck
Nate, once again you convince me.
I've been letting myself dream about going from the Peyton Manning era straight into the Andrew Luck era but I get the reasons why it doesn't make sense. Thanks for laying out the Green Bay situation in detail and explaining why it's not a fair comparison here.
It's humbling to think that Peyton's leadership of the Colts (and his contract) could come clear off the books after this year, just like that.
@DougSchnabel I love Pat's leg but he's frequently out-kicking his coverage. He practices with these guys all the time, he should know what they're capable of by now. Sure, I'd love it if we had faster ST players who could get downfield to cover his long punts but I'd settle for Pat dialing it back about five yards to force a fair catch.
2 years, 10 months ago on Starship Indy
So Nate, where are your seats at? I still owe you a root beer.
2 years, 10 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield-Browns
For me Brady going down in the first quarter of 2008 really drove home the point that Peyton's magical ride could end at any moment. If this is that moment, I won't like it but I won't jump off any bridges.
If, however, Nate folds up 18to88.com, I'm going to drink myself blind and plummet headfirst into Broadripple canal. Do you want that on your head, Nate? DO YOU??
2 years, 10 months ago on The Worst Story I Ever Wrote
This strikes me as a very American phenomenon. We love winners but we hate "the Man". There's a tipping point at which a beloved winner who is too successful for too long morphs into "the Man" and must now be torn down. And people take a perverse glee in the tearing down process, as much or more than they enjoyed building that person up in the first place.
American culture has a strong anti-elitist element to it. This can be very good when it comes out as the good-ol' American can-do spirit that makes us all believe that we can achieve great things no matter how small we are right now. But it turns ugly when it drives us to find flaws (or invent them) in order to cut an exceptional person down to our level.
I never really noticed this in Japan. Don't get me wrong, Japanese culture has its own problems (lots of racism still going on there), but they seem much more gracious about respecting a great performance from a guy even if he isn't "my" guy.
2 years, 10 months ago on Why All the Hate
@Yoshiki03 The point is that Collins' successes over the last five years came with a team that was almost entirely different from the Colts in every respect. There is absolutely no reason to believe that Collins can walk right into a system built for Manning and do any better than Painter. For Collins to be at all meaningful for the Colts, they should have signed him weeks ago to give him time to learn the system or give the coaches time to tweak the system for him.
2 years, 11 months ago on Colts Sign Collins
This is a joke, yes? We're joking?
2 years, 11 months ago on Latest on Peyton
Must... like... Colts fan... Must hate... Tar Heel!
2 years, 11 months ago on Nice taste in blogs
Congrats, Nate! There truly is no place like home.
Can't wait for the meet-ups. You're having a root beer on me, dog.
2 years, 11 months ago on 18 Reasons I'm Glad to Come Back to Indianapolis
I'm a huge Dallas nuthugger but I've got to admit the numbers don't lie. One wonders what might have been if Dallas hadn't spent his career lining up next to a HOF wide receiver, but they don't call it the Hall of Might-Have-Been.
Dallas will just have to use his tears to polish that Super Bowl ring. That should help him sleep through the night. :)
3 years ago on Dallas Clark is Not a Hall of Fame Tight End
Pour one out for John Mackey. "Good night sweet prince: And flights of angels sing thee to thy rest!"
3 years ago on Mackey passes
Great article. I worry that Harrison's aloofness with the media will hurt him when it comes time to vote him into Canton. I never cared much for T.O.'s antics and I'd be a sad panda if his knack for generating quotes helped him get to the Hall faster than Marvin.
(Also, a nitpick, the idiom is "racked up", as in accumulated by putting on a rack like pool balls.)
3 years ago on Marvin Harrison and Terrell Owens
3 years, 1 month ago on Irsay says now is the time to deal
Want to seriously blow your mind? I hear that before the Magnavox there was this other thing called "wireless". People crowded around it and had to listen to the news because there were no pictures on it! Supposedly that was 90 years ago. And even though everybody knows there was no human civilization before that, some people claim there's an even older news medium where people read the news-- but not on a computer! Words were put onto pressed plant fibers through a process called "printing" which was invented by Johannes Gutenberg when he used a time machine to go back 400 years and steal it from the Chinese. The plant fibers were called "paper", invented in ancient Egypt by space aliens.
Even crazier, apparently all of these old "news" media thingies are still around! People can get their news from any one of them-- or all of them at the same time! Amazing!
Yes, I'm being snotty. No offense intended, Collin, because I do like your writing. But I'm sick to death of this idea that every new technology somehow radically reinvents journalism. The question of how to draw distictions between journalists in this or that medium of each new generation has been asked and answered: In the ways that matter, there aren't any distinctions. The process of journalism is the same as it was before computers or TV or electricity: Gather information, separate good information from bad, organize information into a coherent and compelling narrative. Who, what, when, where, why, how? That journalism, same as it ever was.
Let's not conflate journalism with the ways in which it's consumed. Obviously the industry that packages journalism for consumption is very different. Back in the day, to make your news truly available you had to own a huge printing and distribution system or a nationwide network of expensive transmitters. Today you can walk down to the public library, sign up for Gmail and Twitter and Wordpress, gather information, chat with your fans and peers and contacts, and post articles that are just as available as anything from the New York Times or NBC, all for nothing more than a few hours of your time. That's an astouding sea change that can't and shouldn't be ignored.
Really this new egalitarian access to sources and readers only creates a more urgent need for good, solid journalism. The guy tweeting about a fire next door is a source, not a journalist. He dispenses 140 characters of raw information with none of the filtering or context that a good journalist provides. There is a demand for that raw information but there's a broader and more persistent demand for the filtering and context. Nobody has the ability or desire to follow every Twitter account, Facebook wall, and blog on the planet.
And some things about journalism the Internet hasn't changed at all. Team presidents and owners still won't talk to just anybody. There's only so much physical space available in press conferences or in the media box or in the locker room. The fact that some bloggers are getting real access to those sources isn't a fluke, it's the product of the work they've put into their sites. That work is still work whether you log it at a local daily or on a Wordpress blog. Much like modern football with its specialized kickers and two-point conversions and helmets made of space-age polymer instead of leather, everything has changed and yet we know it as still the same game.
My real beef is with the people who use the "everything has changed!" fallacy as an excuse for their crappy work. This happens in all fields every time a new technology shifts the landscape. Some of the early adopters raise their torches and pitchforks and loudly declare that the old rules are outdated and the world will never be the same. But bloggers aren't exempt from the rules of sound journalism any more than dot-com companies were exempt from the rules of supply and demand. Eventually everyone will figure out which early adopters are good at what they do and which are just good at adopting new technology.
Is there something wrong with saying that a journalist is someone who writes according to the standards of journalism? Timeliness, accuracy, and completeness are all part of that. Style and reputation are too, as unfair as that may seem sometimes. Different consumers will assign different weights to each factor but a good journalist is someone who will excel at most or all of them.
A blogger is someone who publishes his diary on a website.
I'm okay with that definition.
3 years, 2 months ago on McCollough on Journalism
I repeat: Butt. Hurt.
I suspect there's also an amount of meta-game among some in the media to obtain "access" as a goal unto itself. "Getting the scoop" and getting it first becomes more important than getting it right.
3 years, 2 months ago on Colts Players Doing Media Spots
Didn't Peyton talk months ago about setting up private workouts at Carmel High? Their football stadium is pretty high-end and it's far enough away from the actual school buildings to make security manageable. And enough of the players live up that way already.
3 years, 2 months ago on Bobbing for Stories
Two words: Butt. Hurt.
Journalism used to be about accuracy and insight, now it's about scoops. If you're not RIGHT NOW then you're never, baby. "The news" has become "NEWS(R)-brand Information Product".
And then with one post Nate deftly illuminates just how naked the emperor really is. Well played, sir. Please don't let John Galt take you away just yet.