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@TheFunkyMonkey I don't think you are wrong there, but it's so hard to be positive about anything about the roster except Luck, that the passing game ends up getting the attention. The rush offense had a better DVOA, but again, that was mostly do to Luck's scrambles.
It's a team with a bad line, a terrible defense that got torched in the playoffs, a suspect run game...if Luck and Hilton get the bulk of the attention, it's hard to quibble.
So, you're right, it's a lot about passing offense. But if other areas had gotten more attention, people would have complained it was too negative.
19 hours, 26 minutes ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@ScottComstock @Nate Dunlevy No worries. Yes, I have copies of Invincible, Indiana for sale. Blue Blood is temporarily out of print, but I will be revising it in the future for another release.
1 day, 18 hours ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@ScottComstock Thanks Scott. Yes, I had a great time with my three pieces.
1 day, 21 hours ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@Payton @Colt_Following We've looked into printing. It's really cost prohibitive.
@mattshedd You can't evaluate a pick for a couple of years, but these pieces help us create realistic criteria by which we can measure a pick. Ricardo Matthews was an awesome pick, for example. I'm not sure people view it that way.
2 months, 1 week ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/2014-articles/what-to-expect-2014-jonathan-newsome-andrew-jackson-ulrick-john.html
@paulcareyjr Coaching and system is a big part of it.
@Professor Blue @Nate Dunlevy @rogcohen @mattshedd I know. I'm just not sure I actually believe him.
2 months, 2 weeks ago on Conversation @ http://coltsauthority.com/
@rogcohen @Nate Dunlevy@mattshedd12 games started really is the fall line. 32 of 48 started at least 8. 25 started at least 12. Considering where they brought him into, I don't think 12 is too high.
At any rate if they finish the year with him starting, everyone will be fine with it.
Holmes is dual listed on the roster G and C.
@TheGreatMisdirect Yes. He is.
@19>18 It's an eyeball test. 28 of 47 started in 10 games. 25 started in 12. Most of the guys who started from day one played in at least 12 games. 10 or 12, it comes down to injuries.
I wouldn't really quibble either way.
@mattshedd Not really. PFF grades are dicey for me. They are super contextual and I don't trust them enough for something like this.
I like their stats better than their grades.
Nah. I'm just of a certain age. People in their 30s love that movie.
6 months, 2 weeks ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Patriots
There are stylistic elements in common, but I think he has the ability to dissect a defense like Manning. Also he does the comeback/close victory thing that Manning excels at but Rodgers has always struggle to do.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on Growing Up Before My Eyes
Sorry for the crappy formatting on that last comment. The numbers didn't come over well.
6 months, 3 weeks ago on What to Expect 2013 Draft Revisited
Mathis really didn't play much his rookie year with the base defense. He mostly worked special teams and mop up duty. Werner got way more playing time. Mathis was a special teams star and a spot player. The roles really were different and he still made a bigger impact.
Chapman basically hit last year's projection
I actually think the Jags have more overall talent. Houston's primary talent base is quite old. I also like the Jags front office better than Houston's.
7 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Jaguars
Let me address the prediction issue, as I have both years.
The first point in today’s Eyes really covers it. I also
gave a speech to a local group about it last year. Every year, I go over my
predictions to see what I got wrong. The 2011 and 2012 Colts both slightly
exceeded my stat projection for them. Profile-wise, I wasn’t far off. However,
both teams look to greatly exceed their win totals.
This year, I said they were a 9 to 10 win team. They might
win 11. However, their stat profile says they are basically an 8-9 win team. I
feel good about that projection. There is a lot of randomness in NFL game
What is happening may be the second coming of Peyton. Some
guys simply break the Pythagorean rule. They are super rare. There’s only one I
know of: Peyton F. Manning.
It could be that Andrew Luck is that guy. Next year, I’ll
give Indy an extra win or two in recognition of that.
They are basically exactly what I said they’d be: an
improved but flawed team. In the end, they’ll beat my win projection by a game
or two, but in fairness I didn’t see Houston’s collapse coming. That’s the
As for Richardson setting them back three years, here’s what
I mean: it takes two to three years for a WR to really be a force. They need
that WR now. They can’t get him until 2015 most likely. So instead of trading
for Gordon and having a guy now, their big WR target is still several years
from becoming a major factor.
That’s what I was getting at.
Anyway, thanks for your kind words. I do appreciate them. I
hope this clarifies where I’m coming from. Some of the confusion comes from the
fact that I write far far less about the Colts, so my thoughts aren’t always
condensed in one place. It makes it harder to follow my logic.
That’s my fault, not yours.
Thanks for the apology. It's accepted. I do appreciate it.
7 months ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Chiefs
I gave you my number in
the other thread. Let's sit down and talk this out. You like what Grigson is
doing? Fine. YOu have to understand that I hate it. Despise it. I think
the results have been great because of Luck.
I lived through a Jim Mora regime once, so I
know what it looks like when a great QB covers up for a crappy coach. I was
super pro-Grigson last year, but his work this year has been rough. The
Richardson trade alone set this franchise back three years. Not to mention
opening the season with DHB at WR. That’s just awful.
The good things to say
about the Colts are pretty limited to Luck, Brown and Mathis at this point. I
talk about them a lot. The Colts stat profile shows a team that does
nothing very well. It’s one of the weirder teams ever.
I’ve gone on record
several times that I thought they’d beat KC in KC and could make a playoff run.
Find someone else who was talking like that last week.
All I can say is that I’m
giving you my honest take on the team. I feel negative about it. I don’t like
watching them as they are currently constructed. I’m not ripping them to rip
them. Most weeks are painful to watch. That’s how I honestly feel.
1.I said I wouldn’t spend more money on this team
this year. That meant to travel to Cincy. I just laid out $1,000 to buy playoff
tickets, so clearly you mistook my meaning.
2.You can’t honestly think Grigson has had a good
year right? Walden, DHB, Toler,
Richardson, the entire draft…He has had a disastrous year. One of the worst of
any GM in football. It’s a shame because if he wasn’t terrible at his job, this
team would be a Super Bowl team right now. It doesn’t take much in the AFC, but
he’s ruined a title run with awful signings and a D- draft.
3.Input on to how I’d do things differently? Dude,
I’ve been giving that for months. Wake up. I write in a lot of different
places. I said repeatedly I would have taken a wideout in the first round, I
would have made a run a Welker, I wouldn’t have wasted cash on Walden. Please.
1. You mistakenly assume the prediction is the important part of a preview piece.
Yes, calling one game shows expertise. That's what expertise is...making a call on a single game because you are a homer.
1.How have the Colts “consistently exceeded
expectations”? They have won 10 (maybe 11 games) instead of the 9 to 10 I
thought they’d win. They have some great wins and some terrible losses.
Statistically, they are exactly the profile of a 9 win team. They are basically
exactly who I thought they’d be.
2.“You sir, are the worst kind of fan imaginable,
one who will stop spending money on the team because they don't build in the
way you think is ideal.”
What are you even talking about? Are you just making things up now?
As for passive aggressive
attacks on Grigson, they aren’t passive at all. I think he’s had a terrible
year. Let’s call that aggressive aggressive, shall we? He made some huge,
obvious mistakes that cost this team a chance at a title now. It’s been bad
year for him. I’ll cop to that.
Listen, clown boy, I
wrote a huge piece last week about how I expected Indy to beat KC in Indy. I
think yesterday's game was a mild upset.
For the record, I picked
Indy’s games right ten times and this is the first one I’ve missed since the
Rams game. Make a point next time.
7 months ago on Support Colts Authority With Your Own Spider Three Y Banana Shirt
7 months, 1 week ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Chiefs
@EconolineVanYeah, fixed that. I don't, but he's not the worst this year.
7 months, 1 week ago on Who to Root For: Week 15
No, because the first tiebreak is head to head. The Colts lost to the Bengals so that trumps everything else
I just don't think he's well.
7 months, 1 week ago on Eyes in the Backfield: Texans
They're stats are all good except TD/INT. It's a complete breakdown of the secondary. What also has 9.5 sacks, but the next closest player has six, then five. Last in the league in picks and no pass rush. That'll get you beat no matter how good one defender is. I mean, think about Mathis on the Indy D.
@hankster The site it's appearing on delayed launch for a week. Next Thursday now.
7 months, 2 weeks ago on Who to Root For: Week 15
@chip_bennett Because Indy can still technically get the #1 seed.
@chip_bennett @Nate Dunlevy @AJ_ It wasn't entirely coincidence. It really had to do with cadence.
7 months, 2 weeks ago on Support Colts Authority With Your Own Spider Three Y Banana Shirt
Plus this looks like a smiley face and I like it.
@AJ_ I went back and forth on the design. I get that one spider three Ys fits the verbal convention, but it just felt wrong. It's more like old school english...and the brothers three! That's really how he was talking.
@chip_bennett Thanks man!
@NickWalter @Nate Dunlevy @hankster Of course. Write me to place an order.
@hankster This is all handled by a third party vendor. However, if you like, email me (ndunlevy at gmail.com) and I'll purchase a shirt for you, have it delivered to my house, then reship it. It won't get there for Christmas, though.
@spurwhisperer "He could have very literally forced Irshay to keep him by simply making some concessions on the money end."
This is where you are 100% wrong.
Irsay asked Manning to curtail his snaps with the first string offense to accommodate Luck. He wanted to be sure Luck got extra practice and game time.
THAT (not the money) is what was the deal breaker. Your understanding of what the central issues were is just not right.
The poison pill forced the decision, but it wasn't the actual obstacle.
Keeping both quarterbacks wouldn't have made sense. Luck's high possible trade value was before the draft ever took place. For Indy to keep both would have ensured a lower return on the initial investment.
Keeping both was easily the worst possible option. It's not even close.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Eight Myths Surrounding Peyton Manning's Departure from the Colts
@Bobman1 I would put the order thusly: NYJ, TEN, Pitt, Balt, MIA, SD. I'm always going to put the teams the Colts lost two last. But yes, they are all similar.
7 months, 3 weeks ago on Who to Root For: Week 14
@hankster Next wednesday
@DougEngland I'm not sure I agree. Miami already won in Indy, so it makes it difficult to want to see them again.
@hankster Yes, that is possible. I subjugate beauty to wining, but all else being equal, you'd prefer an interesting offense to a boring one.
7 months, 4 weeks ago on Behind Enemy Lines: Tom Gower of Total Titans and the Football Outsiders Take Two